On the contrary, the Dims have have a very effective ground game and GOTV - Get Out Their Vote.
Meanwhile the conservative activists are not out knocking on the doors in key districts and apparently will not get out the vote.
Winner and loser are not determined by ideology or media hype. They are determined by who delivers the vote on the ground. That is the way Peter Fitzgerald won in '98. It is the way Bush lost in 2000 and won in 2004.