Posted on 10/02/2006 7:57:49 AM PDT by SmithL
WASHINGTON -- Democrats are within striking distance of taking control of the U.S. Senate on Election Day, a series of new polls for McClatchy Newspapers and MSNBC showed today.
Democratic Senate candidates are tied, have a slight edge or an outright lead in every one of 10 pivotal battleground states. No Democrat trails in those races; no Republican leads. Democrats must gain six seats to capture control of the 100-member Senate.
Democratic candidates have a strong chance to win all seven at-risk Republican Senate seats -- with their candidates tied in Virginia and Missouri, holding a slight edge in Ohio, Rhode Island and Tennessee, and leading in Montana and Pennsylvania.
Democrats are also in position to hold their three most vulnerable seats -- with a slight edge in New Jersey and leading in Maryland and Washington.
This in-depth, state-by-state look at the political landscape of 10 Senate battleground states five weeks before Election Day, Nov. 7, is based on a series of polls by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research, Inc.
Seven were conducted for McClatchy Newspapers and MSNBC, and three for other newspapers were made available to McClatchy. Each state poll was conducted by phoning 625 likely voters in the final week of September. The error margin is plus or minus four percentage points.
"These numbers look very encouraging for the Democrats to take control of the Senate," said Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker.
Democrats are faring well and Republicans are on the defensive for several reasons: dissatisfaction with President Bush, disapproval of the war in Iraq, anti-incumbent sentiment and some anxiety about the economy.
(Excerpt) Read more at sacbee.com ...
That was a misleading statement on the part of the person who wrote the article.
If you go to the article about the Virginia race, it says the interviews were with REGISTERED VOTERS who said they were likely to vote in November. I don't believe that is the standard way to qualify someone as a LIKELY VOTER. It takes more than simply asking a person if they are likely to vote. You have to inquire about their behavior. Gallup uses 7 questions as I recall.
If you look on the Real Clear Politics website, the Mason Dixon Virginia poll is classified as a Registered Voter (RV) poll, I assume for this very reason.
We will lose 5 to 7 seats in the House and 2 to 3 seats in the Senate.
and Frist...
I'll tell you one thing I recall with 100% accuracy.
NO pundit, except Morton Kondracke on McLaughlin, called the House takeover in 1994. Many were on the fence for the Senate, but the House was a total shocker to the MSM.
I guess that is to say, if Morto says the GOP is going down, then....
WE SHOULD PANIC!!!!
(just kidding...sort of)
Whether we agree with him or not Mort Kondrake has been right on many predictions, did he say who is going to control the Congress?
did he say who is going to control the Congress?"
I don't know what Morto has said this cycle. Good question, perhaps others can chime in.
Not on the Shamnesty travesty. Just as liberal. But on other issues....such as the Law of Sea Treaty? You can kiss U.S. Sovereignty good bye if the RATs get in now. W has been signalling he wants to sign the damn thing...just have all those pesky conservative GOP Senators still in the way....
Oh, ok -- thanks for telling me that.
11 states have marriage amendments on their ballots...you can bet that will encourage conservatives to get to the polls!
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