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Rasmussen Poll: Bush @ 44% (3 point jump from yesterday)
Rasmussen Reports ^

Posted on 09/12/2006 8:22:13 AM PDT by slowhand520

President Bush Job Approval September 12, 2006

Forty-four percent (44%) of American adults approve of the way that President Bush is performing his job. Fifty-four percent (54%) disapprove. Those are the best numbers for the President in months and it remains to be seen whether today’s update reflects lasting change or merely statistical noise.

The Rasmussen Reports daily updates are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The overwhelming majority of interviews for today’s update were completed before President Bush’s address to the nation last night.

Americans remain evenly divided as to whether the war in Iraq is part of the larger War on Terror or a distraction from it. There is also a fairly even divide between those who think our legal system is too concerned about individual liberties at the expense of national security and those who share the opposite perspective. Forty-one percent (41%) of Americans believe that the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror. Most Americans think our nation was changed for the worse since 9/11 and most support the President’s call to try terrorist suspects through military tribunals.

The economic confidence of American consumers jumped to its highest level in five months today and investor confidence is at its highest level in six months.

On the political front, Washington Senator Maria Cantwell (D) has soared to a 17-point lead over challenger Mike McGavick (R ). As a result, we have shifted that race from “Leans Democrat” to “Democrat” in our Senate Balance of Power summary (see State-by-State Summary). We now list 49 seats as Republican or Leans Republican and 45 seats as Democrat or Leans Democrat. Six states are listed as Toss-Ups. The Toss-Up states are Tennessee, New Jersey, Missouri, Montana, Ohio, and Rhode Island. To see our latest results, check out the Election 2006 summary page.

California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) holds an 8-point lead in his bid for re-election. In Arkansas, Democrat Mike Beebe has once again opened a double digit lead. South Carolina Governor Mark Sanford (R )has reached the 50% level of voter support in his bid for re-election. Premium Members can see our latest data from Illinois, Alabama, Georgia and Texas.

If you'd like to receive regular updates of Rasmussen Reports polling data, sign up for our FREE weekly newsletter in the left column on this page (immediately below the summary of Job Approval ratings).

In August, the number of Americans calling themselves Republican has fallen to the lowest level since Rasmussen Reports began releasing this data in January 2004.

At Rasmussen Reports, we adjust our party identification weighting targets each month based upon actual survey results from the previous 90 days. For the month of September, our partisan weighting targets are 37.0% Democrat, 32.7% Republican, and 30.2% unaffiliated. This represents a slight increase in the number of Democrats and unaffiliateds. The impact on the President’s Job Approval rating is less than a percentage point compared to data from the prior three months. See our monthly update on Partisan Trends.

See also our comments on comparing Job Approval numbers from different polling firms.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2006 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election. We update the President's Job Approval Ratings daily and are polling every Senate and Governor's race at least once a month in 2006.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bush; polls; rasmussen
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To: Common Tator

"That means the retail price of gasoline will be about $1.25 a gallon"

That seems a bit optimistic, no?


41 posted on 09/12/2006 9:35:38 AM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://xanga.com/rwfromkansas)
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To: daler

As gas prices fall, his numbers will go up.

Doesn't say much about the fickle nature of some who will approve or disapprove a President based on 10 cents per gallon or so. Sad


42 posted on 09/12/2006 9:46:35 AM PDT by Joan Kerrey
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To: Common Tator

The price of Gasolline is going to continue to fall. It will initially fall to about 25 or 30 dollars a barrel...That means the retail price of gasoline will be about $1.25 a gallon

Yeah sure. /s off


43 posted on 09/12/2006 9:49:13 AM PDT by Joan Kerrey
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To: Common Tator
The price of Gasolline is going to continue to fall. It will initially fall to about 25 or 30 dollars a barrel...That means the retail price of gasoline will be about $1.25 a gallon. It could for a very short time fall to double digits. Then it will rise to about a $1.44 a gallon. That will restore all sorts of consumer confidence just in time for the fall election.

CT- this is a joke, right?

44 posted on 09/12/2006 9:52:56 AM PDT by NYC Republican (GOP is the worst political party, except for all the others...)
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To: slowhand520; LS; RobFromGa
The wheels have fallen off the wagon for McKaskill (D) in Mo.. That puts the GOP at 50. They'll win Tenn. That's 51. If Dubya stumps and gets out the vote in Montana that's 52. Menendez is in big trouble in Joisey but they could pull the ol' switcheroo again and put in Codey. Until they do, I'll give Tommy Boy the win in Joisey. That's 53. I have a feeling we'll win in Ohio. That's 54. I hve a hunch about Steele in Md. Perhaps Chaffee will win. Say we win one of the 2. That put's us at 55.

I originally thought we would pick up 2 but McGavick is having trouble and Michigan has remained tantalizingly close, but not close enough.

Dole was terrible at recruiting candidates. If she had gotten Thompson in Wi., Caputo in W.VA., and ANYBODY in ND we'd have won 2 of the 3.

