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Now before everyone FREAKS OUT on this poll, read what I have to say. This is the first wave of Survey USA's polling here. They likely released this number so that their client news station in New York has a headline for now. It's a lot shorter to poll 500 adults -- they probably don't have answers from 600 likely voters yet for a head-to-head matchup question. And it would be meaningless to report on the horserace among "adults."

I would guess that on Thursday or Friday we'll see the final numbers on this full poll including how Reynolds fares in the actual ballot test.

Having said that, I don't think we can draw a lot of conclusions from this one number. Reynolds is clearly in trouble, but we already knew that (The last Survey USA poll had him up only 2 points anyway).

1 posted on 10/04/2006 7:40:45 PM PDT by okstate
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To: AntiGuv; Clintonfatigued; Torie

Reynolds -44 percent margin on favorability in relation to the page scandal, says a new Survey USA poll (without a horserace ballot test question)


2 posted on 10/04/2006 7:41:25 PM PDT by okstate
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To: okstate

Reynolds is also the Chair of the NRCC, which incidentally favored Huffman(Loser) Vs Graf(Winner) in the primary.

His gay staffer may have been making strategy decisions for the NRCC, which would explain lack of support for heterosexual Christian Conservatives by the NRCC and the lack of support for Graf (AZ CD8)and Kolbe (Ex AZCD8) who is allowing his name and quotes to be used by the Democrats. If the Gaystapo is involved in his staff he is done for.

Reynolds is going to have problems in the election. Two large (GM/Ford) plants are closing and a rural food industry is bankrupt (Agrilink/ProFac) in the outlying rural counties.

This isn't freaking out. There are other issues
There are other local economic issues that will not be overcome.

He had better come up with an explanation for the Log Cabin wing of the Republican party using his name and influence.
If the locals do not get a legitimate explanation he is toast.


9 posted on 10/04/2006 8:01:44 PM PDT by axes_of_weezles
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To: okstate

The democrap created scandal broke too early. Reynolds will get reelected despite his stupid antics.

Why?

The alternative is a decrepit protectionist. He is the unions's (UAW types) last gasp in NYS


24 posted on 10/04/2006 8:13:50 PM PDT by eleni121 ("Show me just what Mohammed brought:: evil and inhumanity")
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To: okstate

Survey USA polls are considered inaccurate,skewed to the Liberals and democrats and dont have a great track record, I dont think their polls mean much this election.


49 posted on 10/05/2006 3:54:17 AM PDT by GregH
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