Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Polls: GOP losing grip on Senate
McClatchy News ^ | 10/2/6 | Steven Thomma

Posted on 10/02/2006 7:57:49 AM PDT by SmithL

Democrats must gain at least six seats to grab control - a feat that is suddenly not so farfetched.

WASHINGTON -- Democrats are within striking distance of taking control of the U.S. Senate on Election Day, a series of new polls for McClatchy Newspapers and MSNBC showed today.

Democratic Senate candidates are tied, have a slight edge or an outright lead in every one of 10 pivotal battleground states. No Democrat trails in those races; no Republican leads. Democrats must gain six seats to capture control of the 100-member Senate.

Democratic candidates have a strong chance to win all seven at-risk Republican Senate seats -- with their candidates tied in Virginia and Missouri, holding a slight edge in Ohio, Rhode Island and Tennessee, and leading in Montana and Pennsylvania.

Democrats are also in position to hold their three most vulnerable seats -- with a slight edge in New Jersey and leading in Maryland and Washington.

This in-depth, state-by-state look at the political landscape of 10 Senate battleground states five weeks before Election Day, Nov. 7, is based on a series of polls by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research, Inc.

Seven were conducted for McClatchy Newspapers and MSNBC, and three for other newspapers were made available to McClatchy. Each state poll was conducted by phoning 625 likely voters in the final week of September. The error margin is plus or minus four percentage points.

"These numbers look very encouraging for the Democrats to take control of the Senate," said Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker.

Democrats are faring well and Republicans are on the defensive for several reasons: dissatisfaction with President Bush, disapproval of the war in Iraq, anti-incumbent sentiment and some anxiety about the economy.

(Excerpt) Read more at sacbee.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2006election; ussenate; vykor
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-89 last
To: soccermom
Each state poll was conducted by phoning 625 likely voters in the final week of September.

That was a misleading statement on the part of the person who wrote the article.

If you go to the article about the Virginia race, it says the interviews were with REGISTERED VOTERS who said they were likely to vote in November. I don't believe that is the standard way to qualify someone as a LIKELY VOTER. It takes more than simply asking a person if they are likely to vote. You have to inquire about their behavior. Gallup uses 7 questions as I recall.

If you look on the Real Clear Politics website, the Mason Dixon Virginia poll is classified as a Registered Voter (RV) poll, I assume for this very reason.

81 posted on 10/02/2006 12:13:03 PM PDT by freespirited (A racist is a conservative who is winning an argument with a liberal.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 73 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeDude
We will keep both houses of Congress.

We will lose 5 to 7 seats in the House and 2 to 3 seats in the Senate.

82 posted on 10/02/2006 12:27:07 PM PDT by jveritas (Support The Commander in Chief in Times of War)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 79 | View Replies]

To: MaestroLC

and Frist...


83 posted on 10/02/2006 12:42:35 PM PDT by fhlh (Polls are for Strippers.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: jveritas

I'll tell you one thing I recall with 100% accuracy.

NO pundit, except Morton Kondracke on McLaughlin, called the House takeover in 1994. Many were on the fence for the Senate, but the House was a total shocker to the MSM.

I guess that is to say, if Morto says the GOP is going down, then....

WE SHOULD PANIC!!!!




(just kidding...sort of)


84 posted on 10/02/2006 12:47:49 PM PDT by ConservativeDude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 82 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeDude

Whether we agree with him or not Mort Kondrake has been right on many predictions, did he say who is going to control the Congress?


85 posted on 10/02/2006 12:58:25 PM PDT by jveritas (Support The Commander in Chief in Times of War)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 84 | View Replies]

To: jveritas

did he say who is going to control the Congress?"

I don't know what Morto has said this cycle. Good question, perhaps others can chime in.


86 posted on 10/02/2006 1:03:48 PM PDT by ConservativeDude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 85 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg
The ideological balance will not shift in the Senate in this election.

Not on the Shamnesty travesty. Just as liberal. But on other issues....such as the Law of Sea Treaty? You can kiss U.S. Sovereignty good bye if the RATs get in now. W has been signalling he wants to sign the damn thing...just have all those pesky conservative GOP Senators still in the way....

87 posted on 10/02/2006 2:37:09 PM PDT by Paul Ross (We cannot be for lawful ordinances and for an alien conspiracy at one and the same moment.-Cicero)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: freespirited

Oh, ok -- thanks for telling me that.


88 posted on 10/02/2006 6:16:10 PM PDT by soccermom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 81 | View Replies]

To: Red Steel

11 states have marriage amendments on their ballots...you can bet that will encourage conservatives to get to the polls!


89 posted on 10/10/2006 9:23:31 AM PDT by mdmathis6 (Proof against evolution:"Man is the only creature that blushes, or needs to" M.Twain)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 64 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-89 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson