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Hillary & Rudy Dominate Their Primary Fields in NY (Siena Poll)
Siena Research ^ | 1/29/07

Posted on 01/29/2007 11:05:14 AM PST by areafiftyone

 

Siena Research Institute

Siena College, Loudonville, NY

www.siena.edu/sri

 

For Immediate Release:                        Monday, January 29, 2007

Contact:                                               Steven Greenberg at 518-469-9858

PDF version; crosstabs;         

 

Siena New York Poll:

 

Hillary & Rudy Dominate Their Primary Fields in NY

 

Spitzer Still Enjoys Honeymoon with NY Voters

 

Voters Negative to Senate, Assembly, Bruno, & Silver;

Prefer Divided Legislature as Opposed to One Party Control

 

Loudonville, NY – A year before the first votes are cast in the 2008 presidential primaries, Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Rudy Giuliani have commanding leads in their respective primaries in New York, according to a new Siena (College) Research Institute poll of registered voters released today.  Governor Eliot Spitzer is viewed favorably by three-quarters of voters, while Joe Bruno and Shelly Silver are viewed unfavorably by roughly twice as many voters as view them favorably.  More than six in ten voters think that both houses of the State Legislature are doing a fair or poor job, and voters would prefer to see the Legislature remain divided between the two parties.

 

“With 58 percent of New York Democrats supporting her, Hillary easily laps the field, with only   Sen. Barack Obama making it in to double digits at 11 percent,” said Steven Greenberg, Siena New York Poll spokesman.  “Sen. John Edwards has the support of nine percent and no other Democrat even gets five percent.  Home field advantage is even more important in politics than it is in sports.

 

“On the Republican side, Rudy has opened a substantial 47-20 percent lead over Sen. John McCain.  Former Speaker Newt Gingrich has the support of nine percent, while former Governor George Pataki ties for fourth place with former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney at five percent,” Greenberg said.  “It may not be his strongest message in Iowa and New Hampshire, but after 12 years as Governor, only one in 20 New York Republicans think that Pataki should be President.”

 

Clinton scores at least 50 percent with every demographic group, and leads Obama 78-13 percent with African American Democrats

 

Spitzer is rated favorably by 75 percent of voters and unfavorably by 10 percent.  Nearly half (49 percent) of voters say he’s doing an excellent or good job as governor, while 19 percent say he’s doing a fair or poor job.

 

“After nearly one month in office, voters’ honeymoon with the new Democratic governor remains strong,” Greenberg said.  “Even Republicans give him a better than three-to-one favorable rating and a better than two-to-one job performance rating.  Not surprisingly, one-third of voters haven’t seen enough to have an opinion on how Sptizer is doing on the job, but they overwhelmingly have a favorable view of him.”

 

Bruno is viewed favorably by 17 percent of voters and unfavorably by 36 percent; 47 percent don’t know enough to have an opinion.  Silver is 20 percent favorable, 37 percent unfavorable, 43 percent don’t know enough.  Only 22 percent of voters think the Assembly is doing an excellent or good job, while 64 percent think it’s doing a fair or poor job.  The Senate doesn’t fare much better with a job performance rating of 27 percent excellent or good, 62 percent fair or poor.

 

“Based on the way they are re-elected, voters may like their own legislators but they overwhelmingly believe that both houses of the Legislature are not performing well,” Greenberg said.  “Among those who know them, voters have a very negative view of both Bruno and Silver. 

 

“By a strong margin, voters prefer the status quo of a divided Legislature.  While one-third of voters believe that it would be better to have one party control both the Senate and the Assembly, 56 percent think it’s better to have each house controlled by a different political party.  While Democrats are evenly split on this question, two-thirds of Republicans and independents support a split Legislature.”

 

Attorney General Andrew Cuomo has a 48-29 percent favorable rating, with 23 percent not knowing enough to rate him.  Lt. Governor David Paterson is unknown to three-quarters of voters and has a

17-8 percent favorable rating.  A plurality (45 percent) of voters believe the state is headed on the right track, while 26 percent believe the state is going in the wrong direction.

 

 

This SRI survey was conducted January 24-25, 2007 by telephone calls to 625 registered New York State voters. 

It has a margin of error of + 3.9 percentage points. For more information or comments, please call Steven Greenberg at

518-469-9858.        Survey cross-tabulations and frequencies can be found at:   http://www.siena.edu/sri/SienaNewYorkPoll.asp
 

 

 

Siena Research Institute

Siena College, Loudonville, NY

www.siena.edu/sri

 

Siena New York Poll Trends – January 2007

 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Eliot Spitzer?

 

            Date                           Favorable         Unfavorable        Don’t Know/No Opinion

            January 2007                         75                          10                                   16

            November 15, 2006              75                          14                                   12

            November 3, 2006                74                          17                                   10

            October 2006                       69                          20                                   12

            September 2006                    74                          16                                   10

            August 2006                          71                          15                                   15

            June 2006                             68                          16                                   16 

            May 2006                             63                          19                                   19

            March 2006                          62                          18                                   20 

            January 2006                         59                          19                                   23

            November 2005                    65                          15                                   20

            October 2005                       61                          19                                   20 

            August 2005                          60                          14                                   26             

            July 2005                              62                          15                                   22

            June 2005                             59                          15                                   25

            May 2005                             58                          17                                   25

            April 2005                             53                          18                                   29

            March 2005                          50                          18                                   32

February 2005                      48                          17                                   34

 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Andrew Cuomo?

