I am with you. I read the arguments here as to why the polls are baloney. But here is my problem with them. The same factors that allegedly made the polls garbage existed when someone like Allen was ahead August-October. For the polls to suddenly be showing Webb ahead under the same conditions, however flawed, says to me that the polls are picking up a trend. Which means, as you say, that turn-out will be critical.
Of course it is also possible that the trend represents a response to one or more factors that will abate before Election Day. The fickleness of the electorate never ceases to amaze me.
If you look at the polls, there is an oversampling of Dems almost across the board. Also more and more Republicans refuse to answer their phone when they see it is a pollster.
Internal polling is showing far different numbers for many of the races then the corrupt MSM polls are showing. You can make the questions you ask, get your the answers you want from a lot of people. Kind of like 'do you still beat your wife?' kind of questions. Also you have to realize that polls on weekends tend to favor Dems and have for years. Note a lot of these polls came from weekend polling to the glee of the MSM.
Only poll that counts in on election day! That means every last Republican needs to get out and vote and show the pollsters they don't have a clue!
What bothers me about VA is the number of New York libs who have moved there in order to ruin it.
I think this will be the last of the "bad" polls this year.
Only this company could be so wrong this close to the election and not lose money (and even Gupta and CNN only dared to slant the results within the margin of error).
Earlier pollsters could blame discrepencies on a lot of reasons but the electorate has formed up and a good pollster should be able to get good results in the last week.
Any mistakes the pollsters make from now on will hurt their credibility and future income.