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All seafood will run out in 2050, say scientists [Run for your lives.]
The Telegraph (Britain) ^ | 03NOV06 | Charles Clover, Environment Editor

Posted on 11/03/2006 2:34:31 AM PST by familyop

The world's stocks of seafood will have collapsed by 2050 at present rates of destruction by fishing, scientists said yesterday.

A four-year study of 7,800 marine species around the world's ecosystems has concluded that the long-term trend is clear and predictable.

 
A catch of fish
If the rate of over-fishing continues, the world's currently fished seafoods will have reached what is defined as collapse by 2048

By 2048, to be exact, catches of all the presently fished seafoods will have declined on average by more than 90 per cent since 1950.

The study, by an international group of ecologists and economists, says the loss of biodiversity impairs the ability of oceans to feed the world's growing human population — expected to rise by 50 per cent to nine billion in 2050.

Over-fishing also sabotages the stability of marine environments, profoundly reducing the ocean's ability to produce seafood, resist diseases, filter pollutants and rebound from stresses such as climate change.

Every species matters when it comes to the ocean's ability to repair itself, says the study, published in this week's Science magazine.

Dr Boris Worm, of Dalhousie University, Nova Scotia, the lead author, said: "This is what is projected, not predicted, to happen. I am confident we will not go there because we will do something about it. But if this trend continues in this predictable fashion, as it has for the last 50 years, the world's currently fished seafoods will have reached what we define as collapse by 2048.

"Every year a higher percentage of the currently fished stocks has collapsed. We are losing it piece by piece."

Prof Callum Roberts, of the University of York, who was not involved in the study, said: "The animals and plants that inhabit the sea are not merely embellishments to be wondered at. They are essential to the health of the oceans and well-being of human society."

The scientists found that in 12 regions, which include the Wadden Sea, the shallow part of the North Sea, 38 per cent of exploited marine species of all kinds, including birds, had collapsed in the past 1,000 years while seven per cent was extinct. Some 29 per cent had collapsed since 1950.

 
Loss of species graph

Dr Worm said the decline of cod on the Scotian shelf, off Canada, had led to changes throughout the ecosystem. But there was some good news in the paper.

Dr Worm said there was evidence that wherever protective measures were taken, species recovered rapidly and could cope better with problems such as global warming.

The catch per unit of effort — the standard scientific way of measuring fishing activity — goes up four-fold.

As wild fish stocks decline, farmed fish is expected to take over. Some 43 per cent of fish consumed is already farmed, says the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation.

But it warned that fish farming would struggle to maintain even present levels of production because the small wild fish that are fed to farmed species are being over-fished.

Willie Mackenzie, of Greenpeace, said: "This report confirms the scale of the crisis our oceans are facing. It's clear that fish and chips will be off the menu within our lifetimes if we don't act now.

"We need to ban destructive fishing practices and create a network of large-scale marine reserves around not just Britain, but globally".

Despite the problem of the oceans being on a time-scale comparable to global warming, the Government appears to have scrapped plans to introduce its promised Marine Bill in the Queen's Speech this month, the environmental group WWF said yesterday.



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Political Humor/Cartoons; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: global; seefood; theskyisfalling; warming; wereallgonnadie; worm
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1 posted on 11/03/2006 2:34:34 AM PST by familyop
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To: familyop

FISHY STORY!


2 posted on 11/03/2006 2:37:34 AM PST by Samurai_Jack (ride out and confront the evil!)
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To: familyop

I'll finally get to swim in the ocean without fearing sharks. Yea!


3 posted on 11/03/2006 2:38:44 AM PST by gotribe (It's not a religion.)
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To: familyop

I think all this nuke testing by Dr. Ill woke up Godzilla, and he is eating all the fish. Watch out Tokyo when his underwater food supply runs out.


4 posted on 11/03/2006 2:41:02 AM PST by HisKingdomWillAbolishSinDeath (Polls are for useful idiots. God and you IS the majority.)
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To: familyop

5 posted on 11/03/2006 2:41:23 AM PST by Salamander (And don't forget my Dog; fixed and consequent.......)
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To: familyop

It won't matter anyway -- bigfatalgore says we will all die by global warming within ten years.

LOL.


6 posted on 11/03/2006 2:41:58 AM PST by goresalooza (Nurses Rock!)
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To: HisKingdomWillAbolishSinDeath

7 posted on 11/03/2006 2:42:15 AM PST by Salamander (And don't forget my Dog; fixed and consequent.......)
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To: Samurai_Jack
"FISHY STORY!"

Yep...enough to give a person a haddock!
8 posted on 11/03/2006 2:45:25 AM PST by familyop ("he died for rodeo horse on Jul 25, 1987." --skanamaru)
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To: familyop

My God where`re all doomed,I tell you DOOMED.


9 posted on 11/03/2006 2:46:14 AM PST by bikerman (Democrats the cut and run party.)
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To: familyop

All your Seafood are belongs to us???


10 posted on 11/03/2006 2:48:37 AM PST by Shqipo (2006 is Bush Country!)
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To: familyop

When the article cites a member of Greenpeace and someone who gave a speech to the WWF (World Wildlife Fund), you know it is complete bias by the animal rights movement.


11 posted on 11/03/2006 2:51:58 AM PST by Erik Latranyi (The Democratic Party will not exist in a few years....we are watching history unfold before us.)
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To: familyop

I'm convinced. It's time to kick the asians out of our ocean. Think about it if the pacific was feeding 300mil americans instead of 3 billion asians it would be vibrant! On a serious note, we should optimize the production of edible fishes. I'm sure educated people in comfy chairs are working on it, I just hope they listen to the hard working captains of trawlers that actually care to maintain the ocean and have good ideas.


12 posted on 11/03/2006 2:52:14 AM PST by Dosa26
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To: familyop

Unfortunately, being a recreational fisherman in the Chesapeake Bay area who lived in Panama for several years and fished there (courtesy US Army) this story may be about right. Unfortunately, gummint at the present time, is the problem. The commercial fishery regulation is a disgrace and lobbyists have the politicians in their pocket. What we need is a 20 moratorium on all commercial fishing. If you want fish for supper, get a pole.


13 posted on 11/03/2006 2:54:18 AM PST by wastoute
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To: familyop

Dr. Worm and Fish storys....


14 posted on 11/03/2006 2:54:29 AM PST by Dallas59 (Muslims Are Only Guests In Western Countries)
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To: familyop
A fish story told by Dr. Worm ... hummmm. Do I detect a little bias in this story?
15 posted on 11/03/2006 2:56:44 AM PST by MaDeuce (Do it to them, before they do it to you! (MaDuce = M2HB .50 BMG))
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To: familyop

"Well, there he goes again!"


16 posted on 11/03/2006 2:57:10 AM PST by johnthebaptistmoore
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To: familyop
Dr Worm said the decline of cod on the Scotian shelf, off Canada, had led to changes throughout the ecosystem. But there was some good news in the paper.


17 posted on 11/03/2006 3:00:01 AM PST by LRS
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ah yes, Dr Boris Worm.....famous Dr Worm..


18 posted on 11/03/2006 3:00:01 AM PST by basalt
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To: Dallas59
"Dr. Worm and Fish storys...."

And don't forget "the environmental group WWF" (from the posted piece). Professional wrestlers are part of the story, too.
19 posted on 11/03/2006 3:04:05 AM PST by familyop ("he died for rodeo horse on Jul 25, 1987." --skanamaru)
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To: familyop

you mean we won't get SCROD anymore?


20 posted on 11/03/2006 3:12:05 AM PST by camle (keep your mind open and somebody will fill it full of something for you)
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