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Don't celebrate yet, Democrats
Times Herald-Record ^ | October 26, 2006

Posted on 10/26/2006 3:59:30 PM PDT by april15Bendovr

Don't celebrate yet, Democrats October 26, 2006 Stunning coincidence. The verdict in the long-running trial of Saddam Hussein in Iraq is now due two days before our congressional elections in November. Astounding. How ineffable.

Sometimes you know the Republicans have just lost the rag completely.

Last week, Dick Cheney said to Rush Limbaugh regarding the Iraqi government, "If you look at the general, overall situation, they're doing remarkably well." The vice president also acknowledged there's some concern because the war wasn't over "instantaneously." We have now been in Iraq just one month shy of the entire time it took us to fight World War II. More than 80 Americans dead so far in October. Electricity in Iraq this year hit its lowest levels since the war started.

What infuriates me about this is the lying. WHY can't they level with us? Just on the general, overall situation.

Put me in the depressive Dems camp. We always look good going into the last two weeks, until we get hit with that wall of Republican money (though I do think Ohio is beyond political recall at this point for the R's). Of course, both sides always complain about unfair advertising, but I must admit that almost all political advertising strikes me as ludicrous and I don't notice the D's looking simon-pure. A little shading, a little emphasis here and there — I'm hard to shock on political ads, but I do get more than miffed when they take the truth and just stand it on its head.

For example, if ever there has been a friend to Social Security it would be Rep. Chet Edwards from Waco, Texas, a D loyal to the FDR, LBJ and government-exists-to-serve-the-people tradition. So what are the R's attacking him on? Not supporting Social Security. All this kind of thing does is render political debate completely meaningless.

The argument now is that D's have a seven-point structural deficit going into any election. I see the problem, I just have no idea what the actual numbers are.

Let's start with the easy end, the Senate. From the book "Off Center" by Jacob S. Hacker and Paul Pierson, as recently quoted by Eric Alterman in his blog: "The mismatch between popular votes and electoral outcomes is even more striking in the Senate. Combining the last three Senate elections, Democrats have actually won 2.5 million more votes than Republicans. Yet now they hold only 44 seats in that 100-person chamber because Republicans dominate the less populous states that are so heavily overrepresented in the Senate. As journalist Hendrik Hertzberg (of the New Yorker) notes, if you treat each senator as representing half that state's population, then the Senate's 55 Republicans currently represent 131 million people, while the 44 Democrats represent 161 million people."

OK, we all know about the small-state advantage in the Senate. How did the People's House get so far out of fair? Paul Krugman explains: "The key point is that African-Americans, who overwhelmingly vote Democratic, are highly concentrated in a few districts. This means that in close elections many Democratic votes are, as political analysts say, wasted — they simply add to huge majorities in a small number of districts, while the more widely spread Republican vote allows the GOP to win by narrower margins in a larger number of districts."

I should also point out that Democrats used to pack minority voters into the same districts when they drew the redistricting lines because of simple racism. Minority candidates need more votes to win, as polling consistently shows them several points ahead of where they actually finish because some people still cannot bring themselves to vote for black politicians even if they agree with them. For instance, race is a factor this year in Harold Ford's Tennessee Senate contest — even though political people keep pretending it's not.

I'm the one who has been writing for two years that the American people are fed up with the war in Iraq and with the Bush administration's lies and incompetence. I'm the one that keeps beating the Washington press corps about the head over how out of touch it is. I'm the one who has been insisting there's a Democratic tide out here, and that the people are so far ahead of the politicians and the media it's painful to watch.

So how come I'm not thrilled? Because I watched this happen two years ago — same rejection of the Iraq war, same disgust with Bush and Co., same understanding Republicans are for the rich, period, same polls showing D's with the lead going right into Election Day. And the same geographic gerrymander and same wall of money in the last two weeks. I'm not close to calling this election, and I'm sure not into celebrating anything yet.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: mollyivins
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Drive by media getting nervous about the verdict Nov 5th and the mid term election.

Why is it that the media and Democrats appear extremely worried and nervous about the verdict of this tyrant?

Good news in Iraq seems to be bad news for Democrats along with their incestuous friends in the dinosaur media that have been doing their dirty work in Iraq.

The verdict might be before the mid term election but the drive by media have been using their perception is reality campaign of failure for the Democrats right from the start of the war.

1 posted on 10/26/2006 3:59:30 PM PDT by april15Bendovr
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To: april15Bendovr

Dems are hoping for an O.J. verdict. They would be dancing in the streets.


