Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
You could also refer back to posts from days ago.
You really never get that message, do you?
Indeed. Babykiller? RINO? CINO? Or just NONO.
Thanks for the ping. The Rudy-Rooters are welcome to support his candidacy. Can't change peoples minds when they've been so brainwashed with the mantra of Giuliani's liberal record. OTOH. Those who support Rudy, who engage in questionable postings without pinging their targeted FReepers, are nothing but dirtbags. They don't deserve a direct reply.
You're very welcome. I feel so excited already - this is great. Just like we thought... actually, it looks better.
That platform that says Hillary is for the War in Iraq. The same Hillary that said today President Bush needs to get us out of Iraq before January 2009 and if he doesn't she will if elected. Yeah, I've saw it.
You are a complete liar about Hunter. I challenge you to show one instance where Hunter has not completely supporter the WOT in any form, you SOS.
If that's the reality, then it SUCKS!
Oh ok, so you say something bad about a Rudy booster for supposedly trying to say something bad about some anti-Rudy freepers but then you proceed to call all Rudy boosters brainwashed liberals. What a hypocrite you are! What can I expect really? I've tried to get you to "respectfully disagree" many times but you've never shown the class yet to do it.
Folks like you have no place on FR, quite frankly.
I have no problem with honest debate. To compare Hunter to Hagel is not that. You really need to either ask to have your posts retracted, or have them retracted for you.
I could suck down a 7-UP about right now.
Wow...that's gonna leave a mark on the RudyHaters.
--The New York State Liberal Party on its endorsement of Rudy Giuliani for Mayor: "When the Liberal Party Policy Committee reviewed a list of key social issues of deep concern to progressive New Yorkers, we found that Rudy Giuliani agreed with the Liberal Party's stance on a majority of such issues. He agreed with the Liberal Party's views on affirmative action, gay rights, gun control, school prayer and tuition tax credits. As Mayor, Rudy Giuliani would uphold the Constitutional and legal rights to abortion." N.Y.S. Liberal Party Endorsement Statement of Candidate Giuliani for Mayor of New York City April 8, 1989
The platform does change every 4 years. Its written at EVERY convention. I hope you don't think someone has to agree with the platform 100% of the time to be a "real" Republican.
Unlike surrender monkies in our own party like Brownback and Hunter, Giuliani recognizes we need to stay on offense against the Revolutionary Islamists. Iran, for example, may get the nukes for their apocalypse in the next few years if we pick the wrong person. If we nominate a complete putz like Hagel or Hunter,
Cool, ping me when it gets posted : )
Don't you just love it when someone bails and leaves the mess for everyone else to clean up? Bah!
Beautiful! keep them coming!
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