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Evangelical leader sizes up GOP field, says Giuliani’s campaign is doomed
The Hill ^ | 16 February 2007 | Sam Youngman

Posted on 02/16/2007 4:56:04 AM PST by Spiff

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To: Ben Ficklin; SLB
MAJOR STUDY BY THE PEW FORUM ON RELIGION AND PUBLIC LIFE:

Republicans Can't Win Without Christian Conservatives (this means you, Rudy)

SOURCE: http://72.14.203.104/search?q=cache:QS6fK2c8AP0J:pewforum.org/events/index.php%3FEventID%3D115

Americans who regularly attend worship services and hold traditional Christian religious views increasingly vote Republican, while those who are less connected to religious institutions and more secular in their outlook tend to vote Democratic, according to a major study by the Pew Forum.

Some of the conclusions of this report were already evident in 2004 exit polling data. For example, voters who attend church more than once a week (16 percent of all voters) chose Bush over Kerry by a margin of 64 – 35 percent.

Likewise, those who attend Christian denominational Churches on a weekly basis (26 percent of voters) supported the President by a 58 – 41 percent margin. Also very telling, those who never attend Church (15 percent of voters) overwhelmingly supported Kerry 62 – 36 percent.

The study further found that traditionalist elements within each religion tended to vote Republican, while modernist groups within the religions trended towards the Democrats. A multiple regression analysis of exit poll and public opinion survey data from 2000 and 2004 enabled the Pew Research Center to assign a relative weight to various demographic markers.

Interestingly, church attendance was tied with race as the most significant factor. But even that number is deceiving; in that race is only an important factor due to the high level of support the Democrats receive from black voters.

These trends represent a major shift over the past forty-five years. White Christian Evangelicals in 1960 favored Democrats by a two-to-one margin; now they are Republican by a 56 – 27 percent margin. Seventy-eight percent of them voted for President Bush in 2004.

In 1960, 71 percent of Catholics were Democrats and now Democrats have only a slight edge among Catholics (44 – 41 percent) and Catholics voted for President Bush (52 – 47 percent) in 2004. These trends have also brought an increased acceptance of religion in the public square.

While Americans do tend to favor the separation of church and state, 70 percent of voters want their President to have strong Christian religious beliefs. Likewise, the study reveals that 52 percent of Americans believe that Christian churches should express political views. Surprisingly, support for political involvement of churches is strongest among younger voters age 18 to 29 (59 percent).

81 posted on 02/16/2007 6:15:09 AM PST by Liz (Nearly all men can stand adversity, but to test a man's character, give him power. Abe Lincoln)
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To: napscoordinator

There are many influential evangelical leaders who you've never heard about. You only hear about the ones who issue regular press releases, or stir controversy. Trust the fact that Southern Baptists know who Land is. Why don't you check and see how many Baptists are influenced by the man?

Do you realize that nearly every Sunday, pastors across the country give sermons that remind Christians about their position on abortion, partial birth abortion, assisted suicide, stem cell research. etc.? They are entitled to speak out on those issues, as they are part of their faith. It can even be political, reminding their members that they should vote for candidates who represent their values. They are not allowed to endorse candidates by name, but they know how to get the message across effectively.


82 posted on 02/16/2007 6:15:22 AM PST by TommyDale (What will Rudy do in the War on Terror? Implement gun control on insurgents and Al Qaeda?)
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To: GB

Choosing between two liberals is not a wise vote, either.


83 posted on 02/16/2007 6:16:07 AM PST by TommyDale (What will Rudy do in the War on Terror? Implement gun control on insurgents and Al Qaeda?)
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To: Spiff

Not surprisingly, you've totally missed the point. The disconnect lies in the fact that this bonehead won't support a Giuliani, but will take an endorsement from Liberman, a guy who he must certainly view as far more liberal than Giuliani. It's as if he got an endorsement from Rudy himself!


84 posted on 02/16/2007 6:20:11 AM PST by zook (America going insane - "Do you read Sutter Caine?)
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To: TommyDale
Choosing between two liberals is not a wise vote, either.

