Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Thanks for informing me, but I do not care what he says.
And I'm sure JimFreedom doesn't care what you say. I sure don't.
Believe me, I AM tired of them, but...
as a conservative who is more concerned with doing what is right (sticking with our conservative CORE values and principles), than what is apparently politically expedient (MAYBE having a slightly better chance of winning, at least as it looks now), I will continue to speak out against any and all liberal RINOs, and demonRATS of course.
See post 50 and 113
When Bush signs a minimum wage bill and an amnesty bill, that may come sooner than you think.
You seem to have forgotten that Reagan signed the biggest Pro-Abortion Bill in the history of California when he was governor. Rudy never signed a bill as mayor - You can say Reagan said he regretted it to run for president but he still did it. The deed was done.
Most interesting.
I do not care what liberals say.
Please put me on the ping list.
Well, Rudy on the average certainly isn't a liberal. He's a fiscal, domestic and foreign policy conservative that supports strict constructionist judges.
And about this term "RINO". Using the term implies that ALL "real Republicans" agree 100% of the time. Do you really think that. And who determines who the "real Republicans" are anyways?
"I do not care what liberals say."
That means you care what I say then.
All I can hope for is that:
1. The GOP doesn't run a RINO.
2 If they DO run a RINO, he won't win the primary.
3. If the RINO wins the primary, the demonRATS will run a candidate who is more palatable than a RINO like rudy. I could, like only ONCE before in my life (I voted for Zell Miller for Gov of GA), vote for a Democrat then.
LOL. I think I'm going to start doing this for now on.
Welcome to the Rudy Ping List! :-)
BS
Yes that is what happens when you support a Rino. You go no where.
"And who determines who the "real Republicans" are anyways?"
I think that is done when they create the party platform.
It lets people know what "Real" Republicans stand for.
Reading all posts with interest.
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