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Reweighting Newsweek's '08 Poll(Newsweek already tilting the field for Hillary/Dems)
pattrickruffini.com ^ | 1-20-07 | Patrick Ruffini

Posted on 01/20/2007 9:24:50 PM PST by jeltz25

It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that Newsweek’s polling leaves much to be desired. Nevertheless, a poll showing Hillary essentially tied with the leading Republican candidates will probably get a lot of attention on a weekend where the former First Lady took the plunge with her exploratory committee.

Newsweek shows Hillary leading John McCain by 1 and trailing Rudy Giuliani by 1. John Edwards’ advantage over McCain and Giuliani is 5 and 3 points respectively. Obama leads McCain by 2 and trails Giuliani by 2.

In polling against Hillary, both leading Republicans capture more of their base than any Democrat does their base, while generally getting more of the independent vote. So, the Party breakdown of registered voters in this poll comes as no surprise:

Republican 26% Democrat 37% Independent 33% No party/Not interested 2% Other party * Don’t know 2%

That’s right, the poll is +11D, and there are suddenly 30% less Republicans than there were last November.

How would these results look if the responses were re-weighted to reflect the makeup of the electorate in 2006, an overwhelmingly Democratic year?

Giuliani 51.8% - Clinton 44.6% McCain 50.5% - Clinton 45.2%

Giuliani 50.6% - Obama 42.5% McCain 47.4% - Obama 44.4%

Giuliani 49.3% - Edwards 45.2% McCain 47.2% - Edwards 45.9%


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; hillary; mccain; pollfraud; rudy
Newsweek is already fixing polls to make Hillary and the rest of the dems look in better shape than they really are. This will only continue. As much the MSM was againt Bush in '04, they suffered because they were never really for Kerry. Once they get behind Hillary, watch out.

She will be dangerous. I would vote for any Republican over her and I'd even take Bill over her if I had to(I know that's sacrilege, but if I had to choose between the two and there was no other option, I'd go with him). The onslaught hasn't even begun yet.

1 posted on 01/20/2007 9:24:52 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: jeltz25
bump
HANGING HILLARY: ClintoNNpolls fraud
How the clintons are handling the hillary dud factor 6

WITH A FREE REPUBLIC EXCLUSIVE by Howlin
by Mia T, 01.17.07




COPYRIGHT MIA T 2007


2 posted on 01/20/2007 10:32:35 PM PST by Mia T (Stop Clintons' Undermining Machinations (The acronym is the message.))
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To: jeltz25

Maybe we need to enter Democratic primaries and caucuses to stop her?


3 posted on 01/21/2007 9:11:57 AM PST by Heartofsong83
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To: jeltz25

Actually this is ENCORAGING ...

We just had a tough election for Republicans, and this shows that Republicans are not down, even if Bush is. Frankly, I'm shocked it is not "obama leads by double-digits, AMericans polled want to do away with 2008 election and annoint him king now." ... or nonsense like that.

We really need a conservative alternative to Rudy or McCain. The media shutout of conservatives is quite annoying.


4 posted on 01/21/2007 2:27:20 PM PST by WOSG (The 4-fold path to save America - Think right, act right, speak right, vote right!)
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To: Heartofsong83

Good gosh, no. Voting for a Democrat is like voting for your favorite room in hell. Dont even bother.

You are needed in the *GOP Primaries* to make sure we vote for a real conservative and not a RINO!!!


5 posted on 01/21/2007 2:28:54 PM PST by WOSG (The 4-fold path to save America - Think right, act right, speak right, vote right!)
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