Posted on 10/22/2006 11:44:51 PM PDT by SunkenCiv
complementary essay (due to the discussion of world oil supplies):
Russia's Israeli Oil Bond
Global Politician | August 14, 2006 | Sam Vaknin, Ph.D.
Posted on 10/23/2006 2:10:09 AM EDT by SunkenCiv
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1724134/posts
same author:
Iranian Nuclear Engineers Secretly Reveal - Nukes in 3-5 Years
Global Politician | 11-27-05 | Ghazal Omid
Posted on 11/26/2005 4:47:09 PM EST by markedmannerf
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1528999/posts
Iran, Muslims and Islam mean nothing to me. Nothing but a waste of humanity.
I wouldn't bet on it.
With all respect to you pal, Siv, Iran won't dare to attack Israel in the near term. They will continue to use their proxies in the area like Syria and Hezbollah. It's really worked for them to date with no downside or significant costs.
Correction...should read
your pal, Civ.
People have been saying this for years about Afghanistan, Iraq, and now Iran. Where's the glass that so many have, and are now predicting?
Bush knows that an Iraq Victory is impossible with Iranian support of the bad guysThe US hasn't withdrawn troops, merely moved them around the country, particularly as the new Iraqi troops and police have been deployed. There is one possible reason for this. I think the liberation of Iran will be much more intense, that is, there will be actual and coherent formations of enemy troops, and for a longer time. And of course, it will bring about wider and open civil war in Pakistan, fomented by groups supported and recruited by Iran. Also, I'd be surprised to see Kurdistan remain as quiet as it is now.
No, not until they have their nukes.
I seriously doubt there will be any iran in 3-5 years. Not that I would miss it, of course.
About the author Ghazal Omid (snip)
"...on a trip to Abadan to renew her birth certificate, another incident emphasized the urgency for her to leave the country. Riding with her mother in a taxi, Ghazal asked the tour guide/taxi driver to slow down so she could photograph the abandoned oil refinery where her grandfather had been chief of security. Instead, the driver, an under cover policewoman, pulled out her ID and threatened to arrest her as a spy if she tried to photograph the rusting junkyard of pipes; all that remained of a majestic refinery that fifty years ago was the largest in the world...."
Very, very interesting.
GHAZAL OMID
http://www.livinginhell.com/biography.php
I would be totally stunned if that occurred; not that I would oppose the strike. Bush won't do it.
Iran has way too much invested to step back. There is a Muslim-vs-Muslim conflict going on right now, between the Arabic version of Islam (Sunni, al-Qaeda, Wahhabism) and the Iranian version (Shi'a, Hezbollah). Lebanon is the Hezbollah insertion point, while the Wahhabists are trying to work through Hamas in the Gaza Strip.
Normally, I would just say, let the Muslims do battle with each other. This was the situation with Iran and Iraq, from the early 1980's until the occupation of Kuwait by Iraq in 1991. Then, it became a threat to world trade and a serious interruption of energy supplies from the region.
We were blind on the ground throughout most of that period, and it was only through reports from refugees from the region that it becam apparent that what was going on was much more than a border war, it was a bilateral attempt at genocide to be visited upon the rivals by each other. Mutual Assured Destruction. Kuwait was captured only as a strategic maneuver, but that brought the wrath of the world down upon Saddam, as his agenda became more and more obvious, annihilation of all competition.
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