[okstate]

This fits closely with the Majority Watch poll in CT-04, which had Shays up 7.

[Owen]

Excellent. Every single vulnerable seat held steepens the climb the Democrats face.

There is entirely too much talk of parallels of 2006 to 1994. The FUNDAMENTAL reality is that in 1994 there were over 100 seats thought to be vulnerable. There are far fewer than that now.

The Democrats have to run the table to make this happen. Odds are against that happening.

[Dr. Thorne]

Shays will probably win. Farrell, as before, is running a terrible campaign. Half the people in the district don't know who she is.

[Princip. Conservative]

Not too bad, actually. Another poll out today also has Shays up by 5 (46%-41%), done by the University of Connecticut.

Also, released the other day by Public Opinion Strategies finds that Rep Rob Simmons of CT-2 leading 50%-36% over Courtney. If the DEMS don't win the CT races, their chances for a majority are greatly reduced.

[nutmeg]

Connecticut ping!

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