[FlipWilson]

Eff it. At this point, I don't know what to think. Watchin Fox News Sunday this AM, the panel consensus was not if the dems would take control of the House, but by how much. But, all the indicators these guys were using to make these judgments are now turning around on them. Mort Kondrake has been citing generic polls as his evidence. I wonder if he has seen this.

[HardStarboard]

You've got to question these polls. It has been shown that on the weekends when much polling is done, that Democrats are at home watching television, while Republicians are out golfing, playing ball, hiking or what not. Demos answer the phone, Pubbies don't.

In my case, I have never been polled. Particularly this year. My land-line is un-plugged because I've been getting 4 and 5 Republican fund raising calls a day. Thank the Lord I didn't give them my cell phone.

[Salvation]

GOP wins big.



Tennessee, Corker
Montana, Burns
Maryland, Steele
Arizona, Kyl
Missouri, Talent
Rhode Island, Chafee
Santorum, 50.9 percent, Casey 50.1 percent
New Jersey, Kean
Virginia, Allen
In Ohio, DeWine will lose

[MHT]

"Most voters say Kerry's statement is not a serious consideration in their vote, but 18% of independent voters say it did raise serious doubts about voting for a Democratic candidate."

You know that it had an impact when the likes of the Daily Show were replaying the film clip with subtitles calling Kerry "smug" and "arrogant". Even Gen X-er's who get their news from Jon Stewart know about that elitest comment.

[nathanbedford]

The Republicans have one great advantage: when a voter walks into the polling booth he is virtually committed to choose between A or B, between Republican and Democrat, between white and black, between a known if somewhat tarnished but congenial incumbent and an unknown, untrustworthy, Democrat challenger. Of course, the voter can choose an independent or some other third-party candidate but that will be statistically insignificant. At the end of the day the voter must CHOOSE.

My bet, especially in most House seat elections WHICH WE ARE DEFENDING, the voter will choose Republican, mainly because choose he must, and the Democrat is just too loony, too alien, too dangerous. In choosing, the voter is likely to choose the incumbent unless he is royally pissed off. It does not matter that the Democrat is royally pissed off because he is going to carry his district for the incumbent Democrat anyway. We are talking about defending Republican House seats. So the larger question becomes, will the voter enter the booth where he must choose?

This is where the Republican highly sophisticated get out the vote apparatus might just carry the day now that the generic poll is moving within range. When we adjust these numbers to account for the fact that we need only worry about Republican districts in which we are on defense, leaving the bulk of the Democrats in their own districts, we might actually be in range in the districts that count.

Let the rats have their own districts by overwhelming majorities for the cycle. Let us have our districts, even if only by one vote.

[Ciexyz]

Let's do what we can to get out the vote!

[MNJohnnie]

Yo Dog, And over here