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Oil: Protecting the Earth from Renewable Energy for 148 Years
Energy Tribune ^ | 3/6/7 | Mac Johnson

Posted on 03/08/2007 7:52:41 AM PST by ZGuy

In the environmental Dark Ages before the discovery of oil, man’s energy needs had to be extracted from the living world. Whole continents were deforested in the quest for firewood. Priceless wetlands were strip-mined for peat. Bees were robbed of their wax to make candles. Even when millions were starving, valuable animal fats and plant oils were rendered into fuel to illuminate the homes of the rich. Alas, it appears those times may soon return as environmentalists, politicians, and the media push for man’s energy needs to be met once more by the limited capacity of field and fjord. But for one brief moment in man’s planet-killing history, oil was there to carry the burden that man would have otherwise hoisted upon the bowed back of nature. Just look at what oil did for the whales.

In the first age of renewable energy, man was so desperate for even small quantities of transportable hydrocarbon fuel (today so damned for its very abundance), that fleets of ships continually patrolled the oceans in search of ever fewer great whales.

Today it is unbelievable that the intelligent whale, universally regarded as a profound natural wonder, was once appreciated principally as a source of lard. But that very fact is testament to energy’s scarcity before the advent of crude oil. By today’s standards, even a large whale has only a negligible amount of oil – perhaps 200 barrels. The entire world production of whale oil was less than 500,000 barrels per year for most of the 19th century.

Yet for this scant annual prize – equal to about 9.6 minutes of production for today’s oil industry – the world’s whales were hunted so nearly to extinction that even today many remain rare. Many species doubtless would have become extinct had Col. Drake not struck oil in Pennsylvania in 1859. That year, U.S. crude oil production was 2,000 barrels. The next year, it was equal to the entire annual whale oil production of 500,000 barrels. By 1861, crude was pumping at 2,000,000 barrels a year and growing. Within a decade, most of America’s whaling fleet was out of business.

Together with coal, oil opened up an unimaginable quantity of energy that came from outside the contemporary natural productivity of the Earth. For the first time, societies could grow far beyond the biological energy limits of their landmass. Wealth skyrocketed. Food supplies were no longer diverted to energy needs. Populations blossomed, and yet man’s energy-motivated environmental depredations fell significantly.

Fossil fuels have provided freedom from the constraints of biology and agriculture to such an extent that most of us have forgotten exactly how energy-poor a world powered by biofuels can be. Consider that the United States consumes nearly 4.39x1016 BTUs of crude oil per year. In absolute energy value, the entire corn crop in the U.S. could provide just 10 percent of that, and the entire world’s corn crop, only 23 percent.

So if the U.S. can cut energy use by 77 percent, find a 100-percent efficient means of converting corn into fuel, and corner all of Earth’s annual corn crop, we can just get by without oil (assuming coal, nuclear, and gas are still OK). And of course, we’ll need to ignore that corn is plowed, planted, fertilized, harvested, and transported with petroleum energy. Factor that in, and I’m sure we could still squeak by at the equivalent of 20 percent of current petroleum capacity, if we also consumed the world’s entire rice crop. What we (and the Chinese) would eat under this scenario is a little unclear (perhaps we could eat the whales), and I suppose the Europeans would be reduced to living off wind power and pine nuts.

But the exercise demonstrates the burden fossil fuels have lifted from the environment, and how accustomed all six billion of us have become to eating. Even the paltry efforts toward already subsidized biofuels have had an impact. The U.S. demand for ethanol has helped drive the price of corn tortillas beyond the reach of some impoverished Mexicans, precipitating calls for price controls and export restrictions. Unfortunately, the competition between mouths and motors can only increase, and the demands placed on our living planet can only get worse as the second age of renewable energy dawns prematurely.


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: energy; globalwarming; oil; renewenergy
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To: ZGuy

Ethanol from cellulose takes the energy production out of the world's bread basket. The question is how much energy will it take to produce it and transport it?


21 posted on 03/08/2007 8:38:56 AM PST by jonrick46
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To: ZGuy

God put oil there for a reason. For us to use it and use it all. By the time oil is gone we will be mostly nuclear and will have other technologies to sustain us. Until then it's black gold. I love oil, big oil and small oil.


22 posted on 03/08/2007 8:42:24 AM PST by Cucumber
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To: ProtectOurFreedom
The current system was not sized to recharge a hundred million vehicles every evening.

