Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
You don't get around much, do you. LOL
When did you stop beating your dog, nopardons?
What does it mean?
The rules do seem a tad obscure. Sad.
Nobody on this here site is a liberal. In order to promote your all-natural, 100% MSG-free conservative agenda, you've got to win the damn thing first, which means raising tons of cash and courting that large swath of sheeple voters for their votes. And the Congresscritters don't have the funds or the executive experience as Rudy or Romney does (Cue dying sound of Pacman)
Is that supposed to mean something?
Whoa! Whoa! Whoa!
If you think a Republican Nominee can win without the 4 million members of the NRA actively supporting him you HAVE gone over to the dark side. You need to rethink the underlying sentiment in your over-hyperbolic post ASAP.
McCain has a 1st Amendment problem i.e. McCain-Feingold.
Rudy and Romney have a 2nd Amendment problem - both know it. Both are trying to do something about it. But if you really believe either candidate can BLOW OFF the 2nd Amendment supporters of the Conservative base - as your post does - and still be elected you're nuts.
Right now Rudy and his crack campaign staff are trying to walk the line of Foreign Policy/WOT perceived expertise trumping his anti-2nd stance figuring that the one will cancel out the other. The Dems aren't going to let him get away with it. They may want a Brady supporter in the Whitehouse but they want it to be THEIR Brady supporter.
Regards,
TS
:-)
The USA Today poll is just about the primary. The poll does NOT suggest that the disaffected 20% is really going to vote for Hillary, as it were, in the General. That question was not asked. It was about the primary. Polls show Rudy even or beating the Dems in the General, in a very negative environment right now. Romney is getting slaughtered at the moment in General Election matchups, and McCain is slowly sinking, as he loses his moderate swing voter attraction over various matters.
False analogy.
While there is no evidence that nopardons has ever beaten a dog, you have worked on multiple failed candidacies.
And you turned down a job at the White House--true or false, a pathetic, pitiful claim.
*cough*
I told you not to bother me again. If you really want to test your learning ability, keep pinging me and others when they ask you not to. I will teach you.
We're all CONSERVATIVES here; just not your type.
It should be legal. It should not be encouraged by the government. It is a private matter. The health risks should be made known. There, I answered YOUR question. Would you care to have the courtesy to answer MINE? Should sodomy be made a crime?
At least we're not riding in a van, down by the river.
Your problem is that you get your weird information about me from antifreeper cesspools, or at least conduits that lead there.
Makes you look like a fool to all who know the facts.
That is just such a specious argument; people are NOT abandoning their morals.
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