Posted on 10/19/2006 6:02:19 AM PDT by kellynla
Political scientists will be picking over the bones of the 2006 election for decades, trying to figure out if Kim Jong-il's nukes were more important to voters than Mark Foley's instant messages. The range of variables affecting voters’ final decisions, propelled by a strong leftward news dynamic, has maintained a longer-than-normal fluidity in the polls. In an election-year September, it isn’t unheard of for one party to lose 13 points of a 16-point lead, as the Dems did. But in mid-October, what are we to make of a CNN poll giving Dems a 21-point lead released the same day as a FOX News poll saying the Dem lead is only 9?
Today there are only two certainties: first, the news dynamic is bad for Republicans; and second, the data the polls have given us are still soft. They don't yet - and for another week or more won't - reflect voters' final decisions or predict accurately voter turnout. That fact may return Michael DeWine and Jim Talent to the Senate next year, and prevent Nancy Pelosi from taking the Speaker's gavel.
Republicans need to better understand and act on the signals voters are sending. Vice President Cheney - who to the 527 Media personifies everything wrong with the Bush White House - is being received like a rock star on campaign stops (according to one New York Times report.) In Virginia, a constitutional amendment banning gay marriage is being supported by about 53% of Virginia voters and, as the Washington Post reports mournfully, no state has yet rejected such a ban. And if viewer ratings have the value political polls do, where CBS News now stands people may soon be able to view the Couric Crater.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
* Remind the voters why voting for any Democratic senate candidate is a vote for liberal control of the Senate agenda, for every liberal policy from abortion to gay marriage, for ACLU-approved judges, and against NSA terrorist surveillance and ballistic missile defense. Put pictures of the liberal would-be committee chairman on the screen. Nationalize the election, and make liberals the issue;
* Tell America - as Progress for America has - that we are safer at home because we are fighting terrorists abroad. It's football season: Americans understand that the best defense is a good offense."
What are the 527 media?
Bingo.
Long live Jed.
The problem with this president is that he hasnt learned how to cheerlead the people like Reagan did.
Reagan would get up and say that the American people can do anything if they simply put their minds to it. He also priased the American people saying that they are the real heros and not him or anyone else in Washington DC.
GW Bush simply hasnt learned how to communicate and I doubt ever will.
R. Reagan was the LAST true republican president.
Heh heh.
...GW Bush simply hasnt learned how to communicate and I doubt ever will. ......
Pay attention. He's on Fox News most every morning somewhere in America making his case and communicating.
Sour Grapes are counter productive.
bttt
Oh no !, It's Y2K all over again. The world will shut down, Banks unable to function, mass hysteria gone rampant. And the DOW passes the $12,000.00 mark !
You forgot Stingrays in that list.
Leaping Stingrays FrogMan !, your absolutely right. How could I forget that ?
527 groups fall under a section of the Internal Revenue Code governing organizations that primarily attempt to influence election campaigns. Until recently, the section applied to political committees (such as candidate or party committees) that contributed to, or otherwise directly supported or opposed candidates. In the case of federal elections, such committees are subject to federal election law limits on amounts and sources of contributions. However the newer so-called '527s' do not (1) use 'magic' words that expressly advocate someone's election or defeat, and/or (2) directly subsidize federal campaigns themselves. Therefore, lawyers have successfully argued to the Federal Election Commission, they are exempt from the restrictions of federal campaign law and allowed to collect soft money which is unlimited donations from corporations, unions and wealthy individuals.
"There are basically two kinds of 527s active in federal politics: those that exist to promote certain politicians (which Public Citizen calls 'politician 527s') and those that exist to promote certain ideas, interests and partisan orientations in election campaigns. (Public Citizen calls these 'non-politician 527s')...
"Politician 527s generally serve as soft money arms of 'leadership PACs,' which incumbents use to aid other candidates and otherwise further their own careers. Like the campaign committees of members of Congress, leadership PACs can receive only 'hard money' contributions, which are limited in amounts and may not come directly from corporations or unions. Politician 527s use their soft money mainly to sponsor events that promote their own careers, help create a 'farm team' of successful state and local candidates, and spur partisan 'get-out-the-vote (GOTV)' efforts.
The Washington Compost no longer wants values voters reading there papers. Just can seem to figure out that parents want their kids successfully married and producing children. Doh!
Many thanks for explaining this. Bad stuff.
527 groups fall under a section of the Internal Revenue Code governing organizations that primarily attempt to influence election campaigns.
I do not want a president who considers propaganda his main job. Likewise, I do not believe that wisdom resides in the federal government, so I don't ant them presuming to tell us what to eat, etc. What we really need is a news gathering service that is not focused on the negative and reports both pluses and minuses. Even Rush lets the Dems set the agenda by following the AP.
you're welcome
if we had term limits, we could eliminate a lot of the problems with these "career" politicians.
I hope it makes it to the Oval Office desk.
Shhh! Don't say that too loud around here - you'll have a bunch of hysterical moonbats coming out of the woodwork in no time, telling you that we're all gonna die from this as soon as it gets here from Asia.
One of many reasons I don't think much of Sean Hannity is that he spent an inordinate amount of time on the bird flu thing - took it very seriously.
The bird flu is right up there with the predictions in 2004 that as many as 1 BILLION people might die from the flu that winter due to the flu vaccine shortage. Beyond ridiculous.
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