 

            Date                           Favorable         Unfavorable        Don’t Know/No Opinion

            January 2007                         48                          29                                   23

            November 15, 2006              50                          36                                   15

            November 3, 2006                49                          36                                   15

            October 2006                       44                          42                                   15

            September 2006                    50                          35                                   15 

            August 2006                          44                          35                                   21

            June 2006                             47                          29                                   24 

            January 2006                         45                          31                                   24

 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about George Bush?

 

            Date                           Favorable         Unfavorable        Don’t Know/No Opinion

            January 2007                        

26                          67                                     8

            November 15, 2006              28                          65                                     7

            September 2006                    36                          61                                     3

 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Hillary Clinton?

 

            Date                           Favorable         Unfavorable        Don’t Know/No Opinion

            January 2007                         60                          33                                   7

            November 15, 2006              65                          29                                   6

            November 3, 2006                61                          33                                   6

            October 2006                       56                          38                                   6

            September 2006                    60                          37                                   4   

            August 2006                          54                          38                                   7

            June 2006                             54                          38                                   8   

            May 2006                             58                          36                                   6

            March 2006                          55                          39                                   6   

            January 2006                         60                          37                                   3

            November 2005                    60                          34                                   6

            October 2005                       59                          35                                   6   

            August 2005                          59                          37                                   4                           

            July 2005                              60                          34                                   6   

            June 2005                             60                          33                                   7

            May 2005                             58                          35                                   7

            April 2005                             60                          33                                   6

            March 2005                          58                          34                                   8

February 2005                      61                          33                                   6

 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Joe Bruno?

 

            Date                           Favorable         Unfavorable        Don’t Know/No Opinion

            January 2007                         17                          36                                   47

            May 2006                             21                          29                                   50

            July 2005                              26                          30                                   44

            April 2005                             18                          30                                   52

 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Sheldon Silver?

 

            Date                           Favorable         Unfavorable        Don’t Know/No Opinion

            January 2007                        

20                          37                                   43

            May 2006                             24                          31                                   45

            July 2005                             

28                          34                                   38

            April 2005                             19                          30                                   50

 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Rudy Giuliani?

 

            Date                           Favorable         Unfavorable        Don’t Know/No Opinion

            January 2007                         63                          29                                     9

            November 15, 2006              63                          32                                     5

            April 2005                             63                          26                                   10

            February 2005                      61                          28                                   11

 

 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Barack Obama?

 

            Date                           Favorable         Unfavorable        Don’t Know/No Opinion

            January 2007                         50                          17                                   34

            November 15, 2006              48                          12                                   40

 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about John McCain?

 

            Date                           Favorable         Unfavorable        Don’t Know/No Opinion

            January 2007                        

51                          29                                   21

            November 15, 2006              56                          24                                   20

 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about John Edwards?

 

            Date                           Favorable         Unfavorable        Don’t Know/No Opinion

            January 2007                         49                          25                                   25

            November 15, 2006              42                          23                                   35

           

Is New York State on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?

 

            Date                           Right Track   Wrong Direction   Don’t Know/No Opinion

            January 2007                         45                          26                                   30

            November 15, 2006              52                          30                                   18

            November 3, 2006                36                          43                                   21

            October 2006                       29                          47                                   23

September 2006:                  33                          39                                   28

            August 2006                          29                          47                                   25

            June 2006                             29                          45                                   26 

            May 2006                             27                          52                                   21

            March 2006                          35                          39                                   26             

            January 2006                         34                          43                                   24

            November 2005                    38                          41                                   22

            October 2005                       34                          42                                   24 

            August 2005                          36                          44                                   20                         

            July 2005                              33                          41                                   26 

            June 2005                             30                          44                                   26

            May 2005                             29                          46                                   25

            April 2005                             29                          44                                   27

            March 2005                          26                          47                                   27

February 2005                      32                          44                                   24

 

 


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: cultofrudy; electionpresident; rudyfanclub
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1 posted on 01/29/2007 11:05:16 AM PST by areafiftyone
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To: Blackirish; Jameison; Sabramerican; BunnySlippers; tkathy; veronica; Roccus; Jake The Goose; ...

(((((POLL PING)))))


2 posted on 01/29/2007 11:06:05 AM PST by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: areafiftyone

I've been posting this........

Get This.....

Feb. 5, 2008, may become Super-Duper Tuesday with, perhaps, Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma and Utah voting on the same day..


Think about that. That means the nominee won't just be able to go to IA and NH shake some hands and come from nowhere.

They will need an entire national ground game and close to 100 million to buy radio and TV ads within a year.

