I know -- it is like watching a speeding train wreck.
That's why I think we have been losing so many Governorships like in OK and other places. Social conservatives gave us the OK candidate for Governor in 2006 and he got beat almost 2-1 in a state that was 100% red for Pres Bush.
We have groomed no candidates from the conservative side that can win because of the litmus test these social conservatives require. No one but someone far right without charisma stands a chance with them. To win a nationwide race, IMO, you have to be a leader, have charisma, and be a speaker that gets their message across to the average person. Except for Rudy, I don't see that and social conservatives hate him. Rudy is the only one I have heard speak in person that has the WOW factor.
I have eaten enough rubber chicken and heard enough speeches to know the difference. When you tune out less than 10 minutes into a speech, there is a problem because the message is lost. When Brownback spoke I kept thinking he is never going to end for an example.
Personal guess -- Rudy wins the nomination. The Socials don't have the power they think they have. IMHO, of course.