If the MSM pollsters show that the race is "tight" then you've got to think the GOP has a solid edge. Remember how Zogby called Florida for Kerry?
As I said in another thread, I believe if a CONSERVATIVE is "tied" going into election day, he or she ought to win--since their support is so often underestimated.
Keep your fingers crossed for us and pray!!!!
I think VA will go with Allen, despite the best efforts of the MSM. The Va Pravda/Red Star endorsed Webb, which ought to be enough to guarantee Allen's re-election.
It's a CNN poll.
The company that did it is owned by Vinod Gupta- a big, big Dem supporter. To the tune of hundreds of thousands.
One hand washes the other.
It seems VA pubbies don't know how to deal with Dems who portray themselves as middle of the road. They don't know how to get through the Democrat's moderate image and don't know how to promote their own positions. Seems like a no-brainer for Allen (and other Republicans) to stress the strong economy and crediting Bush's tax cuts - and their support of them. For some reason their highly paid consultants don't think of that. Allen's been attacking Webb's book that he wrote over 20 years ago. Yeesh.
Mark it down: I have Talent, Allen, and Corker in the "safe" column. They all will win by a couple of percent.
I have Burns in the "nearly safe" column. I know, he still "trails," which by bogus polling methodology means he has a narrow lead. Turnout will make him safe. Ditto Steele.
I have Chafee and Kean in the "tossup" column. I think they'll both win, but we'll have to sweat a little.
I have DeWine in the "difficult, but do-able" column.
The only one I am having grave concerns about is Santorum, who just seems unable to move.
BTW, keep your eye on both Bouchard (MI) and Kennedy (MN). If the races start to break our way, and if DeVos continues to gather steam, Bouchard will be the night's surprise winner. Kennedy improving, but still in the "difficult" range.
John Fund on Fox & Friends this morning said we may not know which party will control the Senate until a week or more after election day, if some races are too close to call--there are so many absentee ballots nowadays, and in most places they don't count them until after the election, so we won't know the winner on election night.
Low volume (normally) ping list
FReepmail me to be on, or off, this list.
Among likely voters in Missouri, Republican Sen. Jim Talent and his Democratic challenger, State Auditor Claire McCaskill, were at a dead heat, each with 49 percent support. However, among the larger pool of registered voters, McCaskill led 51-43 percent. ...
Quite a significant advantage for the GOP between registered and likely voters. It makes one wonder whether the Democrat base is really as energized as the media would like us to believe.