Posted on 10/14/2006 4:34:21 AM PDT by johnny7
REPUBLICANS and conservatives, brace yourselves! Strategists and consultants of both parties now believe the House is lost and House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi will become speaker. At best, Republicans will cling to control of the Senate by a single seat, two at most. For many election cycles, Republicans have been the boys of October, using paid media and superior campaign skills to make up lost ground and win in November. This year, they were the boys of September, rallying strongly until that fateful day, September 29, when the Mark Foley scandal erupted. October has been a disaster so far. A strong finishing kick for Republicans, minimizing Democratic gains, is possible. They pulled one off brilliantly in President Bush's first midterm election in 2002. But recovery will be harder this time, a lot harder.
The press is fixated on the so-called generic ballot--Do you want a Democratic or Republican Congress?--as an indicator of Republican setbacks on November 7. But that gauge has rarely been predictive. Two others are more reliable: presidential approval and party enthusiasm. And they tell an ominous story for Republicans about the difference between 2002 and 2006.
(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...
Many of us couldn't believe the negetivity around here last election when the world was ending over the polls. Deje vu?
And yes we will pick up some seats as I predicted last election. Fool me once, shame on you...
Pray for W and Our Troops
BBL
Well, I was here and I don't recall any widespread view that the world was ending. The polls showed that the race was close. It was.
Remember Mogadishu?
Fred has the question right and the parties wrong: "How bad will it be . . . for DEMOCRATS" . . . when they lose a seat in the Senate and possibly 1-5 in the House. If they don't gain control of both, and if they lose seats, you will see a bloodbath in the Dem Party like you've never witnessed.
It will serve as the death knell of the MSM's lock on power.
Everybody needs to listen to what Rush has been saying lately: "What if the dems lose" ..?? Now, several other people have joined in that conversation. And .. even one brave sole on the liberal side has made public that the dems are very conflicted - very divided - and have no clear leader (which means not every liberal is rooting for Hillary).
Fred Barnes is usually pretty level headed about this stuff .. but I think Fred is way off the mark here.
It looks like the beltway has already forgotten about the "silent majority" - and we're mad as hell and we're not going to take it anymore. I agree with Rush .. the American public will vote for national security/economy issues .. and while the MSM will not report it .. most polls to evengelicals asking about Foley were a surprise (to the MSM). They blamed Foley and not the GOP. Since that answer didn't fit the MSM's template - it was quickly shoved under the bus.
FOLEY IS A NON-ISSUE TO REPUBS!!
We know how the dems are .. why are we expecting anything different from them this election year. They always try to make their people believe they're going to win everything - and they end up losing and losing big. I still remember seeing Carville with a garbage can on his head. I'm expecting the same this time. Once again, the left is believing their own skewed polls.
...and exit polls NEVER lie!
With all due respect to believe the GOP can actually "pick up seats" is not facing reality.
The LSM has been hammering on the Republicans unrelentingly and it has had an obvious effect.
I am convinced we can maintain control of both houses if we come out in force, low voter turnout is always expected during the years of a non Presidential election.
The key is in projecting the importance that every vote (From your base) is needed.
Guess I'm just not as smart as you. We will pick up seats due to our turnout.
Pray for W and Our Troops
"drag it out to the early fall of 2008."
Exactly!
I was being facetious about the 'Rats impeaching GWB and getting Cheney but no one caught it. There wouldn't be enough votes in the Senate to begin with.
You have a very short memory. There were many on here predicting the end of the world last election. Course they were the smart ones who could really interpret the phony polls.
Pray for W and Our Troops
Hope your right.
"Pray for W and Our Troops."
Count on it.
"......under siege by a rat congress......"
should read ".....coping with democrats who do not believe in U.S. soverignty, who hold U.S. soldiers in low esteem, who wish to see disaster, who want to meld the U.S. population into the internationalist order, who have declared war on the U.S., but who deny duplicity and complicity in the underhanded dealings..."
(heavens to betsy.....i love to hate them; they're so nauseating)
If you think the republicans are in trouble because of poll data you need some ginkgo biloba or something because your memory is failing you.
If you disagree with this then tell me ONE time where the polls weren't predicting a better demoratic result than what happened.
I've been surprised for years that any conservative pays any attention to these so called polls.
The guys who report the weather have a better track record.
In the end, all politics IS local, and most incumbents will win. I predict we hold by 3. It could go the other way, and Nancy may have a plurality of 1-2. But she would be tearing her hair out trying to keep it together. With 435 members. people get sick and die. The majority could flip often if we were in a situation like that. Not exactly a win for Pelosi. More like a nightmare.
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