Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Memorandum From RNC Chairman Ken Mehlman: Another Poll Confirms GOP Momentum
gop.com ^ | Monday, November 06, 2006 | Ken Mehlman

Posted on 11/06/2006 11:29:37 AM PST by excludethis

TO: REPUBLICAN LEADERSHIP AND INTERESTED PARTIES FROM: KEN MEHLMAN DATE: NOVEMBER 6, 2006 RE: ANOTHER POLL CONFIRMS GOP MOMENTUM

The momentum continues with a fourth poll in recent days showing Republicans gaining ground on Democrats in the closing days of the election. James Carville and Stan Greenberg’s Democracy Corps poll (November 2-5) confirms the findings of three other polls released in the last two days that show Republicans gaining ground in their competitive district survey.

GENERIC BALLOT. Republicans have cut the margin from down 11 (41-52) last week to down only four (45-49) this morning.

PARTY IMAGE. Democracy Corps shows that Republicans have a better image rating than Democrats for the first time since early September. From their last poll, Republicans’ favorable/unfavorable ratio had improved a net-5 points while Democrats dropped a net-4 points.

HANDLING OF ISSUES. A big reason for Republican gains is that trust on key issues has increased over the past few weeks. Built on recent good economic news, Republicans handling on the economy has improved a net-9 points from a week ago. Republicans have also seen significant gains on handling of taxes (+7), Iraq (+7) and national security (+4).

GOP CAMPAIGNS MAKING IMPACT. Another significant reason for Republican gains can be found in the GOP’s 72-hour get out the vote program which is now in full swing. This poll showed that Republicans have made a greater impact than Democrats with TV ads (+6), mailings (+6), and phone calls (+6).

OTHER INDICATORS IMPROVE.

Direction of the nation, otherwise known as “right track / wrong track”, improved a net-6 points from their previous poll. The President’s job approval has increased a net-5 points and Congressional Job Approval increased a net-12 points from their October 25-29 survey.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: ratsgoingdown; rymb
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-80 next last

1 posted on 11/06/2006 11:29:38 AM PST by excludethis
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: excludethis

Wow, a democrat poll showing this!


2 posted on 11/06/2006 11:31:17 AM PST by Ravi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi
I just posted this on another thread:

By the way, I received a broadcast E-mail from Ken Mehlman today saying the GOP contacted 7 million voters throughout the key races over this past weekend.

3 posted on 11/06/2006 11:32:20 AM PST by Coop (FR = a lotta talk, but little action)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Ravi
Rush is right today , the Dems are very afraid.
4 posted on 11/06/2006 11:32:37 AM PST by Prophet in the wilderness (PSALM 53 : 1 The FOOL hath said in his heart , There is no GOD .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: excludethis
'Nearly 20 percent of independents told Pew that John Kerry's joke raised doubts in their minds about voting Democratic (versus 36 percent of Republicans and 5 percent of Dems)--a disastrously high number.
5 posted on 11/06/2006 11:34:18 AM PST by meg88 (I)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: excludethis

Yeah, I know he was a Donk. But he was my kind of Donk.

The Democrats have been writing Wednesday's headlines in their minds for the past 18 months. Now it is time for us to go out and write the real one by voting tomorrow.

6 posted on 11/06/2006 11:34:24 AM PST by gridlock (The GOP will pick up at least TWO seats in the Senate and FOUR seats in the House in 2006)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: excludethis
Get out and Vote ~ Say No To Democrats !!
7 posted on 11/06/2006 11:34:54 AM PST by Mo1 (Get out and Vote ~ Say No To Democrats !!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: excludethis

Committee Chairman Ken Mehlman alleged other memo to press:

New polls say our party is heading into Election Day with strong momentum. Specifically, three national polls this weekend show Republicans making major gains.

The Generic Ballot is Closing -- The Pew Research Center for the People and the Press (Nov. 1-4) shows Republicans cutting the Democrat lead on the generic ballot from down 11 last month (39- 50) to down just four points today (43-47). The ABC News/Washington Post poll (Nov. 1-4) shows Republicans cutting the Democrat edge from -14 two weeks ago to only a six point margin today. In addition, Gallup (Nov. 2-5) has the Democrat margin dropping by half over the past two weeks, to a seven-point race.

By comparison, while Republicans held an average 1-point lead in these polls in 1994 and 2002, the current average Democrat lead-six points-is the same as it was in 1998, when there was minimal change in the balance of Congress.

Republican Enthusiasm is Growing -- Democrat interest in the election has remained relatively static, while Republican interest (+14) and enthusiasm (+10) have increased significantly, according to Pew, which concludes "Republicans now register a greater likelihood of voting than do Democrats..."

Republicans are Picking Up More Swing Votes -- The ABC/ Washington Post poll showed a net 10-point gain for Republicans among independents from last month. Pew showed a similar gain among independents of 10 points since last month and a huge 17- point net gain among moderates.

More Republicans/Conservatives Will Now Vote --

The ABC/Washington Post poll shows the Republican edge in the generic ballot has increased 10 points among conservatives, from 68-29 (a month ago) to 73-24.

The final pre-election Pew poll shows a similar trend with Republicans now planning to support the GOP growing a net-3 points. It also shows a net-6 point increase among conservatives and net-18 points among white evangelical Christians.

72-Hour Program is Working -- The GOP's 72-hour program has reached 27 million volunteer contacts through Saturday, hitting 3 million voters this Saturday alone. By and large, this effort will have its impact on Election Day and will not show up in most public opinion polls. However, some trends are starting to be seen in the data:

Republicans are casting a wider net: According to the ABC/Washington Post poll, among those who have been contacted by campaigns, 70 percent were contacted by Republicans while only 61 percent were contacted by Democrats.

And using better targeting: The Pew study says that we are not only contacting more voters, but contacting the right voters: 40 percent of our party was contacted by Republicans, while Democrats only connected with 34 percent of their own party.

Other Evidence of Momentum --

The ABC/Washington Post poll shows Republicans gaining on handling of Iraq (+8) and Personal Values (+12).

The Kerry Factor -- John Kerry's "stuck in Iraq" remark has attracted the attention of 84 percent of voters, and 19 percent - - including 18 percent of independents -- say it has raised serious doubts about voting for their local Democratic candidates.

Following recent gains in the Dow and low unemployment numbers, those who see the economy as excellent or good increased from 36 percent to 44 percent in the Pew poll.

On average, the President's job approval increased a net 4 points.

Voters' view of the direction of country has improved dramatically -- a net 14-point gain among those that see things going in the right direction in the ABC poll and a 12-point gain in Gallup.


8 posted on 11/06/2006 11:35:19 AM PST by excludethis
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Prophet in the wilderness
Rush is right today , the Dems are very afraid.
You wouldn't know it from the chattering classes and their predictions of a GOP apocalypse. They put up a brave front, those fearful Democrats. What I want to hear is how they spin the reversal should their predictions prove false.
9 posted on 11/06/2006 11:36:05 AM PST by Asclepius (protectionists would outsource our dignity and prosperity in return for illusory job security)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: excludethis

I have this to say in response to this news:

MWAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

That said, if you haven't already (via early voting or absentee voting) make sure you get to your local polling place tomorrow!


10 posted on 11/06/2006 11:37:12 AM PST by TitanicMan2003 (This just in... Yasser Arafat, despite the rumors, is still dead.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: excludethis

Excellent!


11 posted on 11/06/2006 11:37:28 AM PST by conservativepoet (NY Times is the "John Kerry" of newspapers)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: excludethis

Go BIG MO!


12 posted on 11/06/2006 11:37:29 AM PST by Constitution Day (I smell heaven's bakery cooking up something good for you, sister!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Asclepius

"You wouldn't know it from the chattering classes and their predictions of a GOP apocalypse."

The Dims & MSM sound like Saddam and Islamo Nazis with their talk like "the mother of all battles" and "how you infidels will lose" don't they?


13 posted on 11/06/2006 11:39:17 AM PST by DarthVader (Conservatives aren't always right , but Liberals are almost always wrong.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: excludethis
Unease Spreading in Democratic Ranks
14 posted on 11/06/2006 11:39:38 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (History is soon Forgotten,)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: excludethis

Not the buzz the Dems and the MSM wanted on election eve.


15 posted on 11/06/2006 11:40:47 AM PST by mainepatsfan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

BTTT


16 posted on 11/06/2006 11:40:49 AM PST by 1035rep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: excludethis
Just posted this:

Dow rallies triple digits on string of deals ~~ November 6 2006...Pelosi saddened....

17 posted on 11/06/2006 11:41:05 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (History is soon Forgotten,)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Prophet in the wilderness

They must have concluded that their efforts at suppressing the GOP vote have failed.


18 posted on 11/06/2006 11:41:31 AM PST by mainepatsfan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Asclepius

Two words: John Kerry. That's how they'll spin it. That and of course faulty voting machines.


19 posted on 11/06/2006 11:42:23 AM PST by mainepatsfan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: mainepatsfan


The only people susceptible to voter suppression tactics are the weak minded...so, only Dem ploys work on Dems...


Muahahahahahahahaahahhhahahahaha....


20 posted on 11/06/2006 11:42:48 AM PST by in hoc signo vinces ("Houston, TX...a waiting quagmire for jihadis. American gals are worth fighting for!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-80 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson