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Following the Election Returns [Hour by Hour Guide]
Opinion Journal ^ | November 7, 2006 | John Fund

Posted on 11/07/2006 4:41:39 AM PST by RobFromGa

This year the networks say they are guarding their exit poll results as if they were crown jewels. The results will be delivered to a "quarantine room," access to which will be granted to only two staffers from each network...

Given that the longer election night might not suit everyone's bedtime, I've prepared an hour-by-hour guide to tonight's results...

All times are Eastern. In a bow to tradition, we've listed states that went for George W. Bush two years ago in red and those that went for John Kerry in blue. The letters after state names indicate governor and senate races, with the incumbent party in the appropriate color (independents in black).

6 p.m.

Polls close in these two states at 6 p.m. local time, which means the eastern portions will end voting at 6 EST. The key races in both states will be a bevy of close House races featuring GOP incumbents.

In Indiana, three GOP House incumbents have been trailing their Democratic challengers in October polls, albeit with survey samples so small the margin of error is large. Watch Rep. Mike Sodrel in the Ninth District. If he wins, it will mean it's unlikely Republicans will face a huge Democratic wave and lose 30 seats or more. If Rep. Chris Chocola in the Second District should survive, the GOP may wind up losing 20 seats or fewer. If Rep. John Hostettler also comes home to victory in the Eighth District, there is a good chance the GOP will retain its House majority. Indiana's Senate race isn't competitive; Republican Dick Lugar will easily win a sixth term.

Kentucky has two barn burners. Republican Rep. Anne Northup has held Louisville's Third District for five terms...

(Excerpt) Read more at opinionjournal.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2006; elections; midterm; vote2006
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To: Heartofsong83
One other thing to remember: IGNORE THE EXIT POLLS.

Always do since they are always inaccurate.

201 posted on 11/07/2006 12:34:01 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Coop

"wasting so much negative energy "

bump to that.

Reminds me of a line that Tony Snow had on Rush yesterday - don't recall the exact wording but in effect it was that Dems were polar opposites basically of GOP. Dems are saddened by victories and instead celebrate losses. I need to find it.


202 posted on 11/07/2006 12:35:35 PM PST by bwteim (bwteim = begin with the end in mind)
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To: TomGuy

This is not what the RATS wanted.


203 posted on 11/07/2006 12:35:49 PM PST by justshutupandtakeit (If you believe ANYTHING in the Treason Media you are a fool.)
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To: watsonfellow
The really depressing thought is how awful Dole was as NRCC chair.

And how awful Frist was as Senate Majority Leader, with RINOs like McCain, Chafee, Snow and Specter running wild...

204 posted on 11/07/2006 12:36:59 PM PST by DTogo (I haven't left the GOP, the GOP left me.)
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To: CT Little Tiger

Just curious. What county would that be? We just bought a summer place in New Fairfied, CT in Fairfield County, just below Litchfield County.


205 posted on 11/07/2006 12:37:17 PM PST by Collier
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To: watsonfellow

Few have criticized a Dole any less than I, but I really don't think E. Dole is responsible for what happens today. And she has been more conservative in her voting record than I ever imagined.


206 posted on 11/07/2006 12:37:40 PM PST by Theodore R. (Cowardice is forever!)
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To: TheCornerOffice
The heavy rains here in my area (about 20 minutes north of Clearwater on the Gulf) have quit. Eerie stillness right now. Still socked in. Looks like a calm before another downpour.

This definitely will have an effect on the oldsters voting. However, most of them get up at the crack of dawn and probably a lot of them have voted already. The rest of the late afternoon and early evening will undoubtedly be the working forces (teachers, tradespeople, shop clerks, etc.). My county goes about 51% Dim and 48% Republican in the presidential elections.

Wish I had a crystal ball.

Leni

207 posted on 11/07/2006 12:37:50 PM PST by MinuteGal (Florida Freepers, keep up with FL politics & freeps on our state forum. To access it, freepmail me.)
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To: RobFromGa
Voted in NC. Congrssional District is Bad Miller vs Vernon Robinson. Smiled while I cast my vote for Robinson.

Voter turnout was light and it's been raining like heck here all day. Might see an upset for Robinson? Maybe?

208 posted on 11/07/2006 12:39:05 PM PST by wbill
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To: RobFromGa

That's "Brad Miller". Interesting Freudian slip.


209 posted on 11/07/2006 12:39:31 PM PST by wbill
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To: wbill

I was up in Greensboro-High Point the last two days, and I saw the Robinson ads, and his opponent's ads against Robinson OVER AND OVER again... Go Vernon!


