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Crusher's 20 Reasons for Electoral Optimism
author | 11/11/06 | Crusher

Posted on 11/11/2006 2:28:17 PM PST by crusher

In looking back at the electoral wipe out last Tuesday, I am left with a sense of great optimism facing those with my political world view. There is no doubt about the breadth of the election outcome mechanics, given that the Democrats picked up a large number of Senate, House, and gubernatorial seats previously held by Republicans while I believe the GOP took exactly ZERO seats in return. Think about that for a minute.

Here are but a few reasons why I am excited for the future based on the recent and immediate past. It is neither a complete nor perfect analysis, but it gives me comfort nevertheless. A number of my observations reflect the premise that the Dinosaur Media is not a rational place, and that Liberalism is not a cogent world-view, and so these foundations are not explicitly elucidated in-depth. Combined with my opinion that the USA is NOT a conservative polity, I remain a long-term pessimist about the ascendency of constitutional principles (admittedly the statistics about fertility give me hope, as conservatives are out-birthin’ the libs by almost 2:1) Nor am I underestimating the amount of catastrophic damage that can be inflicted by the Moonbat Brigades in a short while. We have yet to recover from the Carter fiasco, and we may never recover from the Xlintoon malignancy. They are quite simply the most wretched public figure in American history.

But on to happier thoughts.

1. The GOP got what it deserved, even if I didn’t deserve what it got. Over the years they had become increasingly imperious, corrupt, debauched, contemptuous of their constituency, and unconcerned with reality, responsibility and security. In short, they provided no alternative to the Democrats, and paid the price for it. For those of us who espouse rational principle-based behavior wherein actions have consequences, this punishment is a very good sign for the future.

2. Also, anyone who does not think this was a repudiation of “W” is simply not paying attention. And how is this good? Unlike Beelzebubba, whose mental illnesses (narcissism and sexual psychopathology) will not allow him to withdraw gracefully from public life, at least W has the good manners to know by 2008 that his place is in the past, and unlike Xlintoon he will retreat there. “W” won’t be on the ballot, and will possibly not even be an issue except to keep the Moonbat Brigades in full braying mode.

3. The electorate rejected half-measure “conservatism;” why vote for a socialist wannabe when you can have the real thing? Interestingly enough, the electorate indicated it generally may not yet want even real socialists (see below) but it definitely does not want luke-warm ones either. The GOP collectivist is really a faint replica. If you don’t think so, just compare a socialist-lite nitwit like Lincoln Chaffee or Mike DeWine with a hard core Stalinist like Dean, Pelosi, Kennedy or Feingold.

4. Notwithstanding the breadth of the results, their depth was but a micron deep. 2/3 of the races resulting in House switches had a margin of something like 2 or 3%. You can claim a mandate all you want with results like that, but it won’t sell except in the Lamestream Media, especially when you aren’t spouting anything even remotely resembling a platform, except that you hate W and you aren’t him, and...

5. ...The Dems have honed the blade of hate politics to a keen edge, but hatred is a poor way to build a stable transcendent movement, political or otherwise. Make no mistake about it, the closest thing to a thread in these elections was that the Dems hate “W,” and I am not using hyperbole. In fact, their hatred is so all-consuming that they have devolved so far from reality that they live under the delusion that since in their minds his electoral victories were not legitimate, he is not really the President, so we are not really at war. To quote Speaker-elect Pelosi, “Iraq is not a war to be won, it is a problem to be solved.” I guess that settles that. Unfortunately for all of us, the Islamobarbarians do not buy into this particular madness.

6. On the other hand, there is in my mind the very slight but very real possibility that, traitorous Jack Murtha notwithstanding, the Dems may be more aggressive in fighting against those very same Islamobarbarians. Why? First and foremost, they will have a very friendly press to report barbarian atrocities rather than accuse US troops of being monsters, and to report the wonderful progress being made under Dem “leadership.” Plus, this posture will sell well in purple states. Consider this - all the ‘08 Dem Prez candidate has to do win is hold all the states Gore or Kerry won and pick up JUST ONE MORE. Security is good politics, and when it comes to political hardball the Dems are the Yankees and the Pubbies are Sid’s Bar and Grill slo-pitch team.

7. The election purged a number of RINO’s from the ranks of party leadership, which is an extraordinarily important thing. Even more, the one most painful transfers in the Senate was the result of Santorum foolishly supporting Arlen Sphincter two years ago (after basically being blackmailed by W and Rove) rather allowing Toomey and Sphincter to have a fair contest. Santorum lost the ‘06 election in ‘04. Dewine and Chaffee were worthless. The sizeable population of RINOs in the Senate indicate we may be seeing two more election cycles to get rid of them. Think Joshua. Think Jericho.

