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To: Torie

Your thoughts?


17 posted on 11/26/2006 10:29:19 AM PST by Sabramerican (Says the piano player: America's greatest legacy will be to create a Palestinian State)
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To: Sabramerican
I don't think the Iran/Syria initiative is going anywhere. They have no incentive to stop Iraq's slide in chaos.

The policy prescription here is to have US troops engage in the whole region. The US does not have the troops to do that, and certainly not the political will. Where we are headed I think is some kind of de facto partition of Iraq and Lebanon.

Israel is on its own. It will need to make Gaza and the West Bank into Bantustans, in the sense of controlling what goes in and out. If successful in that control, then over time, if economic activity is generated in the Bantustans as the violence subsides (if it does), and living standards increase, maybe the Arabs will see the advantages of working out something realistic, since they will have more to lose. Maybe.

Things just aren't working out very well. In any event, neither Israel nor the US is prepared to incur the cost and the body count to remake the region. It just isn't going to happen.

That is who I see it, and call it.

18 posted on 11/26/2006 10:44:42 AM PST by Torie
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