Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Let's see how accurate Sabato is. Look for a last second hedge to cover his ass.

His bottom line prediction: THE SENATE: Democrats + 6 = 51D, 49R THE HOUSE: Democrats + 27 = 230D, 205R THE GOVERNORSHIPS: Democrats + 7 = 29D, 21R

1 posted on 11/02/2006 8:52:49 AM PST by finnman69
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies ]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-33 last
To: finnman69

Hard to find his predictions for 2002, the last midterm.
But I did!

http://64.233.161.104/search?q=cache:5CkQhvTEYcMJ:www.pkblogs.com/quasipundit/2002_11_03_quasipundit_archive.html+2002+sabato+results+%22house+seats%22+republicans+-2006&hl=en&gl=us&ct=clnk&cd=7

"Sabato has gone from +1 Democrat in the Senate to no change. Thanks to Dodd's post for pointing that out. Sabato also went from +3 Republicans in the House to +4. As close as this election is, those "tweaks" are epocal."

The actual results were:
+2 Republicans in the Senate
+6 Republicans in the House


So his average error was about 100%

No surprise these predictions are no longer on his site LOL!


65 posted on 11/02/2006 10:34:47 AM PST by mrsmith
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: finnman69

Very nice job with the html Finnman


66 posted on 11/02/2006 10:36:45 AM PST by youthgonewild
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: finnman69
This guy is full of john f'ing kerry $**T!!! Gov. Riley in Alabama leads in the polls 58 to 37 last I heard. A 21% point lead spells landslide to me, not close or leaning republican. I passed by Gov. Riley's rally this morning in Gadsden, AL along the Coosa River. There was a huge crowd there. If he draws this kind of crowd during the middle of the work day, people of this state will keep our Republican Governor, our local Republican Congresscritter Mike Rogers and we have TWO Republican Senators in Sessons and Shelby. Screw these democrats. Anyone VOTING DEMOCRAT IS VOTING FOR THE ENEMY TO WIN IN MY OPINION. IF THE DIMS WIN AND THE ISLOMICS ATTACK US AGAIN, I don't want to hear these whining Aholes saying a word because you will get EXACTLY what you voted for.
68 posted on 11/02/2006 10:42:12 AM PST by RetiredArmy (John F'ing Kerry needs to simply shut the F up and go the F away!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: finnman69
MI races close late and go down to wire and it will be a small margin for whoever wins. MI races aren't slam dunks. Polls before election day here aren't usually the results on election day.

Stabenow won her seat by less than a percentage point last time around and she came back from behind to do it. John Engler came from 13 down to win against James Blanchard in the '90's. It's really about GOTV machines here. Polls are meaningless.
79 posted on 11/02/2006 11:25:15 AM PST by kcbc2001
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: finnman69

This really saddens me! I'm sorry I read it.


Nancee


85 posted on 11/02/2006 12:28:06 PM PST by Nancee
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

bump


96 posted on 11/02/2006 1:34:30 PM PST by Non-Sequitur
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: nicollo

FYI Sabato.


100 posted on 11/02/2006 1:40:33 PM PST by x
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: finnman69

Damn, that's one brutal outlook. I think he's a bit pessimistic, expecially where the Senate is concerned, but I suppose we'll know for sure this time next week.


101 posted on 11/02/2006 1:41:24 PM PST by Non-Sequitur
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: Lazamataz

Revenge Will Be Mine self-ping


104 posted on 11/02/2006 1:56:58 PM PST by Lazamataz (I love you.... but not in a gay way.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: finnman69

Does Larry's crystal ball have three holes drilled in it?


138 posted on 11/02/2006 4:04:53 PM PST by Redcloak (Speak softly and wear a loud shirt.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: finnman69
I predict Dennis Cuckoo Kucinich will initiate a Department of Peace if the Dems./Socialist/Marxists take over.

And Nancy Pelosi Galore will finally be able to close her eyes.

145 posted on 11/03/2006 4:11:56 AM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: finnman69

Sabato predicted President Gore and President Kerry. He is not exactly batting 1000, as far as his predictions go.


146 posted on 11/03/2006 4:34:19 AM PST by Darnright (http://media.putfile.com/Webb-on-Allen)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-33 last

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson