[Rokke]

What information do you suppose predictive market betters use to place their bets? Polls right? Or do you think they somehow have some hot inside scoop that leads them to place bets without consideration of what the rest of us are reading. The bottomline is...they are nothing more than poll followers. If you believe the polls, you bet on democrats right now. It's as simple as that.

[AZ GOPher]

Excellent observations. I mean, look at the Corker (R-TN) futures for the Senate. He's ~70.0 now, largely on the back of the public polls having him ahead by 8-10 points. However, NRO Corner reported today that GOP internals have Corker up by only 1-2 points and are mystified by the disparity with the public polls. If the GOP internals are correct, Corker should be trading in the range of only ~55.0-60.0.