[supercat]

You are not the Amazing Kreskin. McCaskill goes down in Mizzou as does Tester in Montana. Lieberman will ALWAYS vote with the dems. You don;t need to be the Amazing Kreskin to predict that!

If everyone else votes either Democrat or Republican, it won't matter whether Lieberman votes Democrat or abstains. If the vote for everyone else is 50R-49D, the Republicans will win regardless of what Lieberman does; if it's 49R-50D, the R's will lose unless Lieberman votes for them. Consequently, I wouldn't be too surprised if Lieberman votes for neither party.

[BillyBoy]

>> If the vote for everyone else is 50R-49D, the Republicans will win regardless of what Lieberman does; if it's 49R-50D, the R's will lose unless Lieberman votes for them. <<

The only way we'd end up with a 49-50-1 makeup is if Lamont somehow has a last minute surge in CT or hell freezes over and Sanders loses in VT.

Otherwise there will be two "independants" when the Senate conviences in 2007 (Lieberman, I-CT; Sanders I-VT), both of whom support the liberal position 90% of the time and have pledged to support Reid for majority leader.

In a 49-49-2 scenario, Lieberman casts the deciding vote to hand the Senate to Reid.