Posted on 09/06/2006 7:10:42 AM PDT by thackney
Major oil refiners in Japan and South Korea have curbed operations this week in an effort to revive deeply negative refining margins by limiting fuel output, industry and company sources said on Wednesday.
The cuts, the first broad reductions since a brief spate of curbs last November, may help boost prices of gasoline and other fuels, but may do little to rescue the ailing Asian market for fuel oil, the price of which has slumped to about $20 a barrel below the Middle East benchmark crude price, the widest gap ever.
Japan's top refiner Nippon Oil Corp., which operates a quarter of the country's capacity, will cut back by 23,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 816,000 bpd this month versus its previous plan after a domestic fuel oil-fired power plant broke down.
That is 16 percent less than September last year and about a third lower than its full capacity, partly due to planned maintenance on several units this month.
GS Caltex Corp. -- a 50:50 joint venture between South Korea's GS Holdings Corp. and U.S. major Chevron Corp. -- has cut its planned refinery runs this month by 20,000 bpd to 600,000 bpd, an industry source said.
A second source said it would cut back on high-sulphur grades in an effort to reduce fuel oil output while maintaining heating and gas oil output ahead of winter.
Domestic peer Hyundai Oilbank Corp. is working to reduce its crude runs for September to 300,000 bpd from its original plan of 320,000 bpd, a company source said, although it may not be able to implement the full cut.
Top Korean refiner SK Corp., which produces large volumes of fuel oil, may follow suit, but many others may not.
Industry sources in India said that export obligations this month made it difficult for some plants to curb runs immediately, while a source at Taiwan's Formosa said the five-year-old refinery had little reason to cut back given its sophistication.
Key refineries in China also continue to run near full throttle, as Beijing pushes its oil majors to ensure sufficient supplies to the domestic market despite more than a year of refining losses as increases in retail fuel price failed to keep pace with soaring global crude oil markets.
European refiners were not cutting runs thanks to a recovery in crack spreads and a heavy round of autumn maintenance, industry sources said on Wednesday.
FUEL OIL SLUMP
Those cuts may help rebalance an oil market that dealers say is in danger of an extended autumn slump, with gasoline losing its premium to crude oil as the summer driving season ends and stocks of winter heating fuel already brimming in Asia.
The real drag on margins has been fuel oil, now in its deepest slump ever amid a tide of imports from the West, flat demand in China, the biggest consumer of the residual fuel and switching by U.S. users into cheaper natural gas.
"It is a plus for margins, especially for gasoline, but it may not boost Asia-wide fuel oil margins," said Hiroyuki Sakaida, an energy analyst at Credit Suisse in Tokyo. "The cut by Nippon Oil is a plus for rivals. Other refiners will not follow."
Other Japanese refiners contacted by Reuters said they had no plans to restrict output, although the overall industry continues to run about 10 percent below its full capacity, data show.
The run cuts will provide more ammunition for oil market bears who say global prices -- which have retreated $10 from their mid-July record highs -- could fall further as crude and fuel production races ahead of slower-growing demand.
Gasoline, a pillar of support in the summer when it traded at a more than $20 a barrel premium to U.S. light, sweet crude, is now worth about $1.30 a barrel more than crude.
U.S. heating oil is $13 a barrel more than crude, but kerosene stocks in Japan, a key winter consumer, stand more than a fifth higher than this time last year, potentially pointing to a supply glut, according to data on Wednesday.
Asia's export-oriented refiners are often the first to cut runs in an effort to minimise losses, hoping that restricted oil product supplies will tighten markets and raise prices, while reduced crude imports may bring down global benchmarks.
Upgraded, complex Singapore margins for refiners that produce more high-value transport fuels were $3.11 a barrel over the past week, half their average from July but still above the lows of late January, Reuters data show.
Simple plants that produce more residual fuel are losing $3.21 a barrel and slumped last week as low as $5 a barrel, the weakest since Reuters data began in 1997.
"Going forward, the best we can hope for is for simple refinery margins to break even," said Victor Shum, an analyst with Purvin & Gertz in Singapore.
Do Japanese heating oil dealers deliver to the Northeast US? I have a real yen for some cheaper oil.
Anyone? Anyone? Bueller?
Help me out on this, Hack. These are all distillates. What the heck grade is their ''fuel oil'' if this statement is true? #6 bunker?
That would be high prices. High prices generate funds and attract investment which increase supply which lowers prices.
Why is this simple and absoute fact so difficult for so many to grasp? (shrug)
Confuses me to. In the US, the fuel oil is a high sulfur grade.
Oil bubble?
Relatively little product is imported from Japan. You can find all imports of all petroleum products at the link below.
Company Level Imports Historical
This list all monthly totals for each company separated by product and country of origin and goes back to 1986. You can dump it into a spreadsheet and sort for all types of information like company totals or country totals.
It's that refinery shortage everyone keeps talking about.
Asia oil refiners cut back as margins fall to decade lowsSeptember 7 2006
TOKYO/SINGAPORE: Major oil refiners in Japan and South Korea have curbed operations this week in an effort to revive deeply negative simple margins by limiting fuel output, industry and company sources said yesterday.
The cuts, the first broad reductions since a brief spate of curbs last November, may help boost prices of petrol and other fuels, but could do little to rescue the ailing Asian market for fuel oil, the price of which has slumped to about US$20 (US$1 = RM3.65) a barrel below the Middle East benchmark crude price, the widest gap ever.
Simple plants that produce more residual fuel are losing US$3.21 a barrel and slumped last week as low as US$5 a barrel, the weakest since Reuters data began in 1997.
Japan's top refiner Nippon Oil Corp, which operates a quarter of the country's capacity, will cut back operations by about 23,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 816,000 bpd this month, versus its previous plan after a domestic fuel oil-fired power plant broke down.
That is 16 per cent less than September last year and about a third lower than its full capacity, partly due to planned maintenance on several units this month.
GS Caltex Corp - a 50:50 joint venture between South Korea's GS Holdings Corp and US major Chevron Corp - has cut its planned refinery runs this month by 20,000 bpd to 600,000 bpd, an industry source said.
Top Korean refiner SK Corp, which produces large volumes of fuel oil, may follow suit, traders say.
Those cuts may help rebalance an oil market that dealers say is in danger of an extended autumn slump, with petrol losing its premium to crude oil as the summer driving season ends and stocks of winter heating fuel already brimming in Asia. - Reuters
Asian oil refiners cut runs to check negative margins
REUTERS TOKYO
[ THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 07, 2006 10:44:23 AM]
Thanks for the info.
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