[youthgonewild]

You've mentioned him missing 2 more races, he also missed one of the Governor races. That's a very good track record.

[Welike ike]

Youth, 2004 was a presidential year, let us look at Sabato's flubs in 2002(Another Bi-election)

SABATO said that history shows Bush will lose many House seats due to the 2nd year itch.

Sabato 2002 Senate picks on election eve.

MO- Carnahan defeats Talent(Not)
NH- Shaheen defeats Sununu by 5%to 7%(NOT)
CO- Strickland defeats Allard by 9%(NOT)
GA- Cleland over Chambliss (NOT)
SD- Johnson over Thune by 4 to 5% (NOT)

House races

MINN- Luther over Kline
CONN- Courtney over Simmons
PA- Wofford over Gerlach
IL- Phelps over Shimkus
Conn- Maloney over Johnson
AZ- Cardova over Renzi
CO- Beuprez will Lose
Iowa- Leach and Nussle will Lose

All Wrong by Sabato

[jveritas]

In 2004 out of the 535 races that he mentioned 99% of them were known and sure results and did not need Larry Sabato predictions. It was the remaining 1% that was contested and Larry Sabato screwed it all, including the most important of all races, the Presidential race.