8. The election smoked out a bunch of Not-Ready-for Prime Time GOP minor leaguers like Allen, who until this inept campaign had been my fave for Prez ‘08, and other lightweights like Talent. It was certainly better to learn now that Allen wasn’t particularly gifted before we became invested in his Presidential run. Anyone that undisciplined and apparently a goober-doofus to the core such as he is best not to have to think about much anymore.

9. Thanks to the defeat of important allies like DeWine and Chaffee, John McLame is weaker than before, so that’s a really good thing. Additionally, the transformation of McLame lieutenant Lindsay Grahamcracker into a conceited self-parody who will likely be booted out in ‘08 makes it even better. To be sure the Dinosaur Media is intent in him as the putative nominee, but I think he was weakened immensely by the electoral tenor and outcome. He concerns me deeply as I truly believe him to be mentally deranged, and I literally cannot decide whether I would be more frightened in ‘08 by an insane candidate (McLame) or an evil one (Hitlery). I hope I do not have to choose between Captain Queeg and Vladimira Lenin. If the GOP must have a liberal candidate, let it be Rudy.

10. At some level, sleaze and corruption lost and virtue and integrity won when there was a choice between the two (not unanimously given the outcome in NJ, but it and RI are wholly owned subsidiaries of Tony Soprano). At least at the political rhetoric level, most of the new Dem candidates portrayed themselves as more decent, moral, virtuous, and just than their GOP counterpart. Ya gotta love that.

11. The sizeable political group known as “Reagan Democrats” re-emerged in force and carried the day. But this time they won the day for the Dems. Looking at a large number of the new winners, they portrayed themselves as some combination of fiscal conservatives, family values folks, pro-gun, and anti-abortion. The fact that they won the election for the socialist/hedonist party makes it all the more fascinating.

12. There are now two distinct Democrat parties trying to co-exist and govern. Get out the popcorn ‘cause this will be great just for the entertainment value alone! I expect open warfare between the growing Blue Dog factions in both houses against the ruling Trotskyite leadership. In the House the Blue Dogs (who have much more in common with Ronald Reagan than Barney Fwank) could be as much as 25% of the majority, and I am especially looking forward to Webb taking on the commies in the Senate. For those of you who do not remember, Webb was Reagan’s Sect. Navy who quit/got fired because to was too kick-ass! He wants to turn the Marines loose in Eye-wreck to let them get the job done.

13. If the Blue Dogs win control of the Party, that is good for the nation just as the first purging of communists was important c.1950 with the banishment of Wallace and his cell. It will, in effect, move the country away from the Left by a whole lot.

14. If the Nambla Nan and Chappaquiddick Tadpole wing of the party win, actually a likelihood since that cadre is the source of money and foot soldiers, we will be treated to a stark view of the distinctions between the hedonist/communist wing of the Democrat Party and the rest of America. It will probably lead to increasingly explicit opportunities for Americans to choose one over the other, complimented by the inevitability that marxist collectivism is always a failure on both an ideological and utilitarian scale. Remember Atlas Shrugged? A little bit of the vapid, lunatic leadership in both houses will be amazingly instructive. Of course the polity may be, after four generations of government schooling and three generations of welfare and two generations of the cancer known as political correctness, beyond instruction and critical observation. At least there will be a chance as the insanity of collectivist theology will be on constant display, and no amount of media lipstick will disguise this particular pig.

15. “W” can no longer hide behind the ineptitude and fecklessness of what would be humorously be called congressional and UN “leadership.” As a limited government small “R” republican I have never been a big fan of his; he will now have to stand and be counted. With the exception of one portion of his foreign policy, he has governed mostly as an uber-left socialist. Even in his choice of Supremes, his initial steps were disastrous and his wisdom “improved” only with the threat of GOP donor money drying up. “Compassionate Conservatism” has been unmasked as what I knew it always was, socialism for rednecks. He is now a repudiated lame duck contemptuous-of-national-sovereignty big-spending leftist president with no place to hide, and I am fully prepared to be disappointed as he moves even further left. And it will be good for the conservative movement to finally realize that he is not one of us, a seed of doubt that must surely be growing given his “what, me worry?” attitude about the Mexican invasion. (I see Mexico as being at war with us just like the Islamobarbarians, but the political establishment sees neither as a threat)

