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Australia temperatures to soar in 65 years (by as much as 9 degrees Fahrenheit)
AP on Yahoo ^ | 1/31/07 | Meraiah Foley - ap

Posted on 01/31/2007 10:52:40 AM PST by NormsRevenge

SYDNEY, Australia - Average temperatures in Sydney will rise by about 9 degrees during the next 65 years, with devastating consequences including 1,300 more heat-related deaths per year, according to a government study released Wednesday.

With Australia gripped by its worst drought on record, the issue of climate change has emerged as a battleground in this year's national elections.

Prime Minister John Howard has come under renewed criticism for not ratifying the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, making Australia the only major industrial nation other than the U.S. to reject the treaty that mandates lower emissions of global-warming greenhouse gases.

Howard did not comment on the study, which was commissioned by New South Wales, the state that includes Sydney, Australia's largest city.

But New South Wales Premier Morris Iemma called the report "frightening reading" and said the federal government "can no longer put its head in the sand on this issue."

Iemma is a member of the Labor Party, which is hoping to oust Howard's conservative coalition in elections later this year.

The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization, Australia's main scientific group, said average annual temperatures in Sydney will rise from the current 78.8 to around 88 by 2070.

If current climate trends continue, summer temperatures in Sydney's landlocked suburbs — which often top 95 degrees — could rise by as much as 13 degrees, the CSIRO said.

It predicted heat-related deaths of people over 65 will increase to 1,312 by 2050 from the current average of 176 per year. By 2070 Sydney could be in drought for nine out of every 10 years instead of the current average of three, the report said.

"Such trends would also increase evaporation, heat waves, extreme winds and fire risk," the report said.

The CSIRO said hotter temperatures would have significant effects on the ecosystem around Sydney, threatening some already endangered plant species and the animals that feed on them. Rising sea levels could also destroy the natural habitats of many species.

As a major exporter and consumer of carbon dioxide-emitting fossil fuels, Australia rates as one of the world's worst greenhouse gas producers per capita.

Howard says the Kyoto Protocol's steep cuts in carbon dioxide emissions would hurt Australia's economy by handing a competitive advantage to China and India, which are not bound by the treaty.

Australian power companies issued a report Wednesday that said expanding the use of nuclear power and retrofitting coal-fired power stations to capture carbon dioxide is the best way to slow greenhouse emissions. Howard said he agreed with that recommendation.

"The answer is a greater emphasis on clean coal and nuclear power," Howard told reporters. "It's just simply not feasible to run power stations in this country on solar and wind energy."


TOPICS: Australia/New Zealand; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: australia; climatechange; soar; temperatures

A woman sunbaths at Bondi beach in Sydney, Wednesday, Jan. 31, 2007. According to a government study, temperatures in Sydney are set to rise by about 5 degrees Celsius (9 degrees Fahrenheit) within the next 65 years, likely leading to the deaths of some 1300 people each year. (AP Photo/Paul Miller)


1 posted on 01/31/2007 10:52:43 AM PST by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge
Another 9 degrees, and she'll have to shed that bikini to keep cool....

Then again, I'm not sure I'd want to see that, 65 years from now...

2 posted on 01/31/2007 10:54:10 AM PST by r9etb
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To: NormsRevenge
Average temperatures in Sydney will rise by about 9 degrees during the next 65 years

Since no one has visited Sydney 65 years in the future, no one can disprove that statement.

However, since no one has visited Sydney 65 years in the future, no one can disprove my statement that "65 years in the future, Sydney will be cooler by 9 degrees".
3 posted on 01/31/2007 10:57:09 AM PST by adorno
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To: NormsRevenge

They must have a really good weather model. Can they tell me if it will rain Sunday February 17 2007?


4 posted on 01/31/2007 10:58:31 AM PST by Ben Mugged (Always cheat; always win. The only unfair fight is the one you lose.)
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To: NormsRevenge

ought to keep the roo's hopping


5 posted on 01/31/2007 11:03:29 AM PST by sure_fine ( • not one to over kill the thought process™ •)
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To: NormsRevenge

> with devastating consequences including 1,300 more heat-related deaths per year [in Australia]....

I guess this means that everybody in France will die. I'm going out to startup my car now.....


6 posted on 01/31/2007 11:04:19 AM PST by mbarker12474 (United Methodist Church: Empty Your Wallets. Empty Your Minds. Last One Out Close the Doors.)
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To: NormsRevenge
1,300 more heat-related deaths per year, according to a government study released Wednesday.

My great grandfather died of heat stroke. If air conditioning had been invented it might have saved him.

7 posted on 01/31/2007 11:09:55 AM PST by syriacus (30 months in Korea => 30,000 US deaths. Average = 1,000 deaths per month under Truman.)
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To: NormsRevenge
It predicted heat-related deaths of people over 65 will increase to 1,312 by 2050 from the current average of 176 per year.

1300/year? I don't mean to sound cold, but that's probably the amount of people that would die in a year from, say, bicycle accidents.

8 posted on 01/31/2007 11:21:47 AM PST by randog (What the...?!)
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To: randog
"...but that's probably the amount of people that would die in a year from, say, bicycle accidents."

Interesting question. Did a little research and found that bicycle deaths in Australia have dropped from about 140 in 1950 to the low 20s in 2001. While some of the drop is associated with improving road conditions and medical care, mandatory helmet laws passed in the early 90s reduced fatalities by more than half.
9 posted on 01/31/2007 11:32:08 AM PST by stormer (Get your bachelors, masters, or doctorate now at home in your spare time!)
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To: Ben Mugged
They must have a really good weather model. Can they tell me if it will rain Sunday February 17 2007?

Yes, but you'll have to wait until February 18th, for that "prediction".

10 posted on 01/31/2007 11:39:06 AM PST by 3niner (War is one game where the home team always loses.)
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To: NormsRevenge

The ironic thing about all of the global warming alarmists, is they expect us to believe they can predict the weather for many years in the future, but none of their models can "predict" the past.


11 posted on 01/31/2007 11:42:03 AM PST by 3niner (War is one game where the home team always loses.)
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To: NormsRevenge

I recall the doomsday scenarios put forth by "reputable scientists" in the 1970's: global cooling, scarcity of precious metals, oil reserves run out, etc.

Remember folks, the left is often wrong but never in doubt. They just keep spreading the same old manure, but package it differently.


12 posted on 01/31/2007 12:18:14 PM PST by neocon1984 (end the idiocy of post-modernism)
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To: NormsRevenge

"With Australia gripped by its worst drought on record, the issue of climate change has emerged as a battleground in this year's national elections."

Howards' fault! Vote for the opposition, and they will magically cure global warming! Right after they develope the cure for AIDS and Parkinsons.


13 posted on 01/31/2007 12:56:35 PM PST by popdonnelly (Our first obligation is to keep the power of the Presidency out of the hands of the Clintons.)
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To: popdonnelly

> Howards' fault! Vote for the opposition, and they will magically cure global warming! Right after they develope the cure for AIDS and Parkinsons.

Didn't Christopher Reeve become resurrected and return to life.....?


14 posted on 02/01/2007 8:03:48 AM PST by mbarker12474 (United Methodist Church: Empty Your Wallets. Empty Your Minds. Last One Out Close the Doors.)
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