[VictoryGal]

Who did they predict for 2004? If they picked Jon Carry then we can take this with a very large grain of salt.

[Rokke]

They picked exactly what the polls told them to pick. If you want a classic example of that, take a look at tradesports charts on Bush and Kerry immediately before and after the phoney exit poll data was released on election day 2004. Within minutes Kerry soared to a 75% or so odds on favorite. If the betters really had the inside scoop, nothing would have changed as a result of the bogus polls.

[RichardW]

Those phony exit polls in Ohio skewed everything and everyone but it corrected early on in the evening and pretty much called it correctly. I put a lot of credence in the betting lines; much more than the so-called polling data which I now largely discount. The only polling worth looking at would be internal polling which we are not privy to.