IMHO of course.

45 posted on 09/12/2006 9:56:00 AM PDT by MattinNJ (The paleocon's paleocon.)
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To: lone star annie

Nothing in your post is true. But thanks for playing.


46 posted on 09/12/2006 10:00:34 AM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (If you believe ANYTHING in the Treason Media you are a fool.)
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To: Mo1
If Bush is doing a poor job and we have enjoyed a great economy, safe from the most dangerous enemy in modern history, and by far the best country in the world, what would it be like if he did a good job?
47 posted on 09/12/2006 10:02:19 AM PDT by Big Horn (The senate is loaded with scum-baggers)
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To: MattinNJ

I get so sick of tired of the dems claiming Bush is using "fear" to push his War on Terror...Guess what - the events of 9/11 brought fear to us firsthand from our ENEMIES and they are responsible for the loss of innocence and belief that we are basically good and kind. This world is full of hate and fear and the only way to overcome is NOT to sit idly by and sing Kumbayah, but to boldly attack that which caused it and stomp it out through freedom, choice, etc. That is why we cannot allow democrats to take over any part of our government.


48 posted on 09/12/2006 10:03:45 AM PDT by princess leah
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To: princess leah

The RATs wil continue to complain that Bush is taking the threats too seriously, and doing too many things that infringe on our freedoms right until, God forbid, another attack occur.

At that exact point in time, they would execute a 180 pivot and start complaining the exact opposite-- that Bush didn't take the threats seriously enough, and that he didn't take the steps necessary to protect us.

You can't win with these guys everything is about political power.

Rob


49 posted on 09/12/2006 10:13:03 AM PDT by RobFromGa (The FairTax cult is like Scientology, but without the movie stars)
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To: mtairycitizen

LOL - bump!


50 posted on 09/12/2006 10:13:45 AM PDT by Liberty Valance (Keep a simple manner for a happy life)
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To: MattinNJ

Doen't look good for Washington, too early to tell in Michigan. You left out Santorum, I think he is looking like the slight favorite again.

I'm waiting till the primaries are over tonight to update my overall predictions...

Both the MD and RI primaries today are very difficult to handicap because we don't know how much cross-over voting will occur...


51 posted on 09/12/2006 10:18:20 AM PDT by RobFromGa (The FairTax cult is like Scientology, but without the movie stars)
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To: Joan Kerrey
Doesn't say much about the fickle nature of some who will approve or disapprove a President based on 10 cents per gallon or so. Sad

Sad to say the least.

But keep in mind this is the same electorate that put the Impeached Prevaricator in the 60% range because they (mistakenly) believed the economy was booming.

And the same electorate that came within a few points of electing Kerry, when the man isn't fit to run the local pound.

52 posted on 09/12/2006 10:23:32 AM PDT by daler (<P>)
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To: rwfromkansas
That seems a bit optimistic, no?

The retail price of gasoline will be under $2.00 in a couple of days.

It has fallen 75 cents in a week. $1.25 is just another 75 cents. Some are predicting retail price of gas will be 99 cents a gallon or less before it starts to rise.

53 posted on 09/12/2006 10:38:44 AM PDT by Common Tator
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To: Common Tator

Do you think it will stay low until election day?


54 posted on 09/12/2006 10:47:02 AM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://xanga.com/rwfromkansas)
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To: Common Tator

Gas price drops (or increases) gets amplified because people buy gas a tank at a time.

The price per gallon difference gets multiplied by 15 gallons or so. People have adjusted somewhat to paying $40-60 per fillup, and gas prices dropping back into the $25-30 range (under $2 a gallon) will have a major impact on perception of gas prices...


55 posted on 09/12/2006 10:52:10 AM PDT by RobFromGa (The FairTax cult is like Scientology, but without the movie stars)
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To: princess leah

Let them whine. We will crush them. I love when they scream and howl in defeat. Music to my ears.


56 posted on 09/12/2006 10:54:27 AM PDT by MattinNJ (The paleocon's paleocon.)
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To: RobFromGa

My sister is in Michigan. She said that there were real negative ad produced by the Little Debbie and CO. The Pubs refuted them line by line stating the laws and the facts. Really made the rats look stupid and inept.


57 posted on 09/12/2006 10:54:52 AM PDT by hoosiermama
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To: RobFromGa

D'oh. How could I forget Santorum? I think Santorum will win and revise my earlier revision to predict a +1.


58 posted on 09/12/2006 10:57:53 AM PDT by MattinNJ (The West has been fighting the war on terror for 1200 years.)
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To: Gaffer
However, there is but one poll that mattered for GWB -- the one conducted in November 2004.

Yes. Novemeber 2nd, 2004...a good day :)
59 posted on 09/12/2006 11:32:44 AM PDT by G8 Diplomat
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To: Mo1

ohhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhnooooooo
spin miester dim party will have a heart attack.


60 posted on 09/12/2006 11:33:50 AM PDT by JFC (President George W Bush, the comforter in chief.)
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