Posted on 09/18/2006 6:21:25 AM PDT by MplsSteve
DFL U.S. Senate candidate Amy Klobuchar continues to hold a dominant lead over GOP rival Mark Kennedy, 56 to 32 percent, in the latest Minnesota Poll, a margin similar to the one she had in July. Independence Party candidate Robert Fitzgerald remains at 3 percent; other candidates garnered less than 1 percent.
A sense by many that the nation is on the wrong track, mounting disapproval of President Bush and an energized DFL base all appear to be factors in the gap between Klobuchar and Kennedy.
Klobuchar is ahead of Kennedy in virtually every demographic category that the poll measured and has extended a lead among moderates and independents over the summer.
(Excerpt) Read more at startribune.com ...
If Klobuchar had a legitimately large lead in this race, I'd be the first to admit it. I really would. But these numbers are seriously messed up. They don't even come close to any other published poll. Even Kennedy's internal polling has him trailing by only single digits.
I suspect the Red Star may be manipulating their numbers to drive down support for Mark Kennedy, both in terms of fundraising and actual supporters.
Opinions or comments - anyone?
They wouldn't do that. That would be cheating!
MINNESOTA PING LIST!
Let me know if you want on or off this list!
I assume they used the same sample and the same phone calls for this poll as the poll yesterday showing Pawlenty and Hatch exactly even. That poll was of about 800 "Minnesota adults". Not registered voters, not likely voters. I took the the results of that poll as good news for Pawlenty.
Who knows what's really going on beneath the surface of this result.
Not looking good for Kennedy, but I think you're right. These are crazy numbers for a state with Sen. Norm Coleman.
Typical Media trying to influence the outcome poll.
Remember the LA Times polls showing Arnold down before he won convincingly?
| Minnesota Senate Race: Mark Kennedy (R) vs. Amy Klobuchar (D) | |||||
| Poll | Date | Sample | Kennedy (R) | Klobuchar (D) | Spread |
| RCP Average | 08/23 to 09/15 | - | 37.3% | 51.0% | Klobuchar +13.7% |
| Star Tribune | 09/13 - 09/15 | 820 LV | 32% | 56% | Klobuchar +24% |
| Rasmussen | 08/28 - 08/28 | 500 LV | 40% | 47% | Klobuchar +7% |
| USA Today/Gallup | 08/23 - 08/27 | 790 LV | 40% | 50% | Klobuchar +10% |
From "Real Clear Politics"
DemonRATs have gotten more and more up front with their psyops and black propoganda. We'll see more and more liberal hit pieces as the election approaches. Laugh, shake your head, and turn out on election day. There's only one poll which counts.
I'm not sure I'm believing this poll.
In any case it is quite an uphill fight for Kennedy. What a shame. In a better year for the GOP he might have had a better chance.
In recent history, even in bad years in which Republicans lost a lot of Senate seats (like 1986 and 2000) they usually manage to take at least one Demo seat away. Let's hope they can do that this year, if not in MN then in MD and/or MI.
Kennedy's ads are sort of lame but at least they aren't party duck speak.
In fairness, IIRC, the polls were all (not just the S-T) counting "likely voters," and Ventura won because of a big turnout of unexpected voters. I don't believe anyone called that race correctly except Ventura.
My theory is that no one was more surprised than Ventura at the results. I believe it was a PR stunt that got way out of control.
Too bad he doesn't appear to have a clue how to run a good campaign.
24% ? That's ludicrous on its face. They have a similar poll in the CO Governor's race by some absurd margin for Ritter (D) over Beauprez (R).
Exactly. I think that's what is was too.
As Joe Soucheray (an local radio talk show host) once said "It was a college fraternity prank that went bad".
With Colorado you must be referring to the POS poll that has Ritter leading Beauprez by 50% to 33%. The irony, BTW, is that Public Opinion Strategies is a GOP polling group.
More Star-Trib TRASH.
Kennedy is down maybe 8-12 points.. but not 24.
"In recent history, even in bad years in which Republicans lost a lot of Senate seats (like 1986 and 2000) they usually manage to take at least one Demo seat away. Let's hope they can do that this year, if not in MN then in MD and/or MI."
as long as the dems dont play switcheroo i think that Kean will win in NJ lets hope for MD and MI as upsets as well :)
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