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Chaffee seat still very much in play
me ^ | 11/05/2006 | ME

Posted on 11/05/2006 6:59:03 AM PST by got_moab?


(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: getrealhestoast
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Ok, I'll be the first to admit that it will KILL me to pull the lever for Linc Chaffee but that being said with the House already gone this race will be vital to maintaining control of the Senate. Polling has consistently shown Whitehouse with a lead between 8 and 14 points but I have always insisted that this will be a photo finish due to the fact that Whitehouse is an unlikeable schmuck whose body of work as the AG is unimpressive to say the least. The rumor has been that internal polling for this race show it being not only within the margin of error but more likely a dead heat and the Mason/Dixon poll seems to confirm the latter. More of this is the fact that a large rally was held yesterday featuring Barack Obama, what's he doing here with this seat already in the Dem's back pocket?? This is why I think Chaffee can pull this off.

Question 1 - If Q1 passes it would allow the Narragansett Indian Tribe to partner with Harrah's entertainment in bringing a massive Casino to West Warwick RI. This question has been down in the polls by 10-20 pts and will be a calling card for Republican voter turn out. Also note that Whitehouse shot himself in the foot at the last debate by claiming he would repeal the Chaffee rider that keeps the Narragansetts from building a Casino on Tribal land in the Southern RI. The Southern part of the RI is Chaffee territory and this will definitely push voters from sending Bush a message to sending Whitehouse a message.

The Governors Race - Incumbant Don Carcieri is a conservative Republican who has been polling betwenn 8 and 11 pt's ahead of his challenger Lt.Gov. Charles Fogarty.

Whitehouse's message - strictly Anti-Bush. Sheldon has went all-in hoping that Bush's unpopularity in RI will get him to Washington. This gamble isn't working and the Dem's will be sitting around on Wednesday wondering how they let this seat get away.

1 posted on 11/05/2006 6:59:05 AM PST by got_moab?
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To: got_moab?

Who said the House was gone?


2 posted on 11/05/2006 7:00:11 AM PST by Dog
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To: got_moab?

Bye by Chafee -- and good riddance...


3 posted on 11/05/2006 7:04:44 AM PST by fightnight
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To: Dog
That was my question too! If we believe the MSM propaganda it will be gone, as will the Senate. I find the blatant daily shilling for the Dims by MSM disgusting and dangerous!

GET OUT and VOTE straight Republican!

4 posted on 11/05/2006 7:06:01 AM PST by alice_in_bubbaland (New Jersey gets the corrupt government it deserves!)
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To: got_moab?

Also you can't underestimate the power of "name recognition" for an incumbent.

Sure those polled say they'll vote a certain way, but the "uninformed masses" (and unfortunately they make up much of the voting population) get to the polling place, look at the ballot and say, "Yeah, Chaffee, I've heard of him."

This type of situation might affect the vote.


5 posted on 11/05/2006 7:13:03 AM PST by dawn53
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To: Dog
I thnk we should "give' the House to the Democratics. They want it so badly - and if they don't get it there will be riotous Hippies protesting in the streets....mabe even some of them wanting to PUNCH people. So... in and effort to get along and share - I think we should let the Democratics have the House, so they won't think we're the mean bastards that we are....

Go Chaffee Go!!!!! (I am sincere!)

6 posted on 11/05/2006 7:13:12 AM PST by rface ("...the most schizoid freeper I've ever seen" - New Bloomfield, Missouri)
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To: got_moab?

RI is one of the most anti-Bush states in the whole US. As long as Lincoln is not kicking Bush in the balls, literally, he is not going to be re-elected as a Republican this year.


7 posted on 11/05/2006 7:13:54 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: Dog

Exactly.


