Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
If you are upset with Rudy because, unlike you, who favors making sodomy a crime, Rudy is against making sodomy a crime, and is thus a "sodomy legalizer," just say so. If you do not favor making sodomy a crime, than you agree with Rudy, and are a "sodomy legalizer." I hope that helps.
As I said, unlike Rudy and the liberals among us, I would vote to keep sodomy a crime. Ditto abortion.
This country has to be governed in the middle; the world has moved on from the 50's.
The Contract with America will unite this party again. But we're not going to let you make abortion and guns the big issues this time around.
Sooo...pro-life, pro-second amendment conservatives have had their "foot on your neck for too long? And you're here to advocate for moving the Republican Party to be LESS conservative and move it in the opposite direction? Did I get that right? I'm truly sorry that pro-life, pro-second amendment Free Republic has been working so hard to move things in a conservative direction against your mission to move them the opposite way. I'm sorry that we're all being so "old fashioned" and that you feel that we've "had our feet on your neck for too long". I guess that's why there seems to be so much contention between you and the conservatives here on Free Republic. Maybe your fundamental differences with the majority of the people on this website and its stated mission along with the views of its founder are the problem. You've thrown in the towel on advancing conservatism and now you think that everyone still in the fight for conservatism have their feet on your neck and are moving things in the wrong direction. Thank you for making things so clear. You've explained a great deal.
Can't you girlie men post anything without calling out Jim Robinson?
Why are you pinging Jim? Think you'll get Howlin banned?
Hey, us jack-booted thugs hate freedom, dontcha know. The freedom to cheat on your spouse, the freedom to kill your child, the freedom to legislate socialism. All of those "freedoms" are an anethma to us retrograde thugs on the right.
You didn't say that before, but you did now. Splendid, simply splendid - you think sodomy should be a criminal act.
I think that's the plan.
And your view is that it is a social good? Like abortion maybe? Or adultery?
It's a HOPE and the intent and purpose. Of that, I am certain.
Game, set, and match!
You too! What's with you guys? Having trouble with a bunch of desperate housewives and need to call in reinforcements?
Count me out on a slide to the left. I prefer to fight on for God, country, family, life and Liberty.
Gosh, you're getting kinda bossy since you went over to the other side.
No doubt; the "You're Not A Conservative" chit is getting old.
But if I do get banned, you can rest assured I won't be goig to any AF sites and trashing FR.
Well that might not be too good an idea for me. Back to the drawing board. :)
Typical of you. Post my responses, but not the silliness that provoked it.
Good for you! Sadly the 'conservative' voice is more splintered today than at any time since 1993. Every vice, every evil, every restriction of basic rights is now open to debate. Very little is held in common.
ROTFLMSO...................only if one wears white shoes after Labor Day, dear. :-)
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