Posted on 11/14/2006 9:08:04 AM PST by MNJohnnie
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1738103/posts?page=1
Swing District Analysis NFRA Newsletter ^ | November 12, 2006 | Grover Norquist
Posted on 11/13/2006 8:18:22 PM CST by WOSG
There are now 58 House Democrats elected in districts that voted for Bush in 2004. There are now only nine House Republicans elected in districts that voted for Kerry in 2004. Note the larger Bush Margins than Kerry margins. Those 58 Dem’s are in more difficult districts than the nine R’s.
If in 2008 the R's only won those districts that performed 58% or more for Bush in 2004 they would pick up 18seats.
If in 2008, the R's only win those districts that performed 55% or more for Bush in 2004, they would pick up 32 seats.
Remember, when Bush won in 2004 it was with only 51% of the vote. This is a low party vote for president, not a Reagan landslide number.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
58 Democrats in Districts Carried by Bush
U.S. Rep. District Bush %
U.S. Rep. District
Bush %
Alan Mollohan WV-1 58%
Mike McIntyre NC-7 56%
Allen Boyd FL-2 54%
Mike Ross AR-4 51%
Bart Gordon
TN-6 60%
Nick Rahall WV-3 53%
Bart Stupak MI-1 53%
Rick Boucher
VA-9 59%
Ben Chandler KY-6 58%
Ruben Hinojosa TX-15 55%
Bob Etheridge NC-2
54%
Sanford Bishop GA-2 54%
Brian Baird
WA-3 50%
Solomon Ortiz TX-27 55%
Bud Cramer AL-5 60%
Stephanie Herseth
SD-AL 60%
Charlie Melancon LA-3 58%
Ted Strickland OH-6 51%
Chet Edwards TX-17
70%
Tim Bishop NY-1 49%
Collin Peterson
MN-7 55%
Tim Holden PA-17 58%
Dan Boren OK-2 59%
Vic Snyder
AR-2 51%
Darlene Hooley OR-5 50%
Harry Mitchell AZ-5 54%
Dennis Cardoza CA-18
50%
Gabrielle Giffords AZ-8 53%
Dennis Moore
KS-3 55%
Jerry McNerney CA-11 54%
Earl Pomeroy ND-AL 63%
Tim Mahoney
FL-16 54%
Gene Taylor MS-4 68%
Joe Donnelly IN-2 56%
Henry Cuellar TX-28
53%
Brad Ellsworth IN-8 56%
Ike Skelton
MO-4 58%
Baron Hill IN-9 59%
Jim Marshall GA-3 55%
Nancy Boyda
KS-2 59%
Jim Matheson UT-2 66%
Tim Walz MN-1 51%
John Salazar CO-3
55%
Heath Shuler NC-11 57%
John Spratt
SC-5 57%
Carol Shea-Porter NH-1 51%
John Tanner TN-8 53%
Kristen Gillibrand
NY-20 54%
Leonard Boswell IA-3 50%
Mike Arcuri NY-24 53%
Lincoln Davis TN-4
58%
Zack Space OH-18 57%
Loretta Sanchez
CA-47 50%
Jason Altmire PA-4 54%
Marion Berry AR-1 52%
Chris Carney
PA-10 60%
Melissa Bean IL-8 56%
Steve Kagen WI-8 55%
9 Republicans in Districts Carried by Kerry
U.S. Rep. District Kerry %
Charlie Dent PA-15 50%
Jim Gerlach PA-6 51%
Christopher Shays CT-4
54%
Mark Kirk IL-10 53%
Dave Reichert*
WA-8 51%
Michael Castle DE-AL 53%
Heather Wilson* NM-1 51%
Rob Simmons*
CT-2 54%
James Walsh NY-25 50%
*indicates official election results not in
Straight Maxwell House, or one of their boutique coffees?
I don't even know what 100% conservative is, if there is such a thing. Purity is a foolish endeavor. But, there are some issues that are make or break. The problem is that that standard is different for everyone.
After the election thats what happened around here.
What an evil women. She must be very lonely and ugly.
A culture of corruption in the dem party??? say it ain't so. I am shocked!! Whoda thunk it??
:), Well I thought maybe you were out, and kept refreshing your posting history to find it...lmao
It's funny when I hear socialist argue that religious people are irrational. Given socialism's 100% failure rate, belief in it is inherently irrational.
I am on a Pumpkin Spice Coffee Creamer kick right now. Yum.
Hey, MN. Thank you.
She's your typical commie witch. She Say's "religion is not progressive" I thought to myself, so socialism is progressive? I think not.
No one politician is going to be perfect and share your beliefs on every issue.
You have to pick the one that you agree with the most, or that you know will be strong on the WOT (in my case).
"Afternoon. Is FR slow again??
There are whispers in the Congressional community that Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi maybe counting her chickens before they have hatched. It seems that many moderate Democrats are waking up with a hangover worse than a Sailor after a three day liberty.
Back channel chat between the newly majority Dems and the still sore GOPers may be coming to a deal to pull the rug out from under Ms. Pelosi by choosing a moderate or conservative Democrat congressman for Speaker that both can support.
Congresswoman Pelosi has already become more of a lightning rod in a position that she hasn't taken yet, than former Speaker Newt Gingrich. Many southern Democrats are already at odds with the liberals poised to take commitee chairmanships and three have considered changing party affiliation.
Two high-ranking Democrats have already been publically rebuked, Congressman Steny Hoyer of Maryland and Congresswoman Jane Harmon of California. Most notably, in breach of Beltway etiquette, assumed Speaker Pelosi openly supporting Congressman John Murtha, Pennsylvania, for Majority Leader over Hoyer.
One aide, who didn't want to be identified, said, "It might be time to take her down a notch or two, referring to Pelosi. If she keeps the way she's been going, someone might pour a bucket of water over her head!", referring to the climactic scene in the film "The Wizard of Oz".
Rush is about the only sane broadcaster in a growing insane world...
Popped in to read this thread before heading to jury duty. I'll likely not be able to be on even in lurk mode until the week is out.
Little bit.
LOL. Me, too. I'm nearing the end of my stash. Should've gotten more :(
Or there's the Rich Galen's http://mulling.com solution. If all the Republicans got together and voted for the least objectionable Dumbocrat (Hoyer?), it would only take 15 Dem votes to make a majority...
And it looks like the 'Rats are fixin' to find that out the hard way.
Awwwwwww......
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