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Warming could spur "evolution explosion": study (fast-growing weeds evolve/adapt to climate change)
Reuters on Yahoo ^ | 1/9/07 | Deborah Zabarenko

Posted on 01/09/2007 6:33:54 PM PST by NormsRevenge

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Fast-growing weeds have evolved over a few generations to adapt to climate change, which could signal the start of an "evolution explosion" in response to global warming, scientists reported on Monday.

This means that the weeds will likely keep up with any attempts to develop crops that can adapt to global warming, said Arthur Weis, a professor of ecology and evolutionary biology at the University of California, Irvine.

But some long-lived species -- like the venerated California redwood tree, with a life-span of hundreds of years -- will not have the capacity to adapt so quickly, because their life cycles are so long, Weis said in a telephone interview.

The quick-growing weedy plant known as field mustard showed the ability to change reproductive patterns over a period of just seven years, Weis said.

"If you take a climate shift, such as we've had here in southern California, in a very few number of generations you can get a change in ecologically important traits that can allow these fast-growing weedy species to hang on and actually do well despite the change in environments," he said.

Weis and his colleagues cultivated two sets of mustard seeds in a greenhouse: one set collected in 1997, just before a five-year drought, and a second set collected in 2004, after the drought ended.

The plants were divided into three groups, with each getting different amounts of water, ranging from drought-dry to soggy. In every case, the post-drought generation of plants flowered earlier, meaning the plants could produce seeds before the soil dried out. Late-bloomers would wither before any seeds were produced in a drought year.

SPEEDED-UP LIFE-CYCLE

How fast a change is this, on the evolutionary timetable? Weis calculated that this represents a 16 percent acceleration of the mustard plants' life-cycle over seven generations.

"That's a pretty big change in age of maturation," he said.

Asked to hypothetically compare this to evolutionary changes in people, Weis offered what he termed a very crude analogy: if humans evolved at the same rate as the mustard plants in the experiment, the average onset of the age of reproduction in humans would slip from 16 years to 13 1/2 in seven generations.

Weis is spearheading a project to collect, dry and freeze seeds from around North America so they can be studied 50 years from now. He figures that global warming will prompt lots of evolutionary changes and scientists will want to have evidence of plants before the changes occurred. The effort is called Project Baseline.

"If global climate change is coming, and it is, we have this huge unplanned experiment in evolutionary biology facing us," Weis said. "Climate change could lead to an evolution explosion. ... This gives scientists an unprecedented opportunity to look at the actual nuts and bolts of evolutionary change."

The idea is for scientists in the mid-21st century to go back to the same locations where plants are being collected and note the differences between the plants from the different time periods.

Research by Weis and his team was published in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climatechange; evolution; globalwarming; study; weeds
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To: NormsRevenge
But some long-lived species -- like the venerated California redwood tree, with a life-span of hundreds of years -- will not have the capacity to adapt so quickly, because their life cycles are so long,

True.  But it's unlikely the climate in northern California could get hot fast enough to kill them anytime soon.  

If the weather changed enough to stop the regular fogs though, those forests would be toast in short order.

I don't know what kind of temperature change that would take.  It's more likely that a permanent shift in the currents off southern Oregon and northern California would do it.

21 posted on 01/09/2007 9:23:54 PM PST by Psycho_Bunny
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To: Jaysun

Wow. That's just....sad. What a pathetic perspective you have.


22 posted on 01/09/2007 9:26:54 PM PST by Psycho_Bunny
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To: NormsRevenge
But some long-lived species -- like the venerated California redwood tree, with a life-span of hundreds of years -- will not have the capacity to adapt so quickly, because their life cycles are so long, Weis said in a telephone interview.

Well, guess what, Weis Guy? The current CO2 increase is expected to last only for a couple of hundred years more. With their lifespans of 'hundreds of years, there's every reason to expect the redwood forests to weather any relatively transient climatic changes due to atmospheric CO2 concentrations just fine.

23 posted on 01/09/2007 9:37:14 PM PST by Post Toasties
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To: Post Toasties
Oops. That's CO2.
24 posted on 01/09/2007 9:39:42 PM PST by Post Toasties
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To: Psycho_Bunny
Wow. That's just....sad. What a pathetic perspective you have.

Are you serious? Because I wasn't.
25 posted on 01/09/2007 10:50:31 PM PST by Jaysun (I've never paid for sex in my life. And that's really pissed off a lot of prostitutes.)
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To: o_zarkman44
"climate change"

Your response reflects too much thinking and logic. You will never be a liberal. (smirk) Actually I've always been perplexed at the libs perpetual whine of disaster due to climate change. They never see any possible positive happenings (like expanded areas of agricultural growth) that would occur due to global warming. With the leftists there can be nothing but disaster from g-w. By leftist logic then global cooling, even leading up to another ice age, would be a positive thing.

26 posted on 01/10/2007 2:12:54 AM PST by driftless2
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To: Jaysun
Sounds like a good idea to me.

People tend to forget that trees are a renewable resource.

27 posted on 01/10/2007 3:40:26 AM PST by Northern Yankee ( Stay The Course!)
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To: Northern Yankee

How many climate change cycles have the giant redwood trees adapted to already?

I predict the giant redwoods will be destroyed by wildfires, and not by climate changes, because of the environmentalist continued blocking of forest harvesting and resource management by logging industry.


28 posted on 01/10/2007 5:10:12 AM PST by o_zarkman44
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To: o_zarkman44
Exactly!

When you think how long the redwoods have been around, its folly to predict they are going to meet their demise real soon.

29 posted on 01/10/2007 9:43:17 AM PST by Northern Yankee ( Stay The Course!)
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To: driftless2

Just wait. If the globe started into a long-term cooling trend (on the scale of decades), people would be barking about the coming ice age.


30 posted on 01/10/2007 3:42:02 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (“Don’t overestimate the decency of the human race.” —H. L. Mencken)
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