I read from an article which seemed credible that the existing system is sufficient to recharge 85 percent of USA vehicles every evening. The system is presently cycled down at night when demand is low. I don't know for sure this is true but certainly excess capacity is there.

23 posted on 03/08/2007 8:55:57 AM PST by layman (Card Carrying Infidel)
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To: layman

Regardless of specifics, pure & simple, the future lies in electricity generated from nuclear energy.


24 posted on 03/08/2007 9:04:44 AM PST by Chuck Dent
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To: JamesP81
>>
Dependence on oil will be broken when electric cars and nuclear power become common place.
<<

The two are not very tightly connected. If someone buys an electric car today, 50% of the electricity to recharge its battery will come from burning coal. Based on rough ratios, changing vehicles from liquid fuels to electricity will require the number of power plants to double.

Should the nation set about building nuclear plants to supply the energy, we will need to build somewhere around 200 new plants, not including the plants necessary to replace the existing plants that are getting long in the tooth.

In some areas of the country, there are few sites that are suitable for a new plant. In the past, enviros have used the amount of heat that such plants must discharge into bodies of water as a way to block the construction of plants. Many good sites are already taken. Advocates of electric cars will find out to their dismay how their quickly their hopes will be dashed by those who refuse to share it.

Further, and more importantly, it takes upwards of 10 years from start to finish to build a nuclear plant. Over that period of time, a plant may cost upwards of $10 billion, an amount that building 100 new plants suggests that somehow Wall Street must justify diverting $1 Trillion of investment funds that it is willing to put at risk for far more than a decade.

From a capital demand alone, given converting from liquid fuels to nuclear power implies that a substantial part of the capital asset base of the petroleum fuels industry will just be rendered worthless, and that new capital will be sequestered until the newly constructed plants start to generate salable amounts of power, the capital and the elapsed time required to build so many plants just calls the rationality of such hopes into question.
25 posted on 03/08/2007 9:18:37 AM PST by theBuckwheat
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To: Chuck Dent
Futurecar on the Discovery Channel has had on some very interesting developments in electric automobile technology.
Tesla automotive is now offering an electric car being built at Lotus's factory in Great Britain. It runs on lithium batteries (same as laptops) and reportedly goes 0-60mph in 4 seconds with a top speed of 125mph. Range is repoted to be 250 miles. Batteries are supposed to last 125m miles. Check it out @ www.teslamotors.com
26 posted on 03/08/2007 9:28:26 AM PST by woodbutcher1963 (Lumber Broker)
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To: woodbutcher1963
electric automobile technology.

I'd be happy with an automobile that has an electric motor to provide additional boost during acceleration. I've seen a few prototypes but I don't know of anything like that on the market.
27 posted on 03/08/2007 9:39:14 AM PST by P-40 (Al Qaeda was working in Iraq. They were just undocumented.)
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To: ZGuy

Wow...this is a great read.


28 posted on 03/08/2007 9:40:16 AM PST by xjcsa (Hillary Clinton, trying to become America's first black lesbian president. -Jan Mickelson)
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To: theBuckwheat
It really doesn't matter how difficult it is. It's going to have to get done unless we all want to start riding horses again.

I imagine that once there are enough electric cars and demand for electricity is high enough, then the economics will, in fact, justify the kind capital risk you're talking about. Speculative investors will make high risk investments if the potential reward is also commensurately high.
29 posted on 03/08/2007 9:43:12 AM PST by JamesP81 (Eph 6:12)
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To: alloysteel

It really doesn't matter if oil is "renewable". There is easily a hundred years of oil out there. Even the enviro-wackos know that. Thus the global warming baloney is needed as the reason to stop using oil.

Do any of us seriously believe that technology will not find replacements for burning oil within a hundred years?

When I was a senior in HS (69-70) I was learning to use a slide rule. By 1972 Texas Instruments had come out with its famous calculator. At $100+ each. The same one you can buy now for $5. Laser technology was not much past the sci fi stage. I deal with hundreds of companies that laser engrave everything from $2 ball point pens and up. That $39 DVD burner I put in my PC recently? Could a million bucks have bought laser technology that sophisticated? Who knows?

I could go on and on. The point is that we all see progress as a sort of snap shot. In reality things change so continuously and quickly as to make today outdated before it even becomes tomorrow.


30 posted on 03/08/2007 9:44:29 AM PST by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s......you weren't really there)
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To: jrawk

Did I say ethanol?

Did I say federal subsidies?

With gasoline pushing $3 a gallon, the market changes.

