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Youth, 2004 was a presidential year, let us look at Sabato's flubs in 2002(Another Bi-election)

SABATO said that history shows Bush will lose many House seats due to the 2nd year itch.

Sabato 2002 Senate picks on election eve.

MO- Carnahan defeats Talent(Not)
NH- Shaheen defeats Sununu by 5%to 7%(NOT)
CO- Strickland defeats Allard by 9%(NOT)
GA- Cleland over Chambliss (NOT)
SD- Johnson over Thune by 4 to 5% (NOT)

House races

MINN- Luther over Kline
CONN- Courtney over Simmons
PA- Wofford over Gerlach
IL- Phelps over Shimkus
Conn- Maloney over Johnson
AZ- Cardova over Renzi
CO- Beuprez will Lose
Iowa- Leach and Nussle will Lose

All Wrong by Sabato