Posted on 03/19/2007 8:24:14 PM PDT by no dems
The big-name, big-money candidate with big question marks, or the no-name who checks all the right ideological boxes?
Values voters in South Carolina pro-gun rights, anti-abortion and anti-gay marriage conservatives who helped put George W. Bush in the White House and remain a potent force in the Republican Party are grappling with that question.
I dont really have a candidate, said Bob Sawyer, a retired boat distributor who lives in Lexington County. Right now, its open.
National polls show former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and U.S. Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., to be the early GOP front-runners, with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney getting consideration, too.
But those polls also show a majority of Republicans want someone different to run.
Nonetheless, GOP candidates are beating a path to the Upstate, where values voters hold sway, hoping to impress them in the run-up to South Carolinas crucial, first-in-the-South primary.
Knowing a primary win in South Carolina could propel them to the nomination, they are touting their conservative credentials.
However, opposing abortion, gay marriage and gun control are not necessarily essential components in a candidates resume.
Even with a professed religious conservative in the White House and control of Congress for much of the past six years, values voters have not seen major gains on key issues outside Supreme Court nominees. Now, they appear to be open to Republicans who dont agree with them on some values issues but have the money and stature to keep the White House in GOP hands.
Giuliani, for example, is on top of national polls even though he favors abortion rights and civil unions for gay couples and has supported some gun control .
In Spartanburg, some of the far-right people people who have told me their litmus test has been whether a candidate opposes abortion these people have told me that they are working every day for Giuliani, said Rick Beltram, chairman of the Republican Party in Spartanburg County.
While GOP candidates are doing their best to paint themselves as true-blue conservatives, voters are saying values matter but not necessarily more than having good answers to the questions of terrorism, border security, job creation and tax cuts.
Beltram said 650 Spartanburg Republicans, surveyed at a party function in February, listed those four issues ahead of values in their ranking of priorities.
It would appear that, so far in this campaign, (values issues) are not as important as they were, Beltram said.
Justin Tye, a civil engineer who lives in Charleston, agrees.
I think the most important issue is fiscal responsibility, Tye said.
Tyes candidate?
Rudy Giuliani, he said. He looks to be the best one right now.
SHOOTING FOR A STAR
Not everyone is on the Giuliani bandwagon.
Take Lexingtons Sawyer, for example.
Six or seven days a week, Sawyer is in the woods, on a duck pond with his hunting rifle or hitching his boat to his truck and driving away in search of a good fishing hole.
Its usually quiet, just Sawyer, his Jack Russell terrier Dynamite and the outdoorsmans thoughts.
Now that the men and women who want to be president have begun to make South Carolina their own personal playground, dropping by with increasing regularity, Sawyers thoughts frequently turn to politics and what he wants from those candidates.
First and foremost, he wants strength, he says, a commander-in-chief who wont slink away when the decisions get tough.
I dont want somebody who walks around with his tail between his legs, Sawyer said.
But values issues also are important to Sawyer, particularly opposition to abortion and gun control.
Thats why he already knows the candidate he wont support.
It wont be Giuliani, Sawyer said. I loved what he did in New York (after the 9/11 terrorist attacks), but hes for gun control.
Values issues are very important as far as Im concerned, Sawyer said. Abortion is very important. I feel like its used as birth control as much as anything else. And Im an outdoorsman. I do a lot of hunting and fishing. Gun control is very important to me.
Sawyer is like a lot of other S.C. voters who believe a candidates stand on values issues will go a long way in determining what chance he or she has to win the states primary.
Most values voters oppose abortion rights, are wary of gun control and oppose gay marriage. Republicans tend to share those values, and it is GOP candidates who are trying hardest to mold previous positions to match those of voters they hope to impress.
But the top three Republican candidates Giuliani, McCain and Romney all have sizable warts in the eyes of many conservative voters.
Giulianis personal life has featured one scandal after another, replete with high-profile marital infidelity and strained relationships with his own children. Politically, Giuliani strays from some key GOP principles. He supports abortion rights, backs civil unions for gay couples and has supported some gun control.
McCain has been firmer in his opposition to gun control, but he has given conflicting statements on civil unions and abortion. Recently, he told a Spartanburg audience he believes Roe v. Wade, the landmark case in which the Supreme Court ruled abortion bans unconstitutional, should be overturned. Previously, McCain said he opposed abortion but did not favor overturning Roe.
On gay marriage, McCain said he opposes it. But he voted against a proposed constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage.
And McCains caustic remarks about well-known religious conservatives he once called them agents of intolerance leave many values voters skeptical.
But perhaps no candidate has strayed as far from the values line as Romney.
Some values voters are uncomfortable with the fact that he is a Mormon. His shifting views raise doubts, too. He once supported abortion rights and said hed support gay rights. Now, he opposes abortion rights and opposes gay marriage and civil unions.
There are, of course, other candidates in the race.
California congressman Duncan Hunter did surprisingly well in a Spartanburg straw poll earlier this month, finishing in a virtual tie with McCain and Giuliani.
Hunters signature issue is border security.
U.S. Sen. Sam Brownback, R-Kan., and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, also a Republican, have each touted their religious conservatism as they have campaigned.
But Hunter, Brownback and Huckabee remain long shots at this early stage, and many values voters are hoping someone else joins the fray.
They could get their wish.
Tommy Thompson, a former Wisconsin governor and member of Bushs Cabinet; Chuck Hagel, a U.S. senator and Vietnam veteran from Nebraska; and former U.S. senator and current Law and Order star Fred Thompson all have expressed interest in running.
Sawyer wants Fred Thompson to run.
I love that man, Sawyer said. He thinks like I do.
REPUBLICAN RHETORIC
At this early stage, the GOP has not yet launched the type of unified, all-out effort to win over values voters the party has used to great success.
The Republican Party in 2004 went after values voters, said Laura Olson, a political science professor at Clemson University. People had been primed in their churches. People might not be primed right now and are focused instead on the big issues hanging over all of us, border security, terrorism.
And there is frustration that values issues themselves have not been addressed.
The values voter constituency, such as it is, is realizing that a lot of the appeal of the Republicans to them is rhetorical, Olson said. There is a sense of, What have you done for me lately?
President Bush has spoken often of his desire to create a culture of life, but abortion remains legal. Efforts to pass a constitutional amendment banning gay marriage have flopped. And government spending has morphed into somewhat of a moral issue, as todays free-spending leaders fail to make the hard choices needed to move the country from its deep deficit back to a balanced budget.
Beltram said the drubbing Republicans took in the November mid-term congressional elections was a sign that saying the right things to values voters will no longer be enough to win.
GOP candidates lost, Beltram said, because of Iraq and spending like theres no tomorrow.
The new trend of pragmatism in values voters is perhaps most harmful to McCain, Beltram said.
While polls show him leading in South Carolina, McCain is trailing Giuliani nationally by increasing margins.
McCain is clearly trying to appeal to religious conservatives, Beltram said. Hes deciding to make pro-life a big deal, but hes not getting any traction. Hes been plummeting.
But will values voters cast their lot with Giuliani, a thrice-married New Yorker?
Olson isnt so sure.
If somebody like Giuliani is the nominee, you might see a third candidate pop in, she said.
No more RINOs!
*************
Amen. Hunter for president.
>>>Thanks to you folks, America no longer trusts "Conservative".
Goebbels would be proud.
Oh, puh-leeze.
Rudy never polled higher than Hillary in the 2000 NY Senate race.
And he was so determined to prosecute the War on Terror that he pushed a corrupt crony for the most important anti-terror job in the country - a crony who is now subject to prosecution for lying on his application for the job.
So spare us the "Rudy is the only one" garbage. He's shown he can't do either.
Fred Thompson is a conservative, Rino Rudy is a liberal. See the difference?
Re-adjust your tin-foil hat, please.
In Spartanburg, some of the far-right people people who have told me their litmus test has been whether a candidate opposes abortion these people have told me that they are working every day for Giuliani, said Rick Beltram, chairman of the Republican Party in Spartanburg County.
I question their sincerity and their commitment to unborn children. And I despise the term "far right people"! Why should defending the lives of innocent children considered extreme? This country is in serious trouble! Those "so called pro-life people" supporting Giuliani disgust me!
"Values voters"
I am sick of this! We don't want to vote for a liberal and all the sudden we have all these patronizing labels being stuck on us and we get treated like we are a minority of obstinate morons. I've always thought we were Republicans because of our values! This just doesn't even seem real anymore. Have the pod people taken over?
It must get tiresome repeating the same mantra over and over again. Besides that, it won't be Hillary the GOP will be going up against.
So what?! Hitler cleaned up Germany and demonstrated leadership in Germany in the 1930s and 40s, too.
But, what you don't want to face is that Giuliani is a liberal with a liberal record. He supports or has supported the following:
Giuliani supports, has supported or has taken action to implement the following: Gun-control laws
The idea of man-made global warming
Guest worker programs for illegals while cricitizing Bill Clinton for being too tough on immigration.
Taxpayer-funded abortion while donating money to pro-abortion groups like NARAL
Hate crime legislation
The appointment of leftist judges as mayor of New York
The homosexual agenda (he marched in every single gay pride parades in New York, even in one including NAMBLA, and has even offered to cross-dress to raise money for militant homosexual groups.
Given that he appointed liberal judges by an 8-1 margin in New York, including one that mandated taxpayers shell out $20,000 for a sex-change operation, and that he is a notorioius adulterer devoid of a moral compass, why on earth would you be gulliable enough to believe that?
BTTT!
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