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To: Bubba Ho-Tep
Of course, the result of having your money strictly on the basis of precious metals means that the money supply can only expand as more metals are discovered, mined, refined and minted. The effect is deflationary as products chase a limited amount of money, people who have money don't spend it (because they'll get more from a desperate seller tomorrow) and counterfeiting becomes more attractive.

That's all very true, but your premise seems to be that deflation is a bad thing. Why do you think so?

154 posted on 11/28/2006 2:35:11 PM PST by Smile-n-Win (Disband the UN. Execute Kofi.)
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To: Smile-n-Win
"...but your premise seems to be that deflation is a bad thing. Why do you think so?"

B/c when deflation hits contracts have been pegged to pre-deflation dollars, while the goods/services used to raise money to make those payments is now paid in deflated buckaroos. To wit, the loan, mortgage, whatever has now becomes bigger. A h### of a lot bigger.

Thus:

-- You own Acme Widgets. Your widgets sells for $1.00 each. It cost you, oh, let's say 91¢ -- for raw materials wages, maintenance, utilities, taxes, etc.-- to make each widget. The remaining 8¢ is obscene profit.

-- You borrow $1,000 from the bank to buy and install a machine that will stamp your widgets with just-too-cute-for-words pictures of puppies on them.

-- All told you'll pay the bank back, oh, let's say $1,010 for the loan. Theoretically you need to sell 1,010 widgets to pay off this loan.

-- Then one day you wake up and find deflation has struck. The price of everything has been chopped by 50% -- bam!

-- Your widgets are now selling for 50¢ each. But the money you borrowed (the $1,010) is based on widgets selling for $1 each.

-- So now instead of needing to sell 1,010 widgets to pay off your debt, you need to sell 2,020 widgets -- double what you originally budgeted.

-- Worse, every widget you make you lose money.
Remember?
$1.00 widget, selling price
- .92 fixed cost to make same
-------
$0.08 profit

Well, with this deflation its now:
$0.50 widget, selling price
$0.92 fixed cost to make
-------
$0.48 in the hole...well, more like 50¢ in the hole since you (also) won't be making you obscene profit of 8¢.

So every widget you make you lose money, but you gotta pay back that bank loan some how! Rise the price? No dice. The public just ain't gonna spend $2.00+ for widgets, even widgets with just-too-cute-for-words pictures of puppies on them. B/c chances are they just found themselves with 50% less pay, same as you.

220 posted on 11/28/2006 3:27:26 PM PST by yankeedame ("Oh, I can take it but I'd much rather dish it out.")
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