Ag fuel is in our future. Not because of govenment mandate or program, simply dollars and cents.

If you think that disposal is always an expense, you do not understand the market dynamics in the petro-chemical industry. Products that were once waste are now feedstock because of economy. As a result, they are a much cleaner industry.


31 posted on 03/08/2007 9:44:50 AM PST by dangerdoc (dangerdoc (not actually dangerous any more))
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To: woodbutcher1963
See my #6.

The car isn't economically practical yet due to its sticker price. It is, however, functionally useful. While it's not economically feasible it does serve as a proof-of-concept. The point is that it can be done with sufficient advances in certain technologies relating to batteries. Once they get cheaper, then it becomes a real, feasible alternative especially as a commuter car.
32 posted on 03/08/2007 9:45:44 AM PST by JamesP81 (Eph 6:12)
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To: P-40
I've seen a few prototypes but I don't know of anything like that on the market.

Tesla Motors, manufacturer of an all electric sports car. Has a range of 250 miles, a top speed of 125 mph, and 0-60 in 4 seconds. It's for sale now, although it's admittedly expensive. As I mentioned earlier, it's high price doesn't make it economical, but the fact that it's practically functional proves that the idea is sound. It's just a matter of gaining the ability to produce the components for cheaper.
33 posted on 03/08/2007 9:48:09 AM PST by JamesP81 (Eph 6:12)
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To: EternalVigilance

Are you familiar with modern ag processes? The meat and poultry industry pays for disposal of their waste streams because there is too much of it for the local farmers.

Yes some of the plant matter needs to be turned back into the soil but much of it is simply composted.

Out of a billion tons of waste, I've seen numbers between 200 and 400 million tons that could be diverted with no impact of soil. Right now farmers and ranchers compost the stuff or pay to have it hauled off.


34 posted on 03/08/2007 9:49:27 AM PST by dangerdoc (dangerdoc (not actually dangerous any more))
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To: dangerdoc
Ag fuel is in our future. Not because of govenment mandate or program, simply dollars and cents.

I work in Ag. You could turn every arable acre into corn and turn all that corn into ethanol and it still wouldn't be enough. I had high hopes for it too, but ethanol as an alternative to petroleum fuels has no future.
35 posted on 03/08/2007 9:49:59 AM PST by JamesP81 (Eph 6:12)
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To: JamesP81

I did not say I WAS A BUYER. However, it is a production automoblie. I would not want to be the first on my block to own one.
It is the first company I have heard of planning to build a factory in NM specifically to build electric autos.
The major breakthrough seems to be that their product has a range per charge long enough for your average commuter without giving up horsepower. Zero to Sixty in 4 seconds is comparable to a 400+ horsepower gasoline engine. A top speed of 125mph gets you in the preformance of a Porsche.


36 posted on 03/08/2007 9:59:57 AM PST by woodbutcher1963 (Lumber Broker)
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To: JamesP81
It's just a matter of gaining the ability to produce the components for cheaper.

It would be nice if Detroit would give a shot at mass-producing something like it. I'd give one a try. According to the computer in my truck I get great mileage...except when I accelerate.
37 posted on 03/08/2007 10:14:57 AM PST by P-40 (Al Qaeda was working in Iraq. They were just undocumented.)
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To: ChildOfThe60s
I was learning to use a slide rule.

What's a slide rule? hehehe
38 posted on 03/08/2007 10:15:54 AM PST by P-40 (Al Qaeda was working in Iraq. They were just undocumented.)
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To: P-40

I spent $40 filling up my pickup truck yesterday.
That is $2080/year just on fuel plus oilchanges, filters, spark plugs , etc.
It takes more than more people realize to maintain an internal combustion engine.
An electric car can be charged during non peak hours. It is not free but I bet it would be less than $2000 a year.


39 posted on 03/08/2007 10:24:07 AM PST by woodbutcher1963 (Lumber Broker)
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To: ZGuy
Great post.

The dirty little secret of most "alternative energy" sources is their abysmal BTU conversion efficiency rates. Whole States would have to be cordoned off for the production of "bio-mass" fuels in order to produce the Nation's Energy needs.

The Auhtor's reasoning is even more germane for advocating the most efficient fuel source of all which is Nuclear Power. The bio-mass footprint of Nuclear Power is even smaller than that of Oil and it is the most environmentally friendly energy source when all factors are considered.
40 posted on 03/08/2007 10:25:11 AM PST by ggekko60506
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