New WSJ/Zogby Battleground State Poll 9/28/06

Wall Street Journal ^

[slowhand520]

Key Races:

TN Corker 47.6% Ford 42.4%

VA Allen 49.1% Webb 43.5%

MO Talent 46.9% McCaskill 45.3

Head scratchers

NJ Menendez 46.6% Keane 40.9%

MD Cardin 51.9% Steele 38.9%

Dewine down by 4 Santorum down by 5

[OldFriend]

Anyone who pays Zogby to poll for them is throwing their money to the winds.

[Owen]

These results hold the Senate. A Talent win prevents them from getting enough, even if they win DeWine and Santorum and Burns. They have to have 6 seats and Talent would prevent that.

This is the quiet truth of all this talk of winning Congress. They have to run the table. Just one or two GOP holds of close seats and they fail to take Congress.

[gridlock]

Don't you worry yourself about Kean winning in New Jersey. We'll take care of that. Menendez is goin' down to defeat!

[ditto h]

No surprise in Jersey. If Willie Sutton ran as a dem. here, these fools would vote for him. Then they would continue to complain about the highest property taxes in the country.

[COEXERJ145]

Zogsauce, it goes good with any poll.

[Warren_Piece]

But...but...but...

Harold Ford JR's campained just said their internal polling puts them up by 6 !

They wouldn't lie, would they? :)

[benjamin032]

I'm a little light on the lingo, who are the D's and R's in these races?

[montag813]

These results make no sense. Santorum only down by 5? Kean down? Does not jibe with the internal polls we are being given.

[Pete]

Does not jibe with the internal polls we are being given.

Anything you would like to share?;)

[Happy Valley Dude]

Zogby's number on the FL Governor primary were dead on. He had Gallagher over Crist by about 30% and Davis over Smith by about 5%:



The actual results had Crist beating Gallagher by about 30% and Davis beating Smith by about 6%:

http://election.dos.state.fl.us/Elections/ResultsArchive/Enight.asp

[Jimnorwellwarren]

Rudy would make a lot of capital for himself if he compaigned heavily in Maryland and New Jersey and those two flipped.

[tcrlaf]

Subtract 8% from Dem Numbers and you'll have something a bit closer to reality...

Without the NUMBERS behind these polls, they mean NOTHING. What was the Dem Bias percentage in these polls?

[tcrlaf]

"Menendez is goin' down to defeat!"

Don't count on it...
The Dead are going to rise by the THOUSANDS to vote Dem this year...

[Jimnorwellwarren]

...and nothing about Burns/Tester?

[moose2004]

Montana: loss
Ohio: loss
Pennsylvania: loss
Rhode Island: loss
Missouri: win
Tennessee: win
New Jersey: win
Virginia: win

Repubs: 52
dems: 46
Inde's: 2 (both will caucus with the dems)

[nathanbedford]

Likely or registered?

[gridlock]

The Dead are going to rise by the THOUSANDS to vote Dem this year...

If it's not close, they can't cheat. It is our job to make sure it is not close, and Menendez loses by a lot.

[moose2004]

I don't think Zogby polls well in Pennsylvania or New Jersey. The most reliable polls for both States are Quinnipiac and Gannett, and they show Santorum down by 7-8 and Kean up by 4-6.

[motife]

Probable Republican losses :
OH
PA
MT

Possible Republican losses :
RI
TN
KY
MO

Possible Repubilican pickups :
NJ

Longshot :
MD

Estimate for GOP loss in Senate : 5 seats