16. Congressional GOP “leadership” can no longer hide behind an undisciplined and silly President. His political “magic” has now been debunked and just perhaps they will stand up to him a little bit, short circuiting his relentless desire to bankrupt the country with a whole notion of idiotic pandering schemes (kudos to the old House on immigration). Whether they do or don’t, they’re on their own now. Among the elected “leadership” we now may have replaced a decent but milquetoast Senate leader with a whole cluster of tigers willing to treat politics the same way their opponents do – as a full contact sport except for the times when it is outright war – and insipid and corrupt former House leaders relegated to obscurity and another clan of tigers waiting in the wings. In the past, we had --in the Senate especially-- a group who never passed up an opportunity to pass up and opportunity. In both houses, we formerly had leaders of majorities who refused to believe of act like they were the majority. They have now seen conclusively that they cannot “work with” collectivists, and they will find out first hand how a real majority behaves as they find themselves stomped and crushed at every turn. I hope it wakes them up. Bipartisanship is when the Evil Party and the Stoopid Party collaborate to do evil, stoopid things. May it rest in peace.

17. This election revealed for the upteenth time that a cogent presentation of conservative principles can work while smear campaigns alone are inadequate to win in their absence. It does not work both ways, of course, and the Left can impugn their opponents not only with impunity but the active complicity of the Dinosaur Media, who can be counted on to provide a relentless drumbeat of negativity and obfuscation in perpetuity, and that ain’t gonna change any time soon. I read an interesting analysis of electoral campaign advertising that reported approximately $1billion was spent during the 18-month campaign season. Compare this to the cumulative value and effect of news cheerleading or condemnation during the same period. By this analysis there was approximately $10 Billion time-value worth of political “reporting” of which about 8% was favorable to conservatives. The only thing to cut through that cacophony is a laser-like focused articulate message presented comprehensibly to the polity. The blueprint for conservative electoral success is right in front of us with brilliant clarity; what more could we ask for?

18. For the 14th consecutive election the most important arbiter of electoral outcome is the so-called conservative “values voters.” When they show up to vote with a vengeance, the GOP conservatives win. When they have anything less than this level of enthusiasm and commitment, GOP conservatives do not win. This pattern has had a correlation factor R-value of almost 1 since it emerged with Reagan’s first election in 1980. The margins of many elections are so close that any affect of this phenomenon in either direction is practically causative. Let me give two divergent examples from this election, Santorum and Talent. In Santorum’s case, the animus generated by his very public support of Arlen Sphincter cost him dearly, mostly in organizational ardor. In a blue state, a red candidate has to have an organization who simply out-hustles their opponents. Didn’t happen this time, especially since Casey could persuasively portray himself as a pro-lifer like his dad, who was actually banned from speaking at the Dem convention years ago because he was pro-life. Casey Jr. could effectively run a campaign completely devoid of content because Santorum’s support was so tepid in the early days, and he never caught up. In Talent’s case, he was behind a ton when the values voters got motivated by the stem-cell research plebiscite. Their passion brought the plebiscite from losing by more than 40% to a final defeat of 2%, while they helped Talent close his margin by 1% PER WEEK over the last two months of the campaign. Finally, there is much cause for optimism as the plebiscites presented articulately mostly won, ranging from stemming the southern invasion to gay “marriages.” To be sure our polity is still addicted to copulation without consequence, so there is yet much room for work.

19. The GOP is now ready to be rebuilt with new leadership inside and outside government with articulate, principled, engaging, conservative leadership. A change in leadership temperament is even more important at a practical level than ideological purification. The lessons are there to be learned, all that is required is a modicum of attentiveness, a quality sadly lacking at both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue.

20. This election will be remembered as the one where brilliant and charismatic men like Michael Steele and Ken Blackwell were elevated to national prominence. A 10% switch of black votes from Dem to GOP has astounding implications. (That’s why Clarence Thomas had to be destroyed way back when) Steele is apparently a front-runner for GOP chairmanship in January. Need I say more?

My two cents from the Peoples Republic of Prince George's County, Maryland.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election2006; futureplanning
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To: crusher
Peggy Noonan couldn't have prepared a better analysis. Let them dance.

PS. Is TBS really rolling out The Liquor Channel with Christopher Hutchins?
41 posted on 11/12/2006 6:28:08 AM PST by Broker (Haddi Nuff)
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To: arthurus

In the Northeast it seems that Republicans still won't vote for a black man.


I think this is wrong. I think if you put a strong black man up for election they will vote for him. The problem with Steele is that he said he was Steele Democrat and that turned Republicans off. Why he tried to be Ronald Reagan I don't know. In fact, Ronald Reagan never said that about HIMSELF but refered to the voters in that way. I thing that cost him the election. Just my humble opinion.


42 posted on 11/12/2006 6:29:39 AM PST by napscoordinator
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To: arthurus

I don't think Chaffee or Snow are black. At least they weren't last year.

Indubitably. My point obviously is that as a middle-class conservative I am likely to have a lot more in common with a black conservative politician than a rich, liberal, elitist politician. We will certainly be a better country when we ignore racial categories and vote for honest politicians that will work for the greatest good.


43 posted on 11/12/2006 6:52:02 AM PST by sgtyork (Prove to us that you can enforce the borders first.)
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To: crusher
What a great opinion post! I laughed out loud several times and feel you hit the nail on the head numerous times.

Thanks.

44 posted on 11/12/2006 8:10:34 AM PST by an amused spectator (The Credit Party - the Dine-And-Dash Democrats line up the sheep for shearing again)
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To: MrRights
We MUST find a way to take on the MEDIA....have to do this. They are our worst enemy.

They're taking care of the problem themselves. Their most loyal audience is the WWII generation, which, if I'm not mistaken, has not discovered the secret of immortality.

The youth of America doesn't watch the alphabet network news, and they don't read papers.

The lamestream drive-bys can only get them in small doses, which is not enough to be effective.

Now, our generation is about 50-50. Most of us don't have time to waste on the major media.

45 posted on 11/12/2006 8:20:14 AM PST by an amused spectator (The Credit Party - the Dine-And-Dash Democrats line up the sheep for shearing again)
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To: crusher

bookmark


46 posted on 11/12/2006 8:21:21 AM PST by GiovannaNicoletta
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To: arthurus

In an overtaxed environment, if tax rates are lowered suddenly, there is a positive one-off effect that does increase tax revenues. If your government thinks that's okay to spend (rather than to retire debt or provide for unfunded liabilities such as Social Security and Medicare), then by ratcheting higher the annual spending levels it will contribute to deficit spending once the one-off effect of tax revenue enhancement fades. That deficit falls to the next generations to pay. But Republicans did more than just spend the sudden excess, they increased future unfunded liabilities with the Seniors Drug prescription plan. Their raided future generations.


47 posted on 11/12/2006 8:27:48 AM PST by kcar
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To: Lancey Howard

The 'gang of 14' (a) helped get some judges confirmed without fireworks, *but* left us emasculated from gettign *ALL* our juedges (several still languished).

"But then I checked DeWine's ACU rating and he had a 56 in 2005. Almost Chafee numbers! Horrible!"

Not true... Chaffee numbers are around 10-20%. DeWine the RINO is *MORE* conservative than every single Democrat!!!

RINOs are not my faves, but they are better than socialists like Sherrod Brown (who propbably has a 0% ACU rating).


48 posted on 11/12/2006 5:41:10 PM PST by WOSG (The 4-fold path to save America - Think right, act right, speak right, vote right!)
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To: kcar

The Bush tax cuts payed for themselves doubly:
- increased growth meant the debt/GDP ratio got lowered
- increased growth increased long-term tax revenues.


49 posted on 11/12/2006 5:42:34 PM PST by WOSG (The 4-fold path to save America - Think right, act right, speak right, vote right!)
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To: kcar

"But cuting taxes while doubling federal spending"

It would help if you had your facts straight. Spending as a percentage of GDP has barely budged from the Clinton years.


50 posted on 11/12/2006 5:44:02 PM PST by WOSG (The 4-fold path to save America - Think right, act right, speak right, vote right!)
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To: crusher

Oh BLAH BLAH BLAH BLAH....Do you think the troops deserved it? Do you think the Iraqi people deserved it? Try to rationalize it all you want. But leftists do what they always do...they trashed our troops in a time of war...WHAT'S YOUR EXCUSE?


51 posted on 11/12/2006 5:44:43 PM PST by Hildy (RUDY GUILIANI FOR PRESIDENT IN 2008)
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To: WOSG
Chafee had a lifetime rating of 37 but only a 12 last year. Good riddance.

As far as the "Gang of 14" scheme is concerned, it is very possible (likely?) that an attempt to "go nuclear" would have failed because of the RINOs. Do you have any idea what that would have meant? Sure, we would have had a lot of fun watching the showdown, and screaming like loons in righteous indignation if we lost, but the consequences of losing that battle are too horrible to imagine. Seriously.

The "Gang of 14" con job worked beautifully, and for that I will be eternally grateful.

52 posted on 11/12/2006 5:51:32 PM PST by Lancey Howard
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To: Hildy
Hildy (RUDY GUILIANI FOR PRESIDENT IN 2008)

I'm with you on that.

53 posted on 11/12/2006 5:53:11 PM PST by Lancey Howard
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To: WOSG
Maybe you missed the Senior Drug Prescription plan, a major increase to future unfunded liabilities, compounding the already messy projections for Social Secuiry and Medicare. That may not register yet as a precentage of current GDP, but why does government think they're entitled to any specific proportional increase in GDP? Industry doesn't. They strive for produtivity increases. No Republicans got off-message and showed that one-party rule is way too expensive and that Lord Acton's warning must be kept at hand.

Incidentally I held my nose and voted straight-R again but I am seething that Republicans could be poisoned so quickly after 6 years in power. Mostly I voted R because Democrats are hopelessly unelectable swine, but like the author I don't think the R's are yet hopeless. Sit on the sidelines and think why you're here might be a blessing in disguise.

54 posted on 11/12/2006 5:58:21 PM PST by kcar
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To: crusher
Of course the polity may be, after four generations of government schooling and three generations of welfare and two generations of the cancer known as political correctness, beyond instruction and critical observation.

That chills my blood because it is so true.

A great piece and a dry-eyed view of both sides.

55 posted on 11/12/2006 6:10:54 PM PST by relictele
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To: crusher
The GOP is now ready to be rebuilt with new leadership inside and outside government with articulate, principled, engaging, conservative leadership.

Does this include Newt Gingrich? I'm hot and cold on the Newtster. His marital shenanigans are hard to get over, if only because parallels to Clinton will be drawn. Ironically, the Dems who defended Bubba would beat the drums against Gingrich and dub him morally unfit. Hypocrisy? Just another day in the life of the Dems.

Gingrich's re-entry into the spotlight wasn't very becoming with his kiss-n-mug-with-Hillary-and-the-Dems tour, either.

This election will be remembered as the one where brilliant and charismatic men like Michael Steele and Ken Blackwell were elevated to national prominence.

Love 'em both, especially Blackwell who I knew from my Cincinnati days. But they will be crucified without wood or nails. Both have had a taste of it already, of course. Obviously the party chairman is a highly visible position and the long knives will be out for him 24/7 since he'll be on TV constantly.

The Ohio/Diebold kooks already have Blackwell up on their dartboards (aside: where are the Diebold kooks throughout the country now?). Everyone thinks their favorite politician is intelligent and has strong values but I think Blackwell REALLY is intelligent and has strong values. I'm not big on party-machine politics but I hope Blackwell is elevated to a position worthy of him.

56 posted on 11/12/2006 6:25:21 PM PST by relictele
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To: mountainfolk

'Silly' is too gentle a term for Bush's immigration pratfalls.


57 posted on 11/12/2006 6:26:55 PM PST by relictele
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To: Hildy
Our troops deserve the love and respect of every American. They have gone forth to engage a very dangerous enemy. One of my problems I have with the Republicans and Bush in particular is that the reality of this war was poorly enunciated. MSM made this a Iraq = Vietnam thing, while W was saying that Islam is a religion of peace. It isn't for at least an alarmingly high percentage of a 1.2B worldwide population of believers. It didn't matter if Iraq had WMD's (I think they had a program) but once Al Qaeda joined the fray there it was war theatre #1 and we could not afford to lose. Why didn't we (Bush) say that Islamic fundamentalism is like nazism and this is WW III?

For Democrats and the MSM there is no excuse. They willingly spoke the talking points of the enemy in their shameless quest for power.

58 posted on 11/12/2006 6:29:28 PM PST by kcar
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To: MrRights
We MUST find a way to take on the MEDIA....have to do this. They are our worst enemy.

The media is a business....the only way to win in business is to compete. FNC is a great start but an entire media structure must be built outside the Broadcast Row firmament. Murdoch laughs all the way to several banks by playing both ends against the middle. I don't know if there's a white knight out there but obviously there is a (paying) audience if someone will just launch an unabashedly conservative media structure.

Unfortunately communications and J-schools continue to turn out wannabe Dan Rathers and Katie Courics at a prodigious rate.

59 posted on 11/12/2006 6:30:20 PM PST by relictele
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To: crusher

"Steele is apparently a front-runner for GOP chairmanship in January."

Would that be the pro-affirmative action Michael Steele?


"Need I say more?"

How about "No".




Nice piece, though. Thanks for the lift!


60 posted on 11/12/2006 7:13:46 PM PST by EyeGuy
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