Zogby Poll: Blackwell Closes to Single Digits

http://www.kenblackwell.com ^ | Tuesday, October 31, 2006 | Carlo LoParo

[Maelstorm]

Zogby Poll: Blackwell Closes to Single Digits

COLUMBUS – Gubernatorial candidate Ken Blackwell has closed within single digits of his opponent in the last week of the campaign. The Wall Street Journal Zogby Interactive Poll today shows the race has narrowed to 7.5 points with Blackwell receiving 43.3 percent and Congressman Ted Strickland receiving 50.8 percent. The poll was conducted from Oct. 23 - 27 and has a 3.7 percent margin of error. Previous surveys have shown Strickland with a double-digit lead.

The Blackwell campaign attributed the gap-closing poll to increased voter awareness and an emerging re-energized Republican base. Over the past several weeks, Republican grassroots voter contact efforts have reached several hundred thousand Republican and Independent voters. In addition, the campaign yesterday launched a major television advertising effort featuring national hero and former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani.

“We are campaigning door-to-door and neighbor-to-neighbor in the last weeks of the campaign and seeing great results,” Blackwell campaign chair Lara Mastin said. “The polls are closing because Ken Blackwell’s solutions to our state’s education, health care and economic challenges offer a positive change of direction for Ohio families."

“We have the ground forces, resources and message necessary to take Ken Blackwell to victory on Nov. 7,” Mastin added.

Zogby International, one of the nation’s most historically accurate polling firms, touts its interactive poll as the “wave of the future in survey research.” In the 2004 presidential election, the survey accurately predicted the winner in 85 percent of the states that it polled within 4 points on average. In 2005, the poll accurately predicted the results of both the New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial contests, with poll results within 2.5 points on average.

 

Following is a link to the poll: Wall Street Journal Zogby Interactive Oct. 31 poll.

   

Ken Blackwell                                    Ted Strickland

[johnny7]

P+����P)P� knew once told me that poodle sh*t was the worst... since I didn't consider myself an expert on the topic... I let it go unchallenged.

Kerry's dump though, could be smelled around the world... and just like a poodle... he dumped and ran. ;)

[GregH]

I saw the ad on the website, it just had a allegation that Casey invested in terror organisations and no specifics. Is that the whole ad? If it so then Santorum has run a terrible ad with no specific facts.

[GreyFriar]

I don't trust Zogby any more since he came out against George Allen in Virginia. That destroyed any belief that he would be non-partisan in his polling for me.

[WinOne4TheGipper]

I'd love to believe it, but Zogby Interactive is the absolute worst poll. Period.

[Cicero]

Zogby is pro-Democrat, but he's also strongly pro-Muslim, which has made him completely unreliable.

He does have a record of adjusting his polls, but it's still early for him to do that. Typically, he makes the final adjustment, quietly, on election day itself, when nobody will see it.

[hnj_00]

anything that a zogby poll states is a lie....

zogby is a muzzie....he has a vested interest in trying to assure a lib/dem victory.....

[Soul Seeker]

I never believed he was double digits behind. I don't care what Taft has done, a Rep isn't going to go down in Ohio by double digits. Unless it's Taft. The only question I have is whether the moderates in the Republican party (Liberals) have stopped pouting and are willing to support him now.

If they are, we'll see how close this can get.

[rockrr]

I have a serious distrust of polls (hopefully we ALL do!), but recognize that many others use them to bolster their opinions regarding trends.

I've had the privilege to partake in several polls and have employed my own private agenda. Early on, I answered the questions based on my guess of what a good moderate to liberal sheeple would say on the issues and candidates.

For the last two weeks however, I have reversed my statements and come out (all-out!) for Republicans and conservative issues.

If I can skew one of these things even a little bit, my job is done ;'}

[ConservativeDude]

This could be amazing.

[joesbucks]

Only one problem with this poll. It was interactive.

[Maelstorm]

That does not mean it was an online poll. The poll was conducted by Zogby's interactive unit. It is still the same kind of poll and statistically valid.

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-elections06-meth.html