Well, I guess the devil ... sorry ... is in the definition of liberal.

85 posted on 02/16/2007 6:21:23 AM PST by GB
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To: Obie Wan
Watch and see how Giuliani moderates as the primaries get closer....

You got that right. "Moderate Rudy" lately discovered he needs prolifers to make a showing, so he'll be having these "Come to Jesus" moments---temporary blackouts that he will conveniently discard should he, by some fluke, get anywhere near our WH.

Rudy is joined at the hip to NARAL, Planned Parenthood and the rest of the abortion-on-demand-with-the-govt-picking-up-the-tab crowd. No way will they allow Rudy to move anywhere but forward to expand abortion to unknown dimensions. Partial birth abortion? If Rudy is elected, you ain't seen nuttin' yet.

Giuliani said just last week "I'm against abortion but I must uphold Roe v. Wade." This is the classic pro-abortion political statement. NARAL, Planned Parenthood and the rest of the abortion savages clapped their hands with glee knowing that Rudy is STILL on their side, and has been from the very beginning.

From the FEC database: 04/24/1999 Donations
NEW YORK STATE NARAL INC WOMEN'S HEALTH PAC

NARAL donated exclusively to Democrat candidates with one exception----Rudy Giuliani.

Giuliani accepted $1,000 from NARAL in 1999.

NARAL gave $250 to Hillary Rodham Clinton.

NARAL gave $1000---4 times as much-----to pro-abortion Giuliani.

Clearly, NARAL trusted Rudy's pro-abortion credentials, and Rudy's willingness to advance NARAL's radical abortion-on-demand agenda, even more than NARAL trusted Hillary.

Rudy was the honored guest speaker and made The Opening Remarks to the N.A.R.A.L. "Champions of Choice" Luncheon few years back.

In a CNN interview, Giuliani indicated he does not support even a modest ban on the gruesome partial-birth abortion procedure saying, "No, I have not supported that, and I don't see my position on that changing." Giuliani also indicated he would have upheld President Clinton's veto of the partial-birth abortion ban.

Maybe Mayor Rudy offered women "other options" to abortion, but Rudy told Phil Donahue he'd give his daughter the money for an abortion (to get rid of his own grandchild).

86 posted on 02/16/2007 6:25:38 AM PST by Liz (Nearly all men can stand adversity, but to test a man's character, give him power. Abe Lincoln)
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To: Dudoight
"Keep in mind that a vote for a 'third' party is a vote for the Democratic candidate."

Keep in mind that sometimes you lose a battle in order to regroup to win the war.

If Rudy is the future of the GOP, I don't want to be a part of it. I'm thinking long term.

And don't lecture me about judges. With his position on social issues, guns, etc., there's no way he's going to nominate judges that I like.

87 posted on 02/16/2007 6:26:42 AM PST by Texas_shutterbug
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To: zook

The point is this -

This guy represents the thinking of a lot of Christians....you can disagree as to his credentials and who fowarded his book....big deal.

No its not as though he got a endorsement from Rudy....it doesn't matter....what matters is that he's right.

There are 20 to 40 million of us born-again evengelical christians in America, depending on who's counting, and we are a lot more politically savy than we were 20 years ago.


88 posted on 02/16/2007 6:26:45 AM PST by Halgr (Once a Marine, always a Marine - Semper Fi)
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To: Old_Mil
the constitution Party will outpoll the Pubbies.

On which planet?

89 posted on 02/16/2007 6:27:42 AM PST by You Dirty Rats (I Love Free Republic!)
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To: GB
First it was "if McCain gets the nomination, we won't vote, period." Now it's "if Rudy gets the nomination, we won't vote, period."

Those statements are not mutually exclusive. And they are both true in my opinion for the reasons discussed in the article among others.
90 posted on 02/16/2007 6:29:19 AM PST by Ingtar (Guliani, McCain, Clinton. A nut sandwich on fake conservative bread. Choice is an illusion.)
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To: Conservativegreatgrandma

So you say. Fine. Go ahead and try and push that poll with the # of people who will vote for Rudy above 40%. Good luck with that. You say you are a conservative with a consicence. Your willingness to go out and cast a vote for a baby killing, pro-gay, gun grabbing, environmentalist who views California politics as mainstream robs you of your right to claim such a title.


91 posted on 02/16/2007 6:29:22 AM PST by Old_Mil (http://www.gohunter08.com/)
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To: Spiff; areafiftyone; BunnySlippers; PhiKapMom; Peach

Pay attention here folks.

After all, the Southern Baptist boycott shut down Disney...


92 posted on 02/16/2007 6:30:04 AM PST by Corin Stormhands (http://www.virginiaisforrudy.com)
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To: SLB
Maybe you could pray that God will raise up a godly conservative that can win! That's what this born again conservative Evangelical is doing, along with a myriad of others.
93 posted on 02/16/2007 6:30:56 AM PST by Coldwater Creek
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To: newnhdad
The Rockefeller wing put up a moderate in 1996 - Bob Dole - and banged the same tired drum about party loyalty while Dole was out there saying that he was going to ignore the socially conservative planks of the party platform. And even after 4 years of corruption and liberalism under Bill Clinton the Rockefeller wing still lost us the election.

And they want a reply of the same failed strategy now, but instead of a moderate they're putting up an outright liberal candidate. It is a strategy doomed to failure.

94 posted on 02/16/2007 6:31:20 AM PST by Spiff (Rudy Giuliani Quote (NY Post, 1996) "Most of Clinton's policies are very similar to most of mine.")
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To: Spiff

If Rudy gets the nomination and the only other options are third party or democrat...third party votea will give it to the democrat. Is there a democrat who is pro life? What kind of supreme court judges witll the democrat appoint?

If there could ever be a viable third party...true conservatives...that would be a God send.


95 posted on 02/16/2007 6:32:10 AM PST by Dudoight
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To: dmw
Well then, write us off and see how that works out for you. If you think Rudy is going to win without our votes you are living in fantasy land.

Well you see, I had a Rudy supporter explain all of that to me. You see, it goes this way - if the GOP loses a conservative vote - they just lose one vote. If they gain a dumbocrat vote - it's like TWO votes, because it means Hillary LOSES a vote. Apparently, that's their whole strategy.

The GOP is a train wreck in the making - even though Rudy may be polling 30some percent in the polls - the latest FOX poll showed that 50some percent of Republicans want to see a new name out there. Most of us on this forum can see this train is heading for disaster. We need to switch tracks, before it's too late. Rudy is a loser for us.

96 posted on 02/16/2007 6:33:31 AM PST by alicewonders (I like Duncan Hunter for President - 2008!)
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To: Halgr

You are absolutely correct. This is why we have primaries. We duke it out there but when it's over, we pledge to defeat the RATS. That is the only way we will ever advance.


97 posted on 02/16/2007 6:33:43 AM PST by Conservativegreatgrandma
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To: Dudoight

If Rudy is the nominee, I may be forced to stay home for the first time ever. There is no difference in Rudy and Mr. Clinton .

Pray for a godly conservative that we can all support to rise up.


98 posted on 02/16/2007 6:34:01 AM PST by Coldwater Creek
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To: Spiff

Nothing could make me vote for Rudy - nothing.


99 posted on 02/16/2007 6:35:14 AM PST by Esther Ruth
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To: Spiff
Land said the mayor’s annulment, divorce and subsequent third marriage will seal the deal against hizzoner for social conservatives. “It’s got to surface at some point,” Land said. “There are too many social conservatives talking about it, and it applies to [Newt] Gingrich, too.”

It would also apply to Ronald Reagan. Does Land believe Reagan should never have been President because he was divorced and remarried? Does Land want us to believe that "social conservatives" use divorce at a litmus test in 2008 when they obviously did not in 1980?

100 posted on 02/16/2007 6:35:19 AM PST by You Dirty Rats (I Love Free Republic!)
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