8 posted on 11/05/2006 7:14:21 AM PST by AliVeritas (Mr. Webb, who is Melissa Harrington, Dorothy Tran and Joe Cato?)
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To: got_moab?
Ok, I'll be the first to admit that it will KILL me to pull the lever for Linc Chaffee but that being said with the House already gone this race will be vital to maintaining control of the Senate

That's right. You have to look at it not as a vote for Chaffee, but as a vote to keep Republicans in control of the Senate agenda and all the Senate committees.

Most important, it's a vote to get another Roberts or Alito in the Supreme Court despite Chaffee's obstructionism. If Democrats control the Senate, another nominee in the mold of Roberts or Alito will never be voted out of committee let alone be put to the entire Senate for a vote.

Paradoxically, only a vote FOR Chaffee is a vote AGAINST most of what Chaffee represents.

9 posted on 11/05/2006 7:15:14 AM PST by JCEccles
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To: alice_in_bubbaland

Somehow I must have missed the house election last week. I always thought the house election was the same day as the senate, what was I thinking I guess I missed casting my vote for my lame RINO congressman, Chris Shays!


10 posted on 11/05/2006 7:16:14 AM PST by marlon
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To: fightnight

I agree


11 posted on 11/05/2006 7:16:26 AM PST by Alex1977
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To: JCEccles
Paradoxically, only a vote FOR Chaffee is a vote AGAINST most of what Chaffee represents.

I'd say that RI needs its collective head examined, but I live in NYS. Sigh.

12 posted on 11/05/2006 7:16:29 AM PST by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
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To: got_moab?

Chafee is a loser.


13 posted on 11/05/2006 7:17:50 AM PST by Rosemont
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To: got_moab?
The House is gone?

Thanks for telling me, now I can stay home and not vote Tuesday.
14 posted on 11/05/2006 7:22:30 AM PST by msnimje (You simply cannot be Christian and Pro-Abortion.)
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To: Dog

I admire your optimism but I'm afraid that I don't share it.
While there is going to be no Dem "wave" on Tuesday the idea that we'll be able hold our losses to under 15 seats is unrealistic.


15 posted on 11/05/2006 7:22:58 AM PST by got_moab? (got_moab? now comes complete with 50% MORE Hyper-conservatism!!)
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To: Rosemont

I agree whole heartedly


16 posted on 11/05/2006 7:24:19 AM PST by got_moab? (got_moab? now comes complete with 50% MORE Hyper-conservatism!!)
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To: got_moab?
We are seeing this everywhere. Surprise, surprise. Just like I freakin' told everyone two weeks ago The polls were, and remain, bogus, but they have to close the gap.

DeWine now according to a poll down "only" six in OH. Don't believe it. He's probably at -2 or -3, and will win it on turnout, because our turnout models are showing the GOP WELL ABOVE 2002!!!

Last night we had word that Kennedy was moving fast on the internals in MN; and even (gasp) SANTORUM is starting to move.

ALL our early voting and absentee voting is saying BIG GOP TURNOUT.

The Dems are going to be suicidal on 11/8. We will GAIN seats in the Senate and break even, or gain a single seat in the House.

17 posted on 11/05/2006 7:44:04 AM PST by LS
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To: marlon
"I guess I missed casting my vote for my lame RINO congressman, Chris Shays!"


My apologies! Chris Shays is an embarrassment to the Republican Party. I have been listening to his campaign ads...what a jerk.

LOL! Here in NJ we have plenty of jerks too! :)
18 posted on 11/05/2006 8:11:08 AM PST by alice_in_bubbaland (New Jersey gets the corrupt government it deserves!)
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To: LS
I'm trying to remain as positive as you are. The key is GOP voter turnout. I pray that the MSM shilling has mobilized us! The anger out there, on both sides, is huge.
19 posted on 11/05/2006 8:17:10 AM PST by alice_in_bubbaland (New Jersey gets the corrupt government it deserves!)
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To: alice_in_bubbaland

Anger, yes, but that doesn't translate into voting. We saw that in 2004. The Dems were mad as hell, but they didn't turn out. Our peeps do!


20 posted on 11/05/2006 8:22:00 AM PST by LS
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