[Diddle E. Squat]

How accurate was your "LS Rule" this year ("Take any poll and add 5-10 points to the GOP side")? 100% wrong?

[kara37]

Well that is not completely fair, a lot of the polls were at least 5% off.


SurveyUSA... Talent (R) 42% , McCaskill (D) 51% McCaskill +9.0%

SurveyUSA ...Allen (R) 44% , Webb (D) 52% Webb +8.0%

Gallop... Burns (R) 41% , Tester (D) 50% Tester +9.0%

I think the lessen here would be look at all the numbers and if every one of them shows we are losing, we probably will.

[LS]

If you read my "Losers and Winners" column, I said that the big winners this year were the pollsters.

If you want to get technical, I'm still 2 for 3 (2002 and 2004). But next time I will take the polls much more seriously and assume they are accurate until proven differently.