2 posted on 10/26/2006 4:01:20 PM PDT by Ron in Acreage (VOTE DEMOCRAT--TERRORISTS ARE COUNTING ON IT)
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To: april15Bendovr

3 posted on 10/26/2006 4:01:41 PM PDT by The Blitherer (You were given the choice between war & dishonor. You chose dishonor & you will have war. -Churchill)
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To: april15Bendovr

October Surprise????


4 posted on 10/26/2006 4:02:58 PM PDT by GitmoSailor
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To: april15Bendovr
the less populous states that are so heavily overrepresented in the Senate

Every state is represented equally in the Senate, with two senators apiece. The leftists are unhappy that this is the United STATES of America, not the United Mob, since the latter would be much easier for them to win control of. It's the same reason they hate the Electoral College - it's an impediment to their seizure of power.

5 posted on 10/26/2006 4:06:06 PM PDT by Argus ("Rove is some mysterious God of politics & mind control")
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To: GitmoSailor

I believe Carl has more in store than just the Saddams verdict falling just before the election.


6 posted on 10/26/2006 4:06:36 PM PDT by april15Bendovr
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To: april15Bendovr

DEFEND LIBERTY! HOLD THE CONSERVATIVE LINE!

7 posted on 10/26/2006 4:06:40 PM PDT by NaughtiusMaximus (Let's all be Magnificent Bastards. Turn out those Republican votes!)
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To: april15Bendovr
We have now been in Iraq just one month shy of the entire time it took us to fight World War II.

OK, this is a favorite Rat talking point lately so lets get it straight. The Iraq war lasted a few weeks and the stabilizing force has been in place for about three years.

WWII took about three years to fight and the stabilizing force has been in place FOR SIXTY YEARS AND IS STILL THERE.

8 posted on 10/26/2006 4:06:56 PM PDT by BigBobber
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To: Argus

I remember Hillary stood on the Senate floor asking to do away with the Electoral College.


9 posted on 10/26/2006 4:09:11 PM PDT by april15Bendovr
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To: NaughtiusMaximus

LOLOLOLOLOL


10 posted on 10/26/2006 4:11:33 PM PDT by Extremely Extreme Extremist
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To: BigBobber
"OK, this is a favorite Rat talking point lately so lets get it straight. The Iraq war lasted a few weeks and the stabilizing force has been in place for about three years.

WWII took about three years to fight and the stabilizing force has been in place FOR SIXTY YEARS AND IS STILL THERE."

Worth repeating. The casualties that we have taken in the last month would barely make a mention as a recon action in
WWII.
11 posted on 10/26/2006 4:13:22 PM PDT by riverrunner
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To: GitmoSailor

12 posted on 10/26/2006 4:14:56 PM PDT by traditional1
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To: BigBobber
So many soldiers are arriving back home and talking about the evident deception of the drive by media.

Metaphorically speaking they are being spit on just like the soldiers that returned home from Vietnam. They are getting support but only true patriotic Americans are listening to their frustration with the medias attempt to disrupt their mission.
13 posted on 10/26/2006 4:16:07 PM PDT by april15Bendovr
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To: april15Bendovr

Who wrote this article? The name of the author is not on the Post.

What city is this newspaper in?

Some info please.


14 posted on 10/26/2006 4:17:09 PM PDT by no dems (Who to Identify with: The very NAMES say it all. Free Republic or Democratic Underground?)
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Comment #15 Removed by Moderator

To: no dems

Molly Ivins wrote it.


16 posted on 10/26/2006 4:18:32 PM PDT by BonnieJ
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To: april15Bendovr
Sometimes you know the Republicans have just lost the rag completely.

What the hell does that even mean?

17 posted on 10/26/2006 4:19:05 PM PDT by bill1952 ("All that we do is done with an eye towards something else.")
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To: traditional1
Rove to Dems:

"Neener neener neener"

18 posted on 10/26/2006 4:19:32 PM PDT by The Blitherer (You were given the choice between war & dishonor. You chose dishonor & you will have war. -Churchill)
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To: no dems

There's a Times-Herald Record in Middletown (Orange County) New York, just an hour or so from NYC, and dangerously close to SUNY New Paltz. ECCCH!!!


19 posted on 10/26/2006 4:20:35 PM PDT by Peter W. Kessler (Dirt is for racing... asphalt is for getting there.)
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To: Peter W. Kessler

I clicked the link - IT'S MOLLY IVIN'S WORK.

I feel so SOILED having read it!

Double ECCCCH!!!


20 posted on 10/26/2006 4:21:53 PM PDT by Peter W. Kessler (Dirt is for racing... asphalt is for getting there.)
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