[finnman69]

We have been down 6 in pretty much every election in recent history

[kesg]

I think I say you post this chart the other day. It is a damning indictment of generic Congressional polls. Someone else on that same thread posted the following information that may be worth repeating here:

1994 -- DEM +3 Trend Up -- Result R +54 House +9 Senate

1996 -- DEM +6 Trend Down -- Result R -3 House +3 Senate

1998 -- DEM +7 Trend up -- Result R -3 House 0 Senate

2000 -- DEM +5 Trend Up -- Result R -2 House -5 Senate

2002 -- DEM +2 Trend Flat -- Result R +8 House +1 Senate

2004 -- DEM -1 Trend Down -- Result R +3 House +4 Senate

[bpjam]

Tell me how to read this post or give me a link to where it came from. I'd really, really like to be able to understand what I'm looking at because it may help explain the truth about these generic ballot polls as they relate to actual votes.

Are all those little dots results of different polls and the blue line is the average Dem generic vote number compared to the GOP(red) line which is the basis? And who produced these graphs?

[syriacus]

Very interesting graphs. Thanks.

[FairOpinion]

Thanks for posting the historical data!

In 1994 the generic polls were almost even and there was a Republican sweep.

Now the Dems are ahead, but that doesn't necessarily mean a Dem sweep.