[AntiGuv]

Aren't these all "registered voter" samples?

No. They are all Likely Voter polls.

[standingfirm]

Are there any reg. voter polls out there that are recent?

[zook]

Somethings odd then. My home town Centre Daily Times put the MSNBC polling on their front page this morning and stated it was a poll of some 600 or so "registered voters."

[LS]

No they aren't. They CLAIM to be, but if you look at their methodology, they are not using "likely voter" methodologies.

[perfect_rovian_storm]

No, RCP is wrong on that:

TN Corker 45 Ford 43 --- likely voters

MT Tester 46 Burns 43 --- registered voters

MO McCaskill 46 Talent 43 -- registered voters

VA Allen 47 Webb 43 --- registered voters

NJ Menendez 45 Kean 42 --- registered voters

OH Brown 48 DeWine 40 --- registered voters

[Red Steel]

No. They are all Likely Voter polls.

I always wondered how pollster determine who is a "likely Voter" when only about 36% ( +-2%) in a mid-term elections turn out to vote.

So if polling and turn out are porportional, then for every 100 phone calls that are answered, only 36 callers will vote, and that's IF only potential voters are the only ones that answers the poll's phone call.

Mid-term election U.S. turn out statistics: 1994, 36%; 1998, 35%; 2002, 36%