They have to make the ads ....hire thousands of people..pollsters...consultants...the logistacs in this time constrant are staggering.

There are 5-6 people in the country who can pull that off. Rudy,Romney,McCaine, Hillary and maybe Obama, Colin Powell,Edwards.

The rest of the pack is already toast.




3 posted on 01/29/2007 11:07:30 AM PST by Blackirish (David Dinkins:"Rudy as President is kind of frightening.My question will be, will I move to Bermuda")
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To: areafiftyone
Spammer ping....lol.


4 posted on 01/29/2007 11:08:17 AM PST by onyx (DEFEAT Hillary Clinton, Marxist, student of Saul Alinsky & ally and beneficiary of Soros.)
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To: Blackirish

This time in 1991 Clinton was an unknown and this time in 2003 Kerry was at the bottom as well. A lot can happen in a year. And alot of us will be exposing Rino Rudy's liberal record.


5 posted on 01/29/2007 11:11:16 AM PST by Hydroshock (Duncan Hunter For President.)
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To: Hydroshock
And alot of us will be exposing Rino Rudy's liberal record.

Where? On Free Republic??? Yeaaa Riiight! That'll do it! That will make Rudy lose! I THINK NOT!

Whether you know it or not, the more you post this drivel the more people want to be on the Rudy ping list. But as I say - keep doing it and the list will get bigger and bigger!

6 posted on 01/29/2007 11:15:15 AM PST by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: onyx

I like spam! It's very tasty! ;-)


7 posted on 01/29/2007 11:16:01 AM PST by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: Hydroshock
---"This time in 1991 Clinton was an unknown and this time in 2003 Kerry was at the bottom as well. A lot can happen in a year. And alot of us will be exposing Rino Rudy's liberal record."---

Yes, but that will just raise his approval numbers in New York....LOL

Seriously, what do we even need a Primary for - or elections? Let's just crown Rudy now! What's the point? He's ahead now, and that means nobody else can catch up!

Money and poll numbers matter --- issues, blech! Who needs issues? Just fight the damn war and everybody will be happy!
8 posted on 01/29/2007 11:17:15 AM PST by TitansAFC (Pacifism is not peace; pacifists are not peacemakers.)
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To: Blackirish

WOW!! So many things have changed! YIKES!


9 posted on 01/29/2007 11:17:35 AM PST by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: areafiftyone; dirtboy

Deal with it he is a liberal rino who many conservatives will not support.


10 posted on 01/29/2007 11:17:36 AM PST by Hydroshock (Duncan Hunter For President.)
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To: areafiftyone
Clinton scores at least 50 percent with every demographic group, and leads Obama 78-13 percent with African American Democrats...

It's those ears...they don't look African and they don't look American. Wait...I take that back, there is something strangely African about them...

11 posted on 01/29/2007 11:18:25 AM PST by Dark Skies ("He who knows only his own side of the case knows little of that" ... John Stuart Mill)
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To: onyx

That guy played a serial murderer on a series I was watching last week. Figures. ;-)


12 posted on 01/29/2007 11:18:36 AM PST by BunnySlippers (SAY YES TO RUDY !!!)
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To: areafiftyone

A lot of posters LIVE on it...lol.


13 posted on 01/29/2007 11:18:42 AM PST by onyx (DEFEAT Hillary Clinton, Marxist, student of Saul Alinsky & ally and beneficiary of Soros.)
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To: Hydroshock
There were no front loaded primaries then.

The game is rigged. You need a 100 mill ASAP thats why Rudy and Hillary are scrambling now.

No more darkhorses unless they self finance like Corzine.
14 posted on 01/29/2007 11:18:51 AM PST by Blackirish (David Dinkins:"Rudy as President is kind of frightening.My question will be, will I move to Bermuda")
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To: Dark Skies

ROFLMAO!! You bad!


15 posted on 01/29/2007 11:18:55 AM PST by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: Hydroshock

That's one reason primaries are held. Who knew?


16 posted on 01/29/2007 11:19:33 AM PST by onyx (DEFEAT Hillary Clinton, Marxist, student of Saul Alinsky & ally and beneficiary of Soros.)
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To: BunnySlippers

LOL! How did it turn out for him?


17 posted on 01/29/2007 11:20:55 AM PST by onyx (DEFEAT Hillary Clinton, Marxist, student of Saul Alinsky & ally and beneficiary of Soros.)
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To: Hydroshock

Oh I can deal with it. I think the problem is you can't because Rudy is so high in the polls regardless of the drivel you have been posting here since he first announced his exploratory committee. Your plan Didn't work did it?


18 posted on 01/29/2007 11:21:09 AM PST by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: onyx; areafiftyone

Fried Spam is delish. Nothing like Spam on a shingle.


19 posted on 01/29/2007 11:21:54 AM PST by BigSkyFreeper (There is no alternative to the GOP except varying degrees of insanity)
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To: areafiftyone

The truth is coming out on him.


20 posted on 01/29/2007 11:21:55 AM PST by Hydroshock (Duncan Hunter For President.)
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