210 posted on 11/07/2006 12:40:30 PM PST by RobFromGa (The GOP will retain the Senate and House in 2006- Let's Do Something With It!)
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To: RobFromGa

I just heard the Dan Rather will be on Comedy Centrals election coverage tonight with Jon Stewart.

I'm not making this up. This is the best gig Rather could get.


211 posted on 11/07/2006 12:45:24 PM PST by Proud_USA_Republican (We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good. - Hillary Clinton)
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To: Collier

It`s hopeless against Hellary which is incredible being that the beeyatch hasn`t done one damn thing for New York since getting that Senate seat through the pardons of her sexual deviant husband. It just blows the mind. I live in Astoria Queens and if you remember we had that huge blackout here over the summer, I was without electric for 8 full days. When Hellary first came into office, we had a similar blackout that lasted for about a day. She immediately blamed Bush and she promised it would never happen again so long as she were Senator. Well not only did it happen again, it was 8 times worse. So much for Hellarys promise, yet she will be re-elected by a landslide. These are the idiot voters we live around. There`s a saying "If you can make it in New york city you can make it anywhere"...What a load of garbage that saying is. There aren`t more gullible people than there are in New York city. If you can make it here, it means you made it amongst morons. The real world though is another matter. This is why Hellary chose to carpetbag in New York.


212 posted on 11/07/2006 12:46:22 PM PST by Screamname (I`m Screamname and I approve this message.)
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To: RobFromGa
Robinson was on one of the local radio stations last week. The subject of his negative campaign came up - some of his ads *were* pretty hostile, even if I did agree with him.

He explained it by saying that Miller has been the incumbent for four years, and voters needed to be given a reason to fire him. What was a turn off for me, became an eminiently logical position, as far as I was concerned. Robinson got my vote.

213 posted on 11/07/2006 12:48:22 PM PST by wbill
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To: goldstategop

I like your thinking and prediction.


214 posted on 11/07/2006 12:52:40 PM PST by unkus
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To: Coop; onyx

Went to Rush just now and found it. Here is the sentence that captures a nice distinction between GOP and DEMS:

Tony Snow: "[the Democrats] want to cast every success as an occasion for gloom."

It is so true. Just stroll through DU and you can see it in the titles of their threads.

It is from this exchange yesterday on Rush's show:

TONY SNOW: "When's the last time Howard Dean made you feel better about yourself or your country"?

RUSH: "Well, obviously never, nor does Nancy Pelosi. None of them do. They anger me at why they are so opposed to progress in this country on every angle".

TONY SNOW: "Yeah. No, I think that's right, and they also want to cast every success as an occasion for gloom. I'm just not buying it".

"If you look at what our forces have done in Iraq and Afghanistan, it's miraculous. We ought to be celebrating them. If you look at what American workers have done, it's miraculous, we ought to be celebrating them, and you've got a president who's looking at the next two years saying, "I want to roll up my sleeves and do more."

"There's no more positive politician in America today than George W. Bush".

215 posted on 11/07/2006 12:53:45 PM PST by bwteim (bwteim = begin with the end in mind)
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To: Screamname

New York City is filled with liberals up to its eyeballs. They love socialists like Hillary.


216 posted on 11/07/2006 12:54:57 PM PST by Proud_USA_Republican (We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good. - Hillary Clinton)
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To: Proud_USA_Republican
I just heard the Dan Rather will be on Comedy Centrals election coverage tonight with Jon Stewart. I'm not making this up. This is the best gig Rather could get. 211 posted on 11/07/2006 3:45:24 PM EST by Proud_USA_Republican

Will he try to prove once again that he is not
"Queen of the Space Unicorns"?

217 posted on 11/07/2006 12:55:57 PM PST by HowlinglyMind-BendingAbsurdity
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To: RobFromGa; bwteim; onyx

I'm feeling pretty darned good about George Allen's chances in VA. And Rudy Giuliani was just on Hannity's radio show, saying MD numbers were looking strong for Ehrlich winning re-election and perhaps Steele "steeling" a Senate seat. :-)


218 posted on 11/07/2006 12:57:43 PM PST by Coop (FR = a lotta talk, but little action)
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To: bwteim; Coop

I reject all negatives today. The WH is upbeat and the DOW is closing at a record high!

Onward to VICTORY!


219 posted on 11/07/2006 1:04:07 PM PST by onyx (We have two political parties: the American Party and the Anti-American Party.)
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To: Coop; RobFromGa; onyx

"I'm feeling pretty darned good about "

See, there's that dad gum optimism that Tony Snow was talking about! I'm icing down beer in preparation.


220 posted on 11/07/2006 1:08:12 PM PST by bwteim (bwteim = begin with the end in mind)
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