Posted on 11/03/2006 8:45:39 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
There are now just four days until Election Day and a brand new poll shows the top races in Maryland are closer than ever.
Our SurveyUSA poll, conducted exclusively for 9NEWS NOW, shows Democrat Martin O'Malley leading Republican Bob Ehrlich in the Race for Governor, but only by one point. That’s within the survey's 3.8 percent margin of sampling error, meaning the contest is a tie.
Men are rallying to Ehrlich. Ehrlich trailed among men by 3 on 9/20, led by 6 on 10/18 and leads by 18 today. O'Malley leads by 18 among women. That’s up from 17 points on 10/18, so the gender gap has grown to 36 points.
In the race for Senate, the new survey shows Republican Michael Steele and Democrat Ben Cardin are tied with 47% of the vote. Unlike other pollsters, SurveyUSA has consistently showed the race tied. One explanation: SurveyUSA's turnout model is 26% black. Of black likely voters, 33% vote for the Republican Steele, who is black. If less than one-third of blacks vote Republican, the Democrat Cardin wins. Other polling firms show both a lower black turnout and less support among blacks for Steele.
(Excerpt) Read more at wusatv9.com ...
If Erlich pulls this out, I don't see how Steele loses. I just cannot imagine a senario where Erlich wins and Steele doesn't.
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