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The Global Housing Boom: In come the waves (a cautionary tale)
The Economist ^ | 06/16/2005

Posted on 09/21/2006 8:02:27 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts

The worldwide rise in house prices is the biggest bubble in history. Prepare for the economic pain when it pops

NEVER before have real house prices risen so fast, for so long, in so many countries. Property markets have been frothing from America, Britain and Australia to France, Spain and China. Rising property prices helped to prop up the world economy after the stockmarket bubble burst in 2000. What if the housing boom now turns to bust?

According to estimates by The Economist, the total value of residential property in developed economies rose by more than $30 trillion over the past five years, to over $70 trillion, an increase equivalent to 100% of those countries' combined GDPs. Not only does this dwarf any previous house-price boom, it is larger than the global stockmarket bubble in the late 1990s (an increase over five years of 80% of GDP) or America's stockmarket bubble in the late 1920s (55% of GDP). In other words, it looks like the biggest bubble in history.

(Excerpt) Read more at economist.com ...


TOPICS: Australia/New Zealand; Business/Economy; Japan; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: 2005article; bahog; comedyhour; depression; despair; doom; dustbowl; grapesofwrath; housing; housingbubble; lieabouttheagenda; whataretheyselling
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To: Moonman62
Ooops. Sorry about that. No matter. It's thesis is the same both then and now. The difference is, the very thing they predicted is now starting to occur.
21 posted on 09/21/2006 8:15:16 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts

This chart has nothing to do with gloom or doom in the housing market but I thought it was a pretty chart

22 posted on 09/21/2006 8:15:22 PM PDT by woofie
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To: Moonman62; nopardons
The very nature of goldbuggery is deception, and he is NO different than those who have been banned and those who will one day take his place.

Of course, the same applies to fearmongering gloomwhoring blogpimpery.

23 posted on 09/21/2006 8:15:38 PM PDT by Petronski (Living His life abundantly.)
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To: GodGunsGuts

24 posted on 09/21/2006 8:16:40 PM PDT by Petronski (Living His life abundantly.)
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To: GodGunsGuts

It's your story, tell it however you want.


25 posted on 09/21/2006 8:17:19 PM PDT by Petronski (Living His life abundantly.)
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To: Moonman62
Because that would really HURT his doom&gloom position. The predicted imminent end of the world didn't happen and we're almost into '07.
26 posted on 09/21/2006 8:17:26 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: Moonman62

I just got done reading an article that stated when Japan lowered interest rates to zero, they still couldn't attract any RE buyers. Real Estate continued to decline for over a decade.


27 posted on 09/21/2006 8:18:01 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: durasell
Activity in NYC is a lot of European money and midwestern/southern money. These are the guys who traditionally get burned...

Actually, in my area, it it mainly Wall St. folks. Last 3 sales in my building in fact.

28 posted on 09/21/2006 8:18:29 PM PDT by montag813
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To: GodGunsGuts

Your mouth must be tired.


29 posted on 09/21/2006 8:18:41 PM PDT by Petronski (Living His life abundantly.)
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To: montag813

Actually, in my area, it it mainly Wall St. folks. Last 3 sales in my building in fact.



Where are they from? Bet you a buck they've been in the city less than 5 years.


30 posted on 09/21/2006 8:19:38 PM PDT by durasell (!)
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To: Petronski

Youur bad attitude wont keep you in gloom and doom long buster


31 posted on 09/21/2006 8:21:05 PM PDT by woofie
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To: woofie

That it is.


32 posted on 09/21/2006 8:21:19 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: durasell
That there is a continuing trend, now, of families staying in the city, so new buildings are now catering to families with children; more bedrooms, areas for children to play, schools inside the buildings, "mommy&me Yoga", etc It was an interesting read.
33 posted on 09/21/2006 8:21:43 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: woofie

But I love the gloom! I crave the doom!


I'm just a slave to the gloom and doom!


34 posted on 09/21/2006 8:22:45 PM PDT by Petronski (Living His life abundantly.)
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To: GodGunsGuts
HORSEFEATHERS !

And the stats on South Africa were bogus.

35 posted on 09/21/2006 8:22:46 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: Petronski

Exactly so; sadly.


36 posted on 09/21/2006 8:23:35 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: Petronski
Pray tell, please expose the great deception Petronski. I'm dying to hear what you learned by listening to the gold conspirators whispering under your bed.
37 posted on 09/21/2006 8:23:50 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: nopardons

Press agentry.

The best thing the Post ever did -- except for Headless Body etc. -- was the Lizzy Mobile after the Grubman affair. I loved the Lizzy Mobile.


38 posted on 09/21/2006 8:24:00 PM PDT by durasell (!)
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To: montag813

I live in Spokane, WA, and in comparison to other similiar markets around the country Spokane is still very reasonable for housing costs.

To the east of us in Northern Idaho prices have gone up drastically. To the west of us near the cascades in Chelan County property has gone up drastically. Here in Spokane you can still get a nice 5 bedroom/4bath/3 car garage in the low 400's. These are 4000+ sq ft homes.

I don't know about the rest of the country but with one kid here, one due in a few months, and a third planned my wife and I are preparing the home we live in now to sell in the Spring and upsize in a better school district.

I hate to lose out on my fixed 4.6 15 year note though. :(


39 posted on 09/21/2006 8:24:03 PM PDT by volunbeer
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To: GodGunsGuts

I wouldn't buy real estate either if banks were having a hard time making loans, because such a banking problem causes deflation.


40 posted on 09/21/2006 8:24:04 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The issue of whether cheap labor makes America great should have been settled by the Civil War.)
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