Posted on 11/08/2006 8:50:37 PM PST by Cincinna
Hillary Meter Just 24% Consider Clinton Likely Candidate in 2008 November 6, 2006 In the most recent Rasmussen Hillary Meter survey, former First Lady Hillary Clinton has shifted three points to the left on the ideological continuum to 58 points left of the nation’s political center. Only twice in 2006 has she been seen so far to the left. In October of 2005, she was seen as 60 points to the left of the nation’s political center. More recently, she had moved somewhat to the right, settling at 50 a month ago, and 51 a month before that.
The political center is calculated by subtracting the number of liberals from the number of conservatives among the general public (35% conservative, 18% liberal for a net +17). For the Senator, 6% conservative minus 47% liberal equals a net minus 41. The minus 41 reading for Senator Clinton is 58 points away from the plus 17 reading for the general public
At 58 points, New York’s junior Senator is perceived as being more liberal than even her husband, former President Bill Clinton. Only former Vice President Al Gore is seen by the public as further to the left than Senator. Republican Presidential hopefuls John McCain and Rudy Giuliani are seen as closer to the nation's political center. President George W. Bush is 29 points to the right of center.
Forty-seven percent (47%) of Americans now see New York’s junior Senator as politically liberal. Thirty-four percent (34%) see her as a moderate, up 4 points from the last Hillary Meter survey.
Currently, 44% report a favorable opinion of Clinton, up six points from the last survey. The number with an unfavorable opinion is down by five to 40%. A month ago, she received similar marks on this measure. Ms. Clinton enjoyed her highest favorability ratings to date in January, 2006, when 47% rated her favorably.
Thirty-nine percent (39%) of Americans say they would definitely vote against Senator Clinton if she is on the Presidential ballot in 2008. Thirty percent (30%) say they would definitely vote for her, while a quarter of respondents (25%) say their vote would depend upon who she runs against. These numbers have remained largely unchanged since the last survey. In every edition of the Hillary Meter, a plurality of Americans have said they would definitely vote against the former First Lady.
Twenty-four percent (24%) of Americans now believe that Senator Clinton is “very likely” to be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2008, 33% believe that she is “somewhat likely” to be the Democratic candidate. These numbers have changed very little since the last Hillary Meter, despite recent media speculation about other possible Democratic nominees.
The Hillary Meter is a twice monthly measure of Senator Hillary Clinton's effort to move to the political center. The next update is scheduled for Thursday, November 16, 2006. For as long as the former First Lady is a viable candidate for the White House, Rasmussen Reports will monitor public perceptions of her political ideology.
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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
Visit our Election Polls page to see a summary of our latest state-by state polling. Rasmussen Reports is polling competitive Senate and Governors' races at least once a month this year. We also update the President's Job Approval on a daily basis.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
The national telephone survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 30-31, 2006. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. (see Methodology)
She would still be a formidable candidate and she could possibly win.
24% of what, turtles?
100% of adult humans think she'll run.
But she better watch out if Senator Evan Bayh does declare his candidacy. Unlike Senator Clinton, Bayh--an Indiana native--will be far more palatable to the Democrats in "flyover country" and could do a formidable campaign.
I'm waiting for the long knives to come out and have her be the Senate Majority Leader now that they've capture both parts of Congress. Sucks to be you, Harry!
Unlike Senator Clinton, Bayh--an Indiana native--will be far more palatable to the Democrats in "flyover country" and could do a formidable campaign.
Hillary would cause me to buy a bucket.
If he runs a "high road" campaign that could be avoided. And because he is considered a Midwesterner, that makes him very palatable to Iowa caucus voters in early 2008.
Hillorat is not going to run for President! Sfe just wants to helpthe people of New York and bake Bubba`s , ah, well, sure!,COOKIES,yeah, thats right, his cookies.
She never left there.
Hillary will run, but if Evan Bayh declares his candidacy that could be trouble. American voters don't like "elitist Northeastern liberals"; both Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter cam from the South.
I believe that the election results may hurt Hillary in '08. Even though the dems were helped by running blue dogs, the real power still belongs to the far left wing of the party. Their hand was strengthened by winning congress. Hillary, on the other hand, has been trying to triangulate like Bill by acting like both a leftist and a centrist. She would have been in a perfect position to revive the democrat party had they unexpectedly lost. Now she must contend with an energized left wing base that wants someone more ideological to run for president. However, she still has considerable support in the media and among the clintonistas in the democrat party. She may still get the nomination, but I think that it just got harder.
This is nonsense. Make no mistake, Hillary has ALWAYS intended to return to 1600 Penn Ave, only on the other side of the bed. She wouldn't have endured Bill all these years otherwise. The question is, how long will it take for the now majority house and senate to impeach the President and Vice President and then put the first woman president in the WH, Nancy Pelosi.
The only good thing about this would be watching the power struggle between Pelosi/Clinton. What a cage match of death that would be................. ack.
People, you underestimate Hillary at your own peril.
Hillary will run.
Ohio went blue in 2006.
If we dont repair the damage, we face the awful prospect
of a full-bore Democrat liberal regime by 2009.
I think that winning the Congress was the Clinton's worst case scenario.
She always has.
I think Hillary and Nancy will tear each other to shreds.
Just MHO.
If you are talking about Evan Bayh, think again please....Evan votes 90% of the time with Hillary....he won't ever get our vote again in Indiana.
Hillary!08 would be foolish. She has a permanent position with more real power than the Exec Branch. Why give that up?
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