Replies

Well well welll......

Please note...Rudy supporters...you have been duly warned.

The last thing the Republican party needs is a schism...among people who are some of the most dedicated voters AND campaign workers.

Reading through some of these threads, I see people who are trying to sell Rudy using high pressure sales techniques, the way a discount appliance salesman sells a refrigerator.

I'm offended by that...it insults my intelligence...and this is way too early in the campaign cycle to declare anyone a defacto winner. Let the campaigns run...let the debates air...let the ads be run...let the candidates get out and make their case before the voters.

This is what it means to be a Democratic Republic...not a nation like Saddam's Iraq, or North Korea....where elections are decided well in advance of actually casting votes.

We don't operate like that here in the US.

The logic of 'Rudy vs Hillary'...only he can win... is based on NAME RECOGNITION POLLS...of people who may not even vote, let alone volunteer, work the polls, work phone banks, put out campaign signs and literature...AND donate money.

One of the reasons that G Bush defeated Kerry handily in 04 was the crossover effect of Catholics, evangelicals (particularly BLACKS), misc groups like the AMISH, Orthodox Jews etc., who turned out and made the difference, particularly in the flow down to the other repubs on the ticket. I don't recall the exact exit polling data sources, but we discussed it at length on FR at that time, and I made several posts regarding it.

The net result of all this...I recall the Repubs picked up seats in 04, defying conventional political expectations.

The political analysis Ive seen to date on Rudy is what I would call static one dimensional analysis, it hasnt, IMHO, taken into account all of the complex issues and factors that get molded and shaped in peoples minds during the course of debates, and campaigns.

Issues like leadership, personality, likeability, charisma, perceived character, integrity, and judgement.

All of these can be molded and influenced by the MSM to suit the Dems...if the candidate is weak or vulnerable in any of those areas. The Dems use the MSM, along with designated good cop / bad cop players, to play BOTH sides of issues, you see.

This is a multidimensional, dynamic process folks...not a static snapshot in time based on peoples perceptions of past events...like 9-11.

Just stop...think...consider the possibilities..

You will see